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- Submitting institution
- University of Exeter
- Unit of assessment
- 2 - Public Health, Health Services and Primary Care
- Summary impact type
- Societal
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- Yes
1. Summary of the impact
In the UK, over 6,000 people die by suicide each year. Research by Professor Owens on the prevention of suicide in public places has enabled all of England’s 152 public health teams to deliver the national suicide prevention strategy, with 78% including specific actions to reduce suicides in public places; directly informed the 2018 NICE Guideline on preventing suicide in community and custodial settings; and informed Highways England’s strategy and training of all 2,000 of its traffic officers in preventing suicides on the road network. The research-based leaflet ‘ It’s safe to talk about suicide’ has been used by at least nine local authorities, five universities, the RNLI and the Fire Officers Association, and directly shaped national public health campaigns empowering lay people to play an active part in suicide prevention.
The research has therefore informed national public health policy; supported changes to practice in public and private organisations; and directly contributed to national public health campaigns related to suicide prevention in the UK. Whilst it is hard to quantify, feedback from organisations that Prof Owens advised show they believe it has had a major impact on reducing the risks of suicide.
2. Underpinning research
Many people who die by suicide have had no recent contact with health services, so there is limited opportunity for clinical intervention. Research led by Prof Owens and her team has focused on community-based approaches and is firmly rooted in a public health perspective.
2.1 Informing public health policy and supporting local authority practice.
In 2013 responsibility for public health, including suicide prevention, was transferred from Primary Care Trusts to local authorities. Prof Owens and her team have worked closely with Public Health England (PHE) to ensure that the 152 local authority public health teams in England have clear, practical guidance based on the best available research evidence.
**2.1a Preventing suicides in public places. In 2014, we won a PHE contract to revise the 2006 NIMHE guidance for the newly created Local Authority public health teams. We reconceptualised the problem from a community-based and systems perspective, reviewed scientific and grey literatures [3.1], consulted public health teams with experience of managing sites frequently used for suicide, and interviewed people who have tried to take their own lives at such sites. We synthesised these diverse findings to produce a guide for local authorities and piloted it in partnership with the public health team responsible for a frequently used suicide location in England [3.2].
2.1b Evaluating the utility of suicide audit. Effective suicide prevention at a local level relies on the systematic analysis of local data (a practice known as suicide audit) in order to inform local action planning. In an NIHR CLAHRC-sponsored study, we surveyed all public health teams in England to find out how they were conducting suicide audit and how the resulting data were being used. We found that many teams were investing large amounts of time and effort in collecting data but were unable to show how it informed their suicide prevention plan, or that it had resulted in specific actions [3.3].
**2.1c Review of local suicide prevention plans. Leading on from Study 2.1b, in partnership with Samaritans we won a contract from PHE to conduct an analysis of all 152 local authority suicide prevention plans, identify good practice and areas requiring improvement, and develop a set of quality standards. We showed that, whilst there was a high level of ambition and commitment on the part of local authorities to address all areas of the national strategy, many of them were struggling to implement their action plans, especially in the context of local budget cuts and a lack of centralised resources [3.4].
2.2 Helping everyone play a part in preventing suicides.
It is widely acknowledged that “Suicide prevention is everybody’s business”, but little is known about the part that lay people can play in it or the skills and resources they need in order to do so. Our research has filled this gap. We first sought to understand the difficulties people experience in recognising and responding to a suicidal crisis within different social settings. We then used the findings to develop a new generation of public health messages that take account of the everyday contexts in which people live, and we evaluated these.
**2.2a Developing and evaluating a public education leaflet: ‘ It’s safe to talk about suicide’. Exeter research has shown that family members and friends of those who were suicidal struggled to pick up warning signs; and when they did, they judged intervention to be highly risky and avoided talking about suicide for fear of triggering adverse reactions and damaging relationships. Working with The Alliance of Suicide Prevention Charities (TASC) and a panel of people bereaved by suicide (2013-14), we developed a public education leaflet that specifically addressed these fears. In partnership with our local public health team, we distributed 15,000 copies throughout Devon via a wide range of community agencies, and followed these up to evaluate its utility, acceptability and perceived safety [3.5]. The evaluation showed the leaflet was filling an important gap in public information provision and was eagerly embraced by frontline staff and volunteers, who were passing it on to clients, using it for their own education and development, or using it as a teaching aid [3.5].
**2.2b The role of passing strangers in preventing suicides in public places. Previous research on preventing suicides in public places has mainly focused on the effectiveness of installing physical barriers at high-risk sites. In 2015, we formed a new strategic partnership with Jonny Benjamin MBE, maker of the award-winning Channel 4 documentary, The Stranger on the Bridge. In an MRC-funded study (2017-18; £122,959.00; PI: Owens) we examined the role of passing strangers. We interviewed 12 people who had been prevented by a stranger from taking their life in a public place, and 21 who had intervened to prevent someone from doing so. From this study we identified the core components of an effective intervention and developed a set of clear public education messages to empower people to recognise and reach out to someone in crisis in a public place [3.6].
3. References to the research
(Exeter researchers are shown in bold text)
Cox G, Owens C, Robinson J, et al. Interventions to reduce suicides at suicide hotspots: A systematic review. BMC Public Health 2013; 9(13):214. DOI: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-214
C; Hardwick RJL; Charles NT; Watkinson G. 2015. Preventing suicides in public places: A practice resource . London; Department of Health. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/suicide-prevention-suicides-in-public-places [synthesising evidence from: a systematic review (Ref. 1), review of international guidance and grey literature, survey of Directors of Public Health, and interviews with survivors]
Owens C; Roberts S; Taylor J. 2014. Utility of local suicide data for informing local and national suicide prevention strategies. Public Health, 128(5):424-429. DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2014.03.004
Chadwick T; Owens C, Morrissey J. 2019. Local Suicide Prevention Planning in England: An Independent Progress Report. London; Samaritans, 2019. https://www.samaritans.org/about-samaritans/research-policy/national-local-suicide-prevention-strategies
Owens C; Charles N. 2017. Development and evaluation of a leaflet for concerned family members and friends: 'It's safe to talk about suicide'. Health Education Journal, 76(5):582-594. DOI: 10.1177/0017896917706601
Owens C; Derges J; Abraham C. 2019. Intervening to prevent a suicide in a public place: a qualitative study of effective interventions by lay people. BMJ Open 2019;9: e032319. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2019-032319. DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2019-032319
4. Details of the impact
Our REF2014 impact case study presented the development of the first national guidance on the prevention of suicides in public places (Guidance on action to be taken at suicide hotspots. NIMHE, 2006) and its subsequent global impact. The current impact case study is based on both new research and entirely new claimed impacts that have occurred since August 2013.
In the UK, over 6,000 people die by suicide each year. It is a leading cause of death for young people, has higher rates among those from deprived backgrounds, and devastates the families and communities of each individual who takes their own life.
4.1 Informing national public health policy and supporting local authority practice.
**4.1a Preventing suicides in public places. Owens’ national guidance [3.2] has been used to inform the management of high-risk suicide locations. In 2015, this national guidance on preventing suicides in public places, was distributed to every public health team and local planning department (n=152] in England along with a letter from the Secretary of State for Health [5.1]. The framework in Owens’ guidance subsequently led to local authorities drawing up site-specific action plans [5.2] and by 2019, 78% of local authorities had specific actions to reduce suicides in public places included in their suicide prevention plan, and 64% (97/150) reported that these actions were already being delivered [5.2], [3.4]. Consequently, public health leads in 16 English local authorities contacted Owens for advice on the management of particular high-risk locations. Furthermore, Stoke-on-Trent City Council has worked with Owens to develop specific guidance for developers and the construction industry [5.2].
Private and voluntary sector: Many suicide attempts are made on impulse, so considering suicide risk when designing buildings is critical. Owens advised Sir Robert McAlpine Ltd on the design of high-rise buildings in the City of London and ROSPA on the design of student residences at the University of Exeter. In addition, Owens advised the National Trust on measures to reduce suicide risk at cliff-top locations such as closing a section of footpath or fencing off a stretch of cliff. This research-based advice to these various organisations was subsequently used as a model for new national guidance in both Scotland and Ireland. Highways England also subsequently used it as the basis for its strategy and guidance for preventing suicides on the strategic road network [5.3].
The University of Exeter Stranger on the Bridge study was used to develop a training module, and since March 2019 it has been delivered to every traffic officer in England (n=2,000) [5.4]. In September 2018, it also directly informed three of the recommendations within NICE Guideline 105: Preventing suicide in community and custodial settings [5.5]. The recommendations were: increased use of CCTV or other surveillance to allow staff to monitor when someone may need help; increasing the number and visibility of staff, or times when staff are available, and; ensuring training is available for relevant people.
**4.1b Utility of suicide audit. Owens’ guidance contributed to a significant upturn in the development of suicide prevention plans in local authorities. The Exeter research was identified as a seminal study and heavily cited in a report by the 2015 All Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) on Suicide and Self-Harm Prevention on the future of local suicide prevention plans [5.6]. The APPG report led PHE to commission the 2016 Local suicide prevention planning: a practice resource, and Owens was invited to play a key role in its development [5.6]. This guidance was distributed to every local public health team in England (n=152) [5.7]. A 2016 survey by PHE indicated that the number of local authorities with a plan in place or in development had increased from 70% in Jan 2015 to 95% in Jan 2017 [5.7].
**4.1c Review of local suicide prevention plans.
Exeter research (study 2.1) raised the quality of local suicide prevention work in Local Authorities. The findings and recommendations from Owens’ report [3.4] “feed directly into this sector-led improvement programme” for suicide prevention (Background section of **[5.8]**). This is a £600,000 Sector-Led Improvement programme, launched in 2018 and coordinated by the Local Government Association. During 2020, the programme delivered national masterclasses/webinars on key issues, a Must-Know Guide, and provided bespoke expert support for local authorities identified as facing particular challenges [5.8] .
4.2: Helping everyone play a part in preventing suicides.
The leaflet’s message ‘It’s safe to talk about suicide’ has empowered friends and family members to overcome their fears and initiate conversations about suicide.
4.2a Public education leaflet: ‘It’s safe to talk about suicide’. Exeter research revealed a deep-seated fear of talking about suicide. Significant others can play a key role in suicide prevention, but little attention was given to the resources they may need to do so effectively. The evaluation of our leaflet distribution evidenced that it was a vital information resource. This resulted in Devon County Council producing a further 30,000 hard copies which were distributed across the county through frontline agencies and community groups, including housing and benefits departments, GPs, student wellbeing services, Citizens Advice and family solicitors. Since 2016, it has been made available online through the National Suicide Prevention Alliance (NSPA)’s repository of approved resources. Also in 2016, in response to widespread demand, the leaflet was made free to share and adapt under a Creative Commons Licence. Organisations have endorsed it with their own logo and are actively distributing it, including eight local authorities besides Devon, five UK universities, the Fire Officers Association, and the RNLI [5.9]. It is promoted in Universities UK’s guidance on the creation of Suicide-Safer Universities (UUK, 2018) and Business in the Community’s guidance for employers (BITC, 2017). In 2019 it was also translated for use by local health teams in Malaysia [5.9].
**4.2b Informing national campaigns: In 2015, the leaflet’s key messages and content formed the basis for a # BiggerIssues campaign by the Campaign Against Living Miserably (CALM), estimated to have reached over 23 million people via social media, and in 2016 for the #TalkThroughTheTaboo campaign by PAPYRUS (Prevention of Young Suicide) [5.10].
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
Letter of thanks from Public Health England, for underpinning research and production of national guidance on Preventing Suicides in Public Places (research output Ref. [2]) distributed to every local public health team in England and well-received.
PDF document entitled ‘Testimonies from local authority contacts’ contains extensive evidence of emails received from public health leads in local authorities in England requesting and thanking Prof Owens for her advice on the management of specific high-risk locations, as a result of Prof Owens’ authorship of PHE guidance, Preventing suicides in public places (2015), and developing further guidance with them for specific organisations (e.g. property designers and developers, with Stoke-on-Trent City Council)
Guidance used by Highways England for developing a strategy and action plan for preventing suicides on the strategic road network. Evidence: HE strategy/toolkit and letter of thanks, and ‘Suicide Prevention Interventions’ guidance document, 2020.
Owen’s research directly informed: NICE guideline 105: Preventing suicide in community and custodial settings. Specifically, recommendations: 1.6.3; 1.6.4; 1.7.1
Study 2.1b)
Utility of suicide audit was identified as a seminal study and heavily cited in a report by the All Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) on Suicide and Self-Harm Prevention on the future of local suicide prevention plans. Evidence: APPG report, Jan 2015
Guidance on Local suicide prevention planning, A Practice Resource (Public Health England), Oct 2016. Commissioned by PHE and Owens advised on development.
Department of Health, Preventing suicide in England: Third progress report of the cross-party outcomes strategy to save lives’ (Jan 2017), see p.7.
Study 2.1c)
- Review of local suicide prevention plans resulted in £600,000 Sector-Led Improvement programme coordinated by the LGA https://www.local.gov.uk/suicide-prevention-sector-led-improvement-programme. Key sentence about Exeter’s contribution is in ‘Background’.
Study 2.2a)
‘It’s safe to talk about suicide' leaflet. Evidence of leaflet being widely used, under a Creative Commons licence, and badged by: eight local authorities (emails); five UK universities (emails); The Fire Officers Association ( https://www.fireofficers.org.uk/new/images/Wellbeing/Safe%20to%20talk%20leaflet-FOA_June%202016.pdf); the RNLI (emails). Universities UK, Suicide-Safer Universities ( https://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/policy-and-analysis/reports/Pages/guidance-for-universities-on-preventing-student-suicides.aspx); Business in the Community toolkit ( https://www.bitc.org.uk/toolkit/suicide-prevention-toolkit). Evidence of translation and use in Malaysia (emails). Content used as the basis for nationwide awareness-raising campaigns: Campaign Against Living Miserably (CALM) ‘#BiggerIssues’ in 2015 (email from CEO of CALM, 22/12/2015); PAPYRUS (Prevention of Young Suicide) #TalkThroughTheTaboo campaign in 2016 (email from CEO of PAPYRUS).
Emails from Highways England (latest 24/07/2020), including the training module PowerPoint slides with Prof.Owen’s added and curated content.
- Submitting institution
- University of Exeter
- Unit of assessment
- 2 - Public Health, Health Services and Primary Care
- Summary impact type
- Health
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
In the UK, cancer will affect 1 in 2 people during their life. Delays in diagnosis are common and shorten lives.
Exeter research has identified and quantified the risk for each symptom or symptom combination of 13 of the main cancers. This research has informed national policy, underpinning 89 of the 210 recommendations in the 2015 NICE guidelines for recognition of suspected cancer, governing ~£1bn of annual NHS spending. The risk algorithms have also been incorporated into the three main UK GP software systems, therefore improving the care of over 50 million registered patients. Implementation of this guideline has speeded up cancer diagnosis by a week averaged across all cancers, with an estimated 6,000 fewer diagnosed as an emergency per year, an estimated 10,000 more diagnosed with potentially curable cancer stages per year, and associated improvements in cancer survival.
2. Underpinning research
The vast majority of people with undiagnosed cancer present to their GP in primary care with their symptoms. Yet, until 2005 most research to understand how symptoms are associated with risk of having cancer were based on hospital data - when symptoms were generally more overt, and the disease more advanced and less treatable. As a result, referrals for suspected cancer from primary care were often poorly informed: many patients at low risk were being tested, whilst others at high risk were missing out on referral for testing.
The key problem with identifying people with cancer in primary care is that the symptoms of many cancers are common to many other benign conditions which GPs regularly see (e.g. back pain, abdominal pain). Therefore, ideally, a statistical approach is required which can identify combinations of symptoms that are more indicative of cancer.
2.1 Identifying and quantifying cancer risk from large clinical datasets
Although the basic methodology for determining cancer risk from routine primary care data was developed by Hamilton while at Bristol University (2002 to 2009), it was only after joining the University of Exeter in 2010 that the work was significantly advanced using large national datasets of electronic records and applied to a larger range of cancer types. This work was underpinned by two large Exeter-led grants: NIHR-funded Discovery Programme (DISCO) (£2m: Hamilton, principal investigator, 2010 to 2015) and the Department of Health-funded Policy Research Unit in Cancer (£7.5m: Hamilton: co-investigator, 2011 to 2018). A more recent CRUK project grant has explored the impact of NICE guidance on times to diagnosis (£148,000, Hamilton and Spencer co-principal investigators, 2016-18).
This large programme of research by Hamilton and the DISCO team has developed risk assessment tools for 13 more cancer sites: pancreas, oesophagus, stomach, bladder, kidney, cervix, breast, uterus, Hodgkin’s lymphoma, non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, myeloma, leukaemia and larynx [3.1-3.3]. These Exeter studies used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD), which holds high quality information on over 11 million general practice patients (around 5 million of these records being currently active patients). The data is provided as anonymised copies of primary care records. Additional studies on brain cancer and childhood cancer were also published. These cancer sites total around 86% of the 359,000 new cancer diagnoses in the UK annually.
Each study analysed primary care records (collected prospectively but analysed retrospectively) using a case–control methodology, but adapted to the specifics of each cancer site. Each study identified which symptoms, physical examination findings or primary care test results were associated with a subsequent diagnosis of the cancer of interest, using conditional logistic regression [3.4].
2.2 Presenting the findings so clinicians and patients can use them
The findings were presented as absolute percentage chances of an underlying cancer rather than relative risks. Absolute risks are much easier to understand, for both clinicians and patients. Furthermore, as additional symptoms generally adjust the risk from single symptoms, the team chose to present both risks from single and from paired symptoms, graphically.
The Risk Assessment Tools (RATs) developed by Hamilton’s team are colour-coded charts, with red shading representing risks of cancer above 5%, orange 2-4.9%, yellow 1-1.9%, and white below 1%. These thresholds for recommended investigation were based on research into patient preferences for further investigation [3.5].
Figure: Positive predictive values (in %) for laryngeal cancer features in patients 60 years or older, for single and paired features
2.3 Using features which may represent one of several cancers
The previous paragraph described research on single cancer sites. A concurrent research theme investigated features of cancer which are common across several cancer sites, such as weight loss, raised platelet counts, low blood albumin, and raised blood calcium [3.6]. Each study was published in a peer-reviewed journal with high GP readership.
These less site-specific features of cancer, estimated to occur as an early symptom in up to 30% of patients with cancer, are more difficult diagnostically in part because selection of the optimum investigation strategy is hard.
3. References to the research
(**Exeter authors in bold text)
Shephard EA, Neal RD, Rose P, Walter FM, Litt EJ, Hamilton WT. Quantifying the risk of multiple myeloma from symptoms reported in primary care patients: a large case–control study using electronic records. Br J Gen Pract. 2015;65(631):e106-e13. doi: 10.3399/bjgp15X683545
Stapley S, Peters TJ, Neal RD, Rose PW, Walter FM, Hamilton W. The risk of pancreatic cancer in symptomatic patients in primary care: a large case-control study using electronic records. British Journal of Cancer. 2012;106(12):1940-4. doi: 10.1186/s13054-016-1208-6
Walker S, Hyde C, Hamilton W. Risk of breast cancer in symptomatic women in primary care: a case-control study uing electronic records. Br J Gen Pract. 2014;64(629):e788-e93. doi: 10.3399/bjgp14X682873
Hamilton W, Hajioff S, Graham J, Schmidt-Hansen M. Suspected cancer (part 2 – adults): reference tables from updated NICE guidance. Brit Med J. 2015;350:h3044. doi: 10.1136/bmj.h3044
Banks J, Hollinghurst S, Bigwood L, Peters TJ, Walter FM, Hamilton W. Preferences for cancer investigation: a vignette based study of primary care attendees. The Lancet Oncology. 2014;15:232-40. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(13)70588-6
Bailey SE, Ukoumunne OC, Shephard EA, Hamilton W. Clinical relevance of thromocytosis in primary care: a prospective cohort study of cancer incidence using English electronic medical records and cancer registry data. Br J Gen Pract. 2017;67:405-13. doi: 10.3399/bjgp17X691109
4. Details of the impact
The UK has come bottom in most European studies of cancer survival for decades, with much of the problem ascribed to diagnostic delays. In a statement publication from the National Cancer Director in 2009, it was estimated that 5,000 lives are lost annually in the UK from cancer when compared with average European survival rates [5.1]. The contribution of diagnostic delay to this is explicitly recognised in the 2019 NHS Long Term Plan, which specifically targets an improvement in stage of cancer at diagnosis. The target is to increase the percentage of patients diagnosed at stage 1 or 2 cancer from the current 53% to 75%, which if achieved could avert more than 5,000 estimated untimely cancer deaths. Modelling studies suggest that every week’s delay in referral for cancer diagnosis worsens survival by approximately 1% (Sud et al 2020, Lancet Oncology, 21(8), 1035-44).
4.1 Impacts on national policy
Findings from the research carried out by Hamilton and his team have directly informed the revised NICE cancer guidelines, NG12: Suspected cancer, recognition and referral (2015) [5.2], with Hamilton also being the clinical lead of the Guideline Development Group. Eleven publications from Hamilton’s research team in Exeter contributed evidence for 89 of the 210 recommendations. Seven of these publications were sole evidence for 41 of the 210 recommendations. These 2015 NICE guidelines also used evidence from research carried out by Hamilton’s team [3.5] which showed strong public support for investigation of possible cancer even at low risk. The results of this research were highly influential in lowering the threshold of cancer risk that should trigger referral for suspected cancer in NG12, from 5% to 3% (p.14 of [5.2]).
Adoption of Risk Assessment Tools (RATs) by general practitioners in England
Initially, the National Cancer Action Team disseminated RATs for four cancers to all 10,000 English general practices in mouse mat and desk easel form. Following this phase, from 2015 onwards, implementation was led by a combined Department of Health/ Macmillan initiative, which generated software for seven RATs (lung, colorectal, ovarian, oesophagus, stomach, kidney and bladder).This software has now been incorporated in the three main clinical records software and is therefore available for use by over 90% of general practices in the UK, covering more than 50 million registered patients; 36% of practices have at least one GP using it [5.3]. Each time a new test result or reported symptom reports a person’s risk for cancer to be above 2%, an alert is generated. This reminds the GP to refine the risk after discussion with the patient, seeking other relevant information such as additional symptoms or abnormal blood tests. This may then lead to referral for specialist investigation. More recently, qualitative data from a survey has also shown that GPs are still broadly supportive of RATs and this is evidenced by a range of outcome measures which reflect the increased GP cancer diagnostic activity as a result of RATs. [ 5.3]
Improvements in cancer referral and diagnosis
Since the introduction of the Exeter-developed RATs, referrals from primary care for suspected cancer have increased along with the number of new cancer diagnoses, and a decreased proportion of cancers being diagnosed as an emergency.
a) Increased number of two-week-wait referrals:
Two-week wait referrals for suspected cancer have increased significantly from 1.5 million annually in 2013/14 to 2.3 million in 2019/20 [5.4]. There is now strong evidence which links increased two-week referrals with better cancer survival [5.5]. This evidence cited Exeter research which showed the previous NICE guidance was associated with reduced times to diagnosis.
b) Increased proportion of cancers diagnosed using the two-week-wait referral:
From 2013/14 to 2019/20 the proportion of cancers that were detected within the two-week-referral care pathway in England has increased from 47.4% to 53.7% [5.6].
c) Decreased time between first symptom presentation of cancer to primary care and diagnosis (the ‘diagnostic interval’):
This has been examined by comparing the diagnostic interval for cancer patients whose symptoms only met the criteria in the 2015 NICE guidelines (i.e. the guidelines directly informed by Hamilton’s work) against those whose symptoms met the previous referral criteria (2005 NICE guidelines). For several cancers the new symptoms were being diagnosed more rapidly than before [5.7]. On average, using the more specific, 2015 NICE referral guidelines, patients were found to be diagnosed seven days earlier following symptom presentation. A week matters in this patient group: the best current estimate is that survival worsens by 1% for each week that diagnosis is delayed. (Sud et al 2020, Lancet Oncology, 21(8), 1035-44)
d) Decreased proportion of cancers diagnosed as an emergency:
This has fallen from 20.2% to 18.8% between 2013 and 2018 [5.6]. It is probably the strongest marker of improved GP referral practices for suspected cancer and equates to 6,000 fewer emergency presentations with cancer per year.
e) Improved cancer stage at diagnosis:
Stage 1 or 2 (i.e., more curable) cancer at diagnosis has risen from 47% to 51% between 2013 and 2018 [5.8], equating to over 10,000 more potentially curable patients annually.
f) Increased cancer survival:
The cumulative benefit of all the above improvements will inevitably be associated with better cancer survival for more patients. While some of the improvements described above will have resulted from other NHS initiatives to improve cancer referral and treatment, most of these initiatives have worked in conjunction with having clearer guidance (e.g. the NG12 NICE Guidance – **[5.2]**) about which patients in primary care should be referred for specialist assessment – which is the main contribution of the Exeter research.
g) Establishment of ‘multi-disciplinary diagnostic centres’:
Our research has also shown that features of cancer which are common across several cancer sites - such as raised platelet counts, low blood albumin, and raised blood calcium - present a clinical opportunity for earlier diagnosis [3.6]. In response to this evidence the NHS has established ‘multi-disciplinary diagnostic centres’ which use these features as entry criteria. In the NHS Long Term Plan (2019) [5.9], these centres have been expanded into Rapid Diagnostic Centres across the whole of England, again using the features we have studied to underpin their entry criteria. These Rapid Diagnostic Centres, have built on service models “ which have focused on diagnosing cancers where patients often present with non-specific symptoms and may go to their GP many times before being sent for tests.” (para. 3.59)
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
Richards MA. The size of the prize for earlier diagnosis of cancer in England. Br J Cancer. 2009;101(S2):S125-S9. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6605402
NICE Guidance NG12: Suspected cancer: recognition and referral. June2015. https://web.archive.org/web/20200310143249/https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng12 11 Exeter publications contributed evidence for 89 of the 210 recommendations. 7 of these publications were sole evidence for 41 of the recommendations.
Price S, Spencer A, Medina-Lara A, Hamilton W. Availability and use of cancer decision- support tools: a cross-sectional survey of UK primary care. British Journal of General Practice. 2019; 69(684):e437 doi: 10.3399/bjgp19X703745
Number of two-week wait referrals for suspected cancer in England, Public Health England: https://fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/cancerservices/data#page/11/gid/1938133085/pat/165/par/E38000230/ati/7/are/L83101/iid/91882/age/1/sex/4/cid/4/page-options/eng-vo-1_eng-do-0
Møller H, Gildea C, Meechan D, Rubin G, Round T, Vedsted P et al. Use of the English urgent referral pathway for suspected cancer and mortality in patients with cancer: cohort study. BMJ 2015; 351:h5102 doi: 10.1136/bmj.h5102
Proportion of new cancers detected from two week wait referrals, Public Health England: https://fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/cancerservices/data#page/4/gid/1938133085/pat/165/par/E38000230/ati/7/are/L83101/iid/91347/age/1/sex/4/cid/4
Price S, Spencer A, Zhang X, Ball S, Lyratzopoulos G, Mujica-Mota R, et al. Trends in time to cancer diagnosis around the period of changing national guidance on referral of symptomatic patients: A serial cross-sectional study using UK electronic healthcare record from 2006–17. Cancer Epidemiology. 2020; 69:101805. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2020.101805
Cancer outcome metrics (National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service): https://web.archive.org/web/20200310145553/http://www.ncin.org.uk/cancer_type_and_topic_specific_work/topic_specific_work/cancer_outcome_metrics
NHS Long Term Plan. Version 1.2 (2019) https://www.longtermplan.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/nhs-long-term-plan-version-1.2.pdf para. 3.59 on establishing Rapid Diagnostic Centres to achieve “new faster diagnosis standard” for cancer
- Submitting institution
- University of Exeter
- Unit of assessment
- 2 - Public Health, Health Services and Primary Care
- Summary impact type
- Health
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
The NHS needs clear, comprehensive feedback from patients to monitor and improve the performance of primary care. Exeter-led research directly informed the initial creation and the ongoing development and use of the NHS’s national GP Patient Survey (GPPS) - one of the world’s largest annual patient surveys, covering all 6,900 general practices in England. Since 2013, ten national surveys have been conducted of over 5 million NHS patients. This has directly informed national policy, changed service provision, improved service planning and the regulation/inspection of general practice, and directly informed the public and the healthcare watchdog about patient experiences of general practices. For example, The Care Quality Commission have used the survey data to target inspections of all GP practices in England and many Clinical Commissioning Groups are regularly using it within their decision making.
2. Underpinning research
In 2008, the University of Exeter was funded by the Department of Health and Ipsos MORI to develop a patient survey instrument for evaluating general practice [£600k, 2008-2010; J Campbell, joint Chief Investigator]. This collaborative research was instrumental in designing and establishing the national General Practice Patient Survey (GPPS), which has now run once or twice a year since 2011. [3.1]
The early development of the questionnaire and survey methods closely engaged the main policy and professional stakeholders: Department of Health, BMA, Royal College of General Practitioners, Royal College of Nursing and the Healthcare Commission. Four stages of cognitive testing of early versions of the survey instrument were followed by an extensive pilot survey (of 590 people) which informed both the clearer wording, structure and specific choices of the 51 questions across 11 domains of service quality, access to care and patient experience. [3.1]
Exeter also led four of the seven component studies of the ‘IMPROVE’ programme: an NIHR-funded Programme Grant for Applied Research into measuring and improving patient experience of primary care [£2 million (£929,000 to University of Exeter), 2010 to 2015; J Campbell, joint Principal Investigator]. The programme focussed primarily on two aspects of patient experience: (a) communication in consultations and (b) the ability of the patient to see a doctor of their choice, especially as a means of providing actionable information for improving service delivery [3.2].
This included analysis of the GPPS from 2011-13 which showed that the quality of doctors’ communications could not be reliably assessed at a practice-level; lower performing practices for this aspect of care might include some GPs whose communication was highly rated by their patients [3.3]. Similarly, a mixed-methods study revealed how ‘good’ patient experiences reported via questionnaires, might conceal more varied and some negative experiences when evaluated through conversation (using qualitative interviews) [3.4]**.
Another study within the IMPROVE programme of studies evaluated patient experience of out-of-hours GP services [3.5]. This research showed that relatively poor experiences of out-of-hours care were experienced by service users from Asian ethnic backgrounds, by service users who were unable to take time away from work, and when the out-of-hours service was from a commercial provider. Research using GPPS data also showed the substantial impact on quality of life of having multiple chronic conditions; those with three or more chronic conditions reported a reduction in quality of life that was greater than the sum of the reductions associated with each chronic condition when experienced alone [3.6]. Finally, the IMPROVE programme of studies has shown how the patient surveys were critically important for monitoring national trends, such as (from 2010 to 2015) the increasing difficulty people experienced in seeing a doctor of their choice. They revealed the importance of data on patient experience (and so the GPPS) as a guide to improving care, and highlighted the need for action on the quality of care for minority ethnic groups [3.2].
3. References to the research
(Exeter authors in bold text)
Campbell J, Smith P, Nissen S, Bower P, Elliott M, Roland M. The GP Patient Survey for use in primary care in the National Health Service in the UK – development and psychometric characteristics. BMC Family Practice. 2009 Dec;10(1):57. DOI: 10.1186/1471-2296-10-57
Burt J, Campbell J, Abel G, et al. (+12 other University of Exeter co-authors). Improving patient experience in primary care: a multi-method programme of research on the measurement and improvement of patient experience. Programme Grants for Applied Research (NIHR Journals Library). 2017. No. 5(9). DOI: 10.3310/pgfar05090
Roberts MJ; Campbell JL; Abel GA; Davey AF; Elmore NL; Maramba I; Carter M; Elliott MN; Roland MO; Burt JA. Understanding high and low patient experience scores in primary care: Analysis of patients’ survey data for general practices and individual doctors. 2014. BMJ (Online) 349(nov11 3):g6034. DOI: 10.1136/bmj.g6034
Burt J; Newbould J; Abel G; Elliott MN; Beckwith J; LLanwarne N; Elmore N; Davey A; Gibbons C; Campbell J et al. Investigating the meaning of ‘good’ or ‘very good’ patient evaluations of care in English general practice: A mixed methods study. 2017. BMJ Open 7(3):e014718. DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-014718
Warren F, Abel G, Lyratzopoulos G, Richards S, Barry H, Elliott M, Roland M, Campbell J. Characteristics of service user and provider organisations associated with experience of out-of-hours general practitioner care in England: population based cross sectional postal questionnaire survey. BMJ 2015; 350: h2040. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.h2040
Mujica-Mota RE; Roberts M; Abel G; Elliott M; Lyratzopoulos G; Roland M; Campbell J. Common patterns of morbidity and multi-morbidity and their impact on health-related quality of life: evidence from a national survey. 2015. Quality of Life Research 24(4):909-918. DOI: 10.1007/s11136-014-0820-7
4. Details of the impact
General practice underpins the globally recognised efficiency and effectiveness of UK healthcare, with UK primary care health professionals delivering 1.1 million consultations each working day. Delivering high quality primary care and improving patients’ experiences of healthcare are central goals of current UK national health policy. Research by the University of Exeter’s Primary Care Research Group has directly informed the initial creation, ongoing development, and improved use of the General Practice Patient Survey (GPPS). The survey empowers patients by enabling them to share their experience of their GP practice, and the data is publicly available, allowing them to make informed choices about their preferred GP practice. There has been continuous use of GPPS data by Parliament, the Department of Health and Social Care, and other NHS and local commissioning organisations to improve service delivery and patient experience.
[ Since the creation of the GPPS pre-dates the REF2021 impact period, we only claim impacts related to its conduct, development and use since August 2013.]
4.1 Continuous use of the National GP Patient Survey
Since August 2013, the GPPS has been conducted ten times, and analysed responses from over 5.6 million NHS patients [5.1]. It forms the basis for all six current core national metrics on patient experience of care (Department of Health and Social Care, Care Quality Commission, Public Health England). GPPS is unique in that it is now an England-wide annual survey that provides rich data for a wide range of audiences, including the public, through widely accessed websites e.g. NHS, and Public Health England. Data is reported at national, Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG), and practice levels, and informs a wide range of primary care organisational and management uses.
The research that underpins the survey is a highly valued element of the GPPS and its various versions. For example, the Director of NHS Commissioning (for England), testified [5.2] the following:
‘The evidence base published by Professor Campbell and his colleagues over the last 10 years has been invaluable in adding credibility to the outputs and impact of the survey. That credibility extends to the highest levels of the NHS and directly affects our team-decision making in respect of patient experience of care provided by NHS organisations, including all general practices in England.’
4.2 Influencing national policy
Confidence in the routine use of the GPPS is underpinned by Exeter’s research and their expertise has been used to inform the further design and use of national metrics based on its data [5.1; 5.2]. GPPS survey findings are used in Parliamentary discussions to inform policy making [5.3; 5.4]. For example, analyses of GPPS data influenced the introduction of ‘Improved Access’ arrangements, for delivering routine evening and weekend appointments in primary care [5.3; 5.4]. This policy was introduced as a direct result of the surveyed decline in patient satisfaction with patients increasingly reporting being unable to access GP appointments. As a result, the Nuffield Trust was commissioned by NHS England to investigate the impact of Improved Access on continuity of care, and analysed data from the GPPS to produce a report and make recommendations for commissioners and policymakers. The Nuffield report [5.5] drew significantly on Exeter’s research on the GP patient survey and resulted in the new primary care services. Data from the survey at GP practice level is also routinely used by the Department of Health and Social Care in evaluating practice performance across a range of policies including access to services (including out-of-hours GP services) and managing winter pressures [5.6].
4.3 Informing planning of local services
GPPS data are routinely used throughout the NHS in service planning and delivery, with local and regional health commissioning services being able to access data to meet their own patient need. The GPPS website notes the role of Exeter in developing the survey [5.6], and draws directly on, and summarises Exeter’s research. For example, the survey and Exeter’s research were used to identify that out-of-hours appointments are more commonly reported in those practices where patients report more difficulty in getting appointments during normal working hours, and that the convenience of opening hours was the strongest single predictor of use of out-of-hours care [5.6]; such data has been directly used by Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) to inform improvements in service provision [5.7; 5.8]. Other routine users of the GPPS data include senior (NHS Board level) NHS commissioners and planners, noting the direct link to the research base for GPPS. Using data for service planning, GP practices and CCGs extensively use information derived from the survey to better understand and support their patients and local services [5.2].
CCGs routinely receive comparative data to monitor Outcomes Indicators and for use in the NHS Improvement and Assessment Framework. In 2019, Exeter conducted a survey of 39 English CCGs regarding their use of GPPS data - 35 CCGs (representing ~4 million patient population across 7 regions) responded and were able to provide detailed, specific examples of routine use of GPPS within their planning arrangements. Of these, 23 CCGs used their GPPS data for improving extended access schemes, 11 to inform services to better meet local need, 9 to assist in monitoring of practice performance, and 5 used the data to inform consideration of alternative methods of patient consultation [5.8].
4.4 Public use of patient-reported data on primary care
As a publicly available website [5.1] the results of the GPPS surveys are accessible to the public down to the level of individual practices. The NHS website and Public Health England’s widely used ‘General Practice Profiles’ use data from GPPS to report and provide comparative data on patient experiences of GP practices. This enables patients to make informed choices over their preferred general practice - for example, on the basis of patient-reported experience of out-of-hours care or appointment availability.
4.5 Quality monitoring and inspection of primary care practices
The GPPS provides Care Quality Commission (CQC) inspectors with data on how all 6,900 GP practices in England are performing and identifies any changes over time. The published research by the University of Exeter underpins and quality-assures this process. For example, survey data currently serves as one of four national data sources for the CQC GP Insight regulatory model – an initiative that strives to achieve one of their key priorities for their 2016-21 Strategy to deliver an ‘intelligence-driven approach to regulation’ [5.9]. Indicators developed from the GPPS are used in the GP Insight model in the inspection of every GP practice in England. Inspectors use them to guide questioning and include in the ‘evidence tables’ alongside inspection reports (for example around appointment availability, and patients feeling listened to or having sufficient time).
The UK Chief Inspector of General Practice, went further in support of the importance of the GPPS data, stating:
“Around 40% of the data behind the programme (GP Insight programme) is dependent on data derived directly from the GP Patient Survey ... It remains a key element in our inspection regime and I wanted to document my support of the underpinning academic research and resultant publications which have facilitated and supported our internal processes. ”. [5.10]
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
Annual GPPS National Summary Reports, published each July/August (2014-2020); accessed at: https://www.gp-patient.co.uk/surveysandreports
Letter from the National Director of NHS Commissioning at NHS England.
Minutes; National Primary Care Measures and Indicators Work Stream (NHS England, Public Health England) November 2016. Action to obtain advice from Campbell re use of composite GP patient survey indicator; Specific related action to revise metric on patient experience, referencing 2007 research. NHS England GP practice Indicator Review – draft indicator set and new approach for identifying outliers April 2017, subsequently reflected in NHS England National guidance (General Practice Outcome standards; technical annex https://bhcic.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/GPOS_Technical_Annex.pdf)
Reference to GP Patient Survey in Hansard archive of House of Commons records; discussion on GP access and data from the survey reporting that 25% of patients are waiting more than a week to see their GP. The Minister for Community and Social Care (Alistair Burt).The results of the last GPPS show that 91.9% of all patients get convenient appointments. Of the 8% who are unable to get an appointment or a convenient appointment, 4.2% indicated that they went to A&E. Recommendation followed to transform GP access – Improved Access scheme. https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2016-02 09/debates/16020965000017/GPAccess?highlight=improved%20access#contribution-16020965000067
Report from Nuffield Trust using data from GP patient survey with regard to GP access. https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/files/2019-01/improving-access-and-continuity-in-general-practice-evidence-review-final-update-01-2019.pdf
NHS GPPS – Frequently Asked Questions: https://gp\-patient.co.uk/faq & NHS GPPS – case studies of use. https://www.gp-patient.co.uk/casestudies
The Barking and Dagenham, Havering and Redbridge (BHR) Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) 2019 Improving access out-of-hours: Improving access out of hours - Evaluation of extended-hours primary care access hubs http://allcatsrgrey.org.uk/wp/download/primary_care/bhr3-report-b1881-rgb-3.pdf
Survey of 39 CCGs across 7 regions, on their use of GPPS data (Excel spreadsheet of survey results: Verbatim text responses and main uses as coded)
Care Quality Commission (2017). GP Insight: NHS GP Practices Frequently Asked Questions. https://www.cqc.org.uk/sites/default/files/201703_gpinsight_faq.pdf
Letter and specific examples of use of GPPS in the routine inspection of General Practices in England, received from UK Chief Inspector of General Practice. (Letter to Prof Ballard, re: GP Patient survey)
- Submitting institution
- University of Exeter
- Unit of assessment
- 2 - Public Health, Health Services and Primary Care
- Summary impact type
- Health
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
Heart disease is the leading cause of death in the UK and worldwide; in the UK each year over 70,000 people survive heart attacks and around 200,000 people are diagnosed with heart failure. Wider access to effective cardiac rehabilitation is therefore a significant priority.
Research by Taylor and Dalal’s team has led to changes in policy and clinical practice nationally and internationally. Their programme of eleven Cochrane systematic reviews has directly informed national policy (England, Scotland) and nine international clinical guidelines (in the USA and Europe) on the delivery of cardiac rehabilitation services.
Their Rehabilitation Enablement in Chronic Heart Failure (REACH-HF) research and trial developed a programme of home-based cardiac rehabilitation specifically for patients with heart failure and has directly informed the NICE Guideline for management of heart failure (2018). Since 2019, this BMJ award-winning care programme has been rolled out in eight ‘beacon’ NHS organisations in England, N Ireland and Scotland – areas with an estimated 43,000 people living with heart failure. The adoption of home-based cardiac rehabilitation has expanded significantly, and during the Covid pandemic the REACH-HF model of cardiac rehabilitation has been adapted as a digital/electronic intervention with online training, ensuring that this critical new approach was available to any patients needing such care.
2. Underpinning research
Taylor and Dalal’s Exeter-led research includes a long-standing programme of secondary research about cardiac rehabilitation (11 Cochrane Heart Group systematic reviews) and two major grants to develop and evaluate a theory-based, home-based, self-management cardiac rehabilitation intervention (REACH-HF) in heart failure patients. This work has incorporated a range of research methods, including systematic reviews, individual participant level meta-analysis, intervention mapping, randomised controlled trials, mixed methods process evaluation, economic modelling, and implementation science. This has been underpinned by six NIHR grants from 2007 to 2019, worth >£3M, which were all led by Taylor and/or Dalal.
2.1 Systematic reviews of cardiac rehabilitation in heart disease
Since 2008, Taylor and his team have led a portfolio of Cochrane systematic reviews/meta-analyses that now includes 11 systematic reviews. Within the health systems of high-income countries and in international clinical professional associations Cochrane systematic reviews are widely regarded as the most rigorous and authoritative sources of evidence on the effectiveness of health care interventions. This portfolio has demonstrated that exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation (CR) can substantively reduce the burden of heart disease and reduce the downstream costs of care for health systems [3.1; 3.2].
These systematic reviews have concluded that for a variety of heart disease populations (including after myocardial infarction, after revascularisation, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and post valve surgery) CR can result in important gains in patients’ health-related quality of life, reduce their risk of hospital admission, and therefore reduce health care costs [3.1; 3.2].
2.2 Cardiac rehabilitation for heart failure
Despite current national guideline recommendations, many heart failure patients who could benefit from CR do not receive it. Typically, less than 10% of patients with heart failure in UK, Europe and US have been offered CR (National Audit of Cardiac Rehabilitation data). Lack of resources and commissioning were seen as major barriers to offering traditional hospital-based CR to all eligible patients. The REACH-HF programme of studies, co-led by Taylor and Dalal, has developed and evaluated the outcome and costs of a home-based rehabilitation alternative to centre-based CR. The intervention was developed following systematic reviews of the literature, including qualitative synthesis of the experiences, attitudes, beliefs, and expectations of self-management of heart failure and Cochrane reviews and meta-analysis of cardiac rehabilitation in people with heart failure.
As a result, a home-based CR intervention was developed for heart failure patients and their carers, facilitated by a healthcare professional – ‘the REACH-HF intervention’. This was assessed in a multicentre randomised controlled trial of the clinical and cost-effectiveness of the CR intervention in heart failure patients [3.3].
The trial showed that the REACH-HF intervention improved health-related quality of life at 12 months and offers a cost-effective alternative to traditional centre-based CR. Delivering REACH-HF costs 12% less than the NHS reimbursement cost for centre-based CR [3.3]. Cost-effectiveness modelling also showed that the REACH-HF intervention is cost-effective use of NHS expenditure (according to current cost-effectiveness criteria applied by NICE **[3.4]**).
2.3 Other related research
The NIHR Health Technology Assessment programme funded an individual patient data meta-analysis to determine the effectiveness of exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation in subgroups of heart failure patients – ‘ExTraMATCH II’ project. This research confirmed the results of trial level meta-analyses, that CR results in an improvement in health-related quality of life of heart failure patients. In addition, this research showed that the effects of these benefits appear to be consistent across patients with different characteristics [3.5; 3.6].
3. References to the research
(Exeter authors in bold text)
Anderson L, Sharp GA, Norton RJ, Dalal H, Dean SG, Jolly K, Cowie A, Zawada A, Taylor RS. Home-based versus centre-based cardiac rehabilitation. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2017 Jun 30;6:CD007130. DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD007130.pub4.
Long L, Mordi IR, Bridges C, Sagar VA, Davies EJ, Coats AJS, Dalal H, Rees K, Singh SJ, Taylor RS. Exercise-Based Cardiac Rehabilitation for adults with Heart Failure: Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2019, Issue 1. Art. No.: CD003331. https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.CD003331.pub5
Dalal HM, Taylor RS, Jolly K, Davis RC, Doherty P, Miles J, van Lingen R, Warren FC, Green C, Wingham J, Greaves C, Sadler S, Hillsdon M, Abraham C, Britten N, Frost J, Singh S, Hayward C, Eyre V, Paul K, Lang CC, Smith K. The effects and costs of home-based rehabilitation for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: The REACH-HF multicentre randomized controlled trial. Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2019, 26(3):262-272 10:2047487318806358. DOI: 10.1177/2047487318806358.
Taylor RS, Sadler S, Dalal MH, Warren FC, Jolly K, Davis RC, Doherty P, Miles J, Greaves C, Wingham J, Hillsdon M, Abraham C, Frost J, Singh S, Hayward C, Eyre V, Paul K, Lang CC, Smith K. The cost effectiveness of REACH-HF and home-based cardiac rehabilitation in the treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: a decision model-based analysis. Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2019, 26(12):1252-1261. DOI: 10.1177/2047487319833507
Taylor RS, Walker S, Smart NA, Piepoli MF, Warren FC, Ciani O, O'Connor C, Whellan D, Keteyian SJ, Coats A, Davos CH, Dalal HM, Dracup K, Evangelista L, Jolly K, Myers J, McKelvie RS, Nilsson BB, Passino C, Witham MD, Yeh GY, Zwisler AO; ExTraMATCH II Collaboration. Impact of exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation in patients with heart failure (ExTraMATCH II) on mortality and hospitalisation: an individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised trials. Eur J Heart Failure. 2018 Dec;20(12):1735-1743. DOI: 10.1002/ejhf.1311
Taylor RS, Walker S, Smart NA, Piepoli MF, Warren FC, Ciani O, Whellan D, O'Connor C, Keteyian SJ, Coats A, Davos CH, Dalal HM, Dracup K, Evangelista LS, Jolly K, Myers J, Nilsson BB, Passino C, Witham MD, Yeh GY; ExTraMATCH II Collaboration. Impact of exercise rehabilitation on exercise capacity and quality-of-life in heart failure: Individual participant meta-analysis. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019;73:1430-1443. DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2018.12.072
4. Details of the impact
4.1 Informing clinical guidelines in the UK (NHS)
Heart disease:
The suite of eleven Exeter-led Cochrane reviews, published and updated since 2009, have directly informed the recommendations of the following UK clinical guidelines on the provision of rehabilitation for heart disease patients [5.1]. NICE clinical guidelines, while not mandatory, are effectively national policy on clinical best practice in the NHS in England and are typically also adopted in Wales and Scotland. The evidence base cited in NICE CG172 [ Myocardial infarction: cardiac rehabilitation and prevention of further cardiovascular disease, November 2013] recommendations state that “All patients (regardless of their age) should be given advice about and offered a CR programme with an exercise component” and “Offer cardiac rehabilitation programmes in a choice of venues (including at the person's home, in hospital and in the community)” [5.2].
Heart failure:
More recently, the NICE Heart Failure guidelines (CG108) were updated and replaced by NG106 Chronic heart failure in adults: diagnosis and management (September 2018) [5.3]. The latest update of the Cochrane review of home- vs centre-based CR [3.1] was used by the guideline committee (in January 2017, before its publication by Cochrane) to inform its guideline update [5.4]. This in turn has informed the NICE Quality Standards in relation to CR, specifically that adults with chronic heart failure are offered “the choice of undertaking the programme at home, in the community or in a hospital setting” and based on the stated rationale that “people with chronic heart failure are typically older and may be frail or have comorbidities. This can make it difficult for them to attend group‑based programmes at hospitals or clinics.” [5.5]
4.2 Informing international clinical guidelines
The collection of Exeter-led Cochrane reviews by Taylor’s team have also been directly cited in support of nine non-UK clinical or policy guidelines, covering the USA (incl. American Heart Association, American Association of Cardiovascular and Pulmonary Rehabilitation, American College of Cardiology – 3 guidelines) and Europe (European Society of Cardiology - 6) [5.1].
Exeter-led reviews formed the core publications in informing the recently published European Society of Cardiology’s 2020 ‘Position paper’ on ‘Secondary prevention through comprehensive cardiovascular rehabilitation’ [5.6]. This paper provides a comprehensive update of ‘the practical recommendations on the core components and goals of cardiac rehabilitation intervention in different cardiovascular conditions. It cites five of the Cochrane systematic reviews produced by Taylor’s team at Exeter (including **[3.1; 3.2]**), and the findings of the ExTraMATCH II Collaboration’s individual patient data meta-analysis [3.6] as evidence of the benefits for long-term improvements in prognosis and quality of life.
Exeter research by Taylor and Dalal has also directly informed the European Society of Cardiology’s international guideline on ‘ sports cardiology and exercise in patients with cardiovascular disease’ published in 2020 [5.7]. The guidance and recommendations cite seven Exeter research publications by Taylor and Dalal, including four of their Cochrane systematic reviews [5.1].
4.3 Expansion of home-based cardiac rehabilitation for heart failure in the UK
The first stage of the roll-out of the Exeter-developed REACH-HF model of cardiac rehabilitation began in April 2019 with the implementation of the REACH-HF intervention in four ‘Beacon’ sites in England/N Ireland, following a national competitive process for applications. The four NHS hospitals/trusts piloting and providing the REACH-HF model of CR for their heart failure patients, are: Gloucester, UCL Hospital London, the Wirral, and Belfast. The primary purposes of the Beacon sites are: (a) to provide a foundational infrastructure and learning to stimulate other sites across the NHS to take up REACH-HF and overcome the current NHS national shortfall of the provision of rehabilitation for heart failure (as highlighted in the 2018 NICE guidance on heart failure and the 2019 NHS Long Term Plan); (b) to collect routine data ( National Audit for Cardiac Rehabilitation (NACR) – part of NHS Digital) on heart failure patients at each site, so we can assure that similar improvements in health outcomes in the ‘real world’ setting are achieved as seen in our RCTs. [5.8]
In parallel with this, we have been working with stakeholders and the National Association of Cardiac Rehabilitation on more general roll-out of REACH-HF cardiac rehabilitation across the NHS, so that it can become available to all heart failure patients [5.9]. In Spring 2020, four further sites (Health Boards) in Scotland started implementing the REACH-HF model of cardiac rehabilitation for their existing and newly diagnosed heart failure patients. The Scottish Health Boards involved include urban (Forth Valley), rural (Lanarkshire, Ayrshire and Arran) and remote populations (Inverness, Shetland, Orkney).
The eight Beacon sites in England/Northern Ireland (since April 2019) and Scotland cover a population of 2.7 million people and an estimated 43,000 people living with heart failure. However, due to the COVID pandemic, by the end of November 2020 only 158 people had received the complete REACH-HF rehabilitation intervention at the England/NI sites (National Audit of Cardiac Rehabilitation data). Nevertheless, NACR data also show that from 2019 (May-Jan) to 2020 (Feb-Aug) the proportion of patients enrolling in home-based CR had increased substantially from 22% to 74%. The Wirral Cardiovascular Prevention and Rehabilitation Programme has integrated home-based rehabilitation for patients with heart failure (REACH-HF) through new delivery methods, both prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic, and has been added to NICE’s Shared learning database of implementation examples (linked to NG106, NG185 and QS9 NICE guidelines and standards [5.2], [5.3], **[5.5]**).
In March 2020, Dalal was awarded a further £159,000 from the British Heart Foundation to further expand the development and implementation of the REACH-HF model of rehabilitation as a digital/electronic intervention with online training for care professionals. Between May and December 2020, 102 health care professionals (cardiac nurses, physio/exercise therapists) from over 50 NHS centres have received the REACH-HF online training. Each was also given at least 10 REACH-HF intervention packs to support over 1000 vulnerable heart failure patients affected by restricted access to cardiac rehab during the pandemic. Together, these achievements have led to the REACH-HF Collaboration receiving the 2020 BMJ Award for Stroke and Cardiovascular care [5.10].
In summary, for over a decade, an extensive programme of research encompassing systematic reviews and meta-analyses, feasibility studies and randomised trials of cardiac rehabilitation interventions in heart disease, have directly informed national policy (e.g. NICE & SIGN Guidelines) and international clinical guidelines in Europe and North America. The provision of home-based cardiac rehabilitation has expanded, and the REACH-HF model of home-based cardiac rehabilitation for heart failure has been shown to be feasible, effective and cost-effective in NHS contexts, and is also being rolled out in a growing number of areas around the UK.
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
Table of 4 national and 9 international clinical guidelines, and how Exeter-led Cochrane Review evidence informed them. Shows which specific recommendations in each piece of published guidance cited each Exeter Cochrane systematic review or other research publication.
NICE Clinical Guideline [CG172]. Myocardial infarction: cardiac rehabilitation and prevention of further cardiovascular disease. Published 13 November 2013. URL: https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/cg172/evidence In Appendix G Clinical Evidence Tables, including the RCT by Dalal and Taylor. Now incorporated in evidence folders for NG185 (2020): https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng185/evidence
NICE Guideline [NG106]. Chronic heart failure in adults: diagnosis and management. Published 12 September 2018. URL: https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng106
Letter from the Chief Operating Officer of the National Guideline Centre.
Quality statement 7; NICE Quality Standard [QS9]: Chronic Heart Failure in Adults, Updated 12 Sept 2018. https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/qs9/chapter/Quality-statement-7-developmental-Options-for-cardiac-rehabilitation
Ambrosetti M, Abreu A, Corra U, et al. Secondary prevention through comprehensive cardiovascular rehabilitation: From knowledge to implementation. 2020 update. A position paper from the Secondary Prevention and Rehabilitation Section of the European Association of Preventive Cardiology. European Journal of Preventive Cardiology, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1177/2047487320913379
The Task Force on sports cardiology and exercise in patients with cardiovascular disease of the European Society of Cardiology (Pelliccia et al 2020). Eur Heart Journal 2020. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehaa605
National Audit of Cardiac Rehabilitation data from the England/N Ireland NHS Beacon sites project [to Qtr 4 2020 ***NB COVID-impacted*\]
Letter from NIHR PGfAR, supporting the REACH-HF four NHS Beacon sites (England) proposal extension/implementation project.
2020 BMJ Awards: Stroke and Cardiovascular Award; in recognition of “the extraordinary and innovative work of healthcare teams across the UK” and “collaborations to improve services in a wide range of settings across the NHS and healthcare” http://thebmjawards.bmj.com/showcase/
- Submitting institution
- University of Exeter
- Unit of assessment
- 2 - Public Health, Health Services and Primary Care
- Summary impact type
- Environmental
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
Until recently, recognition of the value of the natural environment as a health asset was lacking in health and environmental policy. Interdisciplinary research at Exeter’s European Centre for Environment and Human Health led to a paradigm shift in how health policy, environmental planning and public heath practice harness the potential of natural environments for supporting health. The impact of Exeter’s research has included:
internationally: The research has influenced the work of the World Health Organisation (WHO) e.g. WHO urging member state action on urban green space for health;
nationally: Policy decisions have been informed by research evidence e.g. UK Government investment of >£15million in natural environment-based population health promotion programmes and environmental social prescribing schemes; and
locally: Research has changed public health practice in Dorset, Cornwall and the third sector, and stimulated foreign direct investment e.g. EU investment of £3.5m in urban Public Open Space in Cornwall for health and biodiversity gain.
2. Underpinning research
Previous health, environment and planning policy was not explicit about linking the health and wellbeing benefits from the natural environment nor on how to maximise them; our work has changed this. This case study is based on a decade of research led by interdisciplinary academics at the European Centre for Environment and Human Health (‘the Centre’), at the University of Exeter Medical School. A targeted combination of approaches including observational epidemiological studies, lab-based experimental studies, field experiments, qualitative research, evidence synthesis (including systematic reviews), and policy and practice analyses have been used to build a coherent body of evidence. Our research has demonstrated, quantified and transformed understanding of the contribution of natural environments to human population health and well-being, including:
2.1 How natural environments can promote health
As core members of the UK Centre of the Collaboration for Environmental Evidence, we have pioneered the application of systematic review methodologies to environment and health issues. Our systematic review of the potential health impacts of environmental volunteering [3.1], the first ever mixed-methods Cochrane systematic review, clarified the key mechanisms for successful interventions and activities using natural environments for health and wellbeing. It found that environment-based interventions could result in health impacts through mechanisms including physical activity, social contact and personal achievement. Our systematic review of the health and well-being benefits of biodiverse environments [3.2] flagged the potential of thinking beyond ‘green space vs grey space’ for health and environment. It showed the mutual benefit of each and demonstrated significant inconsistencies and weaknesses in the evidence base, and the need for high quality, interdisciplinary research to better inform decision-making.
2.2 The scale of health economic values and wellbeing benefit of natural environments
In collaboration with Public Health England (PHE) and Natural England (NE), we showed that outdoor physical activity delivers an estimated £2.2bn worth of health benefits to adults in England each year [3.3]. This study used NE’s unique Monitor of Engagement with the Natural Environment data to estimate physical activity associated with 1.13bn active visits per year to natural environments in England, and applied standard Metabolic Equivalent of Task ratios to estimate Quality-Adjusted Life-Year gains and their health-related economic values. Further analysis [3.4] identified a potential 120-minute/week threshold for outdoor activity to achieve health gains. This study estimated the relationship between actual time spent outdoors in nature (as opposed to residential proximity to green spaces) and self-reported health and subjective wellbeing. Our analysis identified this possible threshold, and the relationship was not solely explained through the increased physical activity associated with time outdoors. These studies established a more comprehensive set of health-related economic values of natural environments than was previously available, which led to the development of the Greenkeeper tool.
2.3 Moving to greener neighbourhoods improves health
Our studies using the 18-year British Household Panel Survey were among the first to use robust longitudinal approaches to demonstrate that people moving to greener urban neighbourhoods have subsequent better mental health outcomes, and that positive effects last for at least three years following a move [3.5]. The novel use of long-term panel data permitted intra-individual analysis, improving causal inference relative to existing evidence at the time. In particular the approach reduced the likelihood that the observed greenspace-health association is due to selective migration of healthy, wealthy individuals toward greener areas.
2.4 Identified opportunities and strategies for cross-sectoral policy and service delivery
Collaborative synthesis and policy-focussed research with Defra, NE and other Governmental partners identified opportunities to transform Defra’s role in promoting public health and the integration of health into the new Green Infrastructure Standards for England [5.1]. Similarly, collaborative research with PHE and Local Authorities in the South West has informed how PHE works with local authorities to deliver health improvement through local government planning, environment and land use policy and delivery [5.2; 5.3; 5.4]. Supporting linkage of environmental policy and social care practice, our systematic review on the value of natural environment engagement in care home settings [3.6] demonstrated promising evidence of reduced agitation in care home residents with dementia who spend time in a garden.
This large interdisciplinary body of research has shown that the natural environment plays a critical role in delivering health and wellbeing benefits. We have also shown that the scale and likely causal pathways of these benefits have previously been underestimated and undefined.
3. References to the research
Husk, K., Lovell, R., Cooper, C., Stahl-Timmins, W., Garside, R., 2016. Participation in environmental enhancement and conservation activities for health and well-being in adults: a review of quantitative and qualitative evidence. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, CD010351. doi:10.1002/14651858.CD010351.pub2
Lovell, R., Wheeler, B.W., Higgins, S.L., Irvine, K.N., Depledge, M.H., 2014. A systematic review of the health and well-being benefits of biodiverse environments. J Toxicol Environ Health B Crit Rev 17, 1-20. doi:10.1080/10937404.2013.856361
White, M.P., Elliott, L.R., Taylor, T., Wheeler, B.W., Spencer, A., Bone, A., Depledge, M.H., Fleming, L.E., 2016. Recreational physical activity in natural environments and implications for health: A population based cross-sectional study in England. Prev Med 91, 383-388. doi:10.1016/j.ypmed.2016.08.023
White, M.P., Alcock, I., Grellier, J., Wheeler, B.W., Hartig, T., Warber, S.L., Bone, A., Depledge, M.H., Fleming, L.E., 2019. Spending at least 120 minutes a week in nature is associated with good health and wellbeing. Scientific Reports 9: 1, 7730. doi:10.1038/s41598-019-44097-3
Alcock, I., White, M.P., Wheeler, B.W., Fleming, L.E., Depledge, M.H ., 2014. Longitudinal effects on mental health of moving to greener and less green urban areas. Environ Sci Technol 48, 1247-1255. doi:10.1021/es403688w
Whear R., Thompson-Coon J., Bethel A., Abbott R., Stein K., Garside R. 2014 What is the impact of using outdoor spaces such as gardens on the physical and mental wellbeing of those with dementia? A systematic review of quantitative and qualitative evidence Journal of the American Medical Directors Association 15 (10); 697-705. doi: 10.1016/j.jamda.2014.05.013
4. Details of the impact
Human health and wellbeing depend on the environment and well-functioning ecosystems. This linkage was historically poorly recognised in both environment and health policy. Research from the Centre has changed policy mind-sets, strategies and practice. Our evidence has strengthened conservation, environmental management and investment policy at scales from local to international by clarifying the role of ‘natural capital’ in supporting human health and wellbeing.
Traditionally, environmental policies relating to human health have been dominated by hazards; our evidence means these are now balanced by the recognition of the health and wellbeing benefits of good quality natural environments. Our research impact has been amplified through active engagement and close collaborations with policy bodies who have recognised our expertise and invited participation in a range of expert advisory roles and joint projects.
4.1 Influencing international policy on natural environment and health
Our research has led to changes in international policy and strategy in both the health and environment sectors. Since 2015, we have worked with the WHO Regional Office for Europe and the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) on urban greenspace, biodiversity and health. Our 2014 systematic review [3.2] of links between biodiverse environments and ‘good’ health was used to inform the ratification of two key CBD decisions on biodiversity and human health, with a joint CBD/WHO report co-authored by Lovell [5.5]. These decisions invite the 195 nation state signatories, and the European Union, to act on the linkages in developing health and environmental strategies (COP12 decision XII/21; COP13 decision XIII/6). These international decisions set the context for national policymaking, including the UK Government 25 Year Plan for the Environment [5.6]. The CBD/WHO report was also used to inform the implementation of the relevant 2030 UN Sustainable Development Goals adopted in 2015 by all UN member states (especially SDG3 (health), but also SDGs 7 (water quality) and 11 (nature-based solutions to challenges related to urban well-being). The WHO’s Technical Officer said “ [The systematic review by ECEHH] was instrumental in getting the WHO to pick up that theme [benefits of nature/biodiversity for health], to make this a WHO topic.” [5.7].
Recognition of our research outputs and expertise led to Depledge and Wheeler contributing one of three chapters of the key 2016 WHO evidence review, on Urban green spaces and health, underpinning WHO urban greenspace action [5.8]. Wheeler was subsequently a member of an Expert Group advising WHO, ultimately resulting in WHO’s Urban green spaces: a brief for action for authorities promoting and supporting action for urban greenspaces. WHO’s Technical Officer on this programme said
“…this understanding of what matters is something where Exeter was different to many academic actors. There was a stronger understanding of what it takes on a local level to work on it and fund [green space] to make it functional and operational. This is where Exeter made a difference in terms of how the outputs and the research work were positioned, and how they can be useful to local practitioners.” [5.7]
4.2 Influencing national policy on natural environment and health
At the national scale, the Centre’s research resulted in a joint report and Departmental briefing that informed the Government’s position on natural environment and health. The report was produced by a collaboration between the Centre, Defra, PHE and related stakeholders, who synthesised existing evidence (including from Centre researchers) and conducted primary research. This report, along with the key WHO report [5.8], were the key sources underpinning the health aspects of the UK Government 25 Year Plan for the Environment [5.6]. Consequently, Defra has established policy commitments including the creation of national standards for Green Infrastructure, the transformation of agricultural subsidies to a focus on public goods (including health), environmental investments (e.g., planting 11m trees by 2022), and large-scale initiatives. Approximately £10 million has been committed to these health and nature programmes, reaching significant populations including over 500 schools [5.6]. The Research Adviser, at Defra explained:
“Defra wouldn’t be picking up on this agenda if there wasn’t some evidence underpinning it… I don’t think the evidence would be available to us in the same form if it wasn’t for your Centre... There’s a major value to society from understanding the health benefits - health costs and benefits are absolutely huge. So, if we can get a better handle on the health costs and benefits linked to the environment, then that’s part of a much broader agenda that Defra has realised it should be doing more on” [5.1].
Our evidence is influencing public health processes at the national scale, in part through our collaboration with PHE and the Health Protection Research Unit in Environmental Change and Health. Our research findings (e.g. **[3.5]**) were used to establish the basis for the value of investing in urban green spaces for population mental health in PHE guidance to local authority planners Spatial Planning for Health [5.2]; and in PHE guidance (co-authored by Lovell) on accessible greenspace, leading to the prominence of health in the new Green Infrastructure standards for England associated with the 25 Year Plan [5.6]. Our work with Defra, PHE and the NHS, and evidence reviews of the impacts of nature-based health interventions [3.1; 3.6] have contributed to additional Government investment of £5m in social prescribing [5.6].
4.3 Influencing local policy and practice on natural environment and health
The Centre’s research directly led to the creation of a commercial tool, Greenkeeper, to evaluate the multiple economic values of urban green infrastructure. Prior to our longitudinal studies [3.5], there was no robust estimation of the magnitude of the positive impact of urban greenspace on population mental health, contributing to the under-valuing of urban nature. This work led to our collaboration with Vivid Economics and Barton Willmore on the Innovate UK-funded Greenkeeper project. This involved the development and application of our studies of mental health and physical activity values [3.3; 3.4] to incorporate health-related values in the tool. Greenkeeper has already been used for a range of purposes, including to support a 2020 call from National Trust and Heritage Lottery Fund to press the Government for £5.5bn green infrastructure funding as part of a ‘green recovery’ to address inequalities in access to nature highlighted by the Covid-19 pandemic [5.9].
At the local scale, our research has also been used to inform decision making and investment to promote the health and well-being of Dorset’s population, and reduce pressure on its health and care services. Our existing research and green space access mapping, carried out in collaboration with Public Health (PH) Dorset, underpinned the Healthy Places Strategy applied within PH Dorset’s Sustainability and Transformation Partnership and Integrated Care System. Their Head of Programmes said:
“accessibility mapping has helped to inform the identification of pilot parks…for accessibility enhancement through a blended programme of community engagement and activation, and infrastructure improvements. Research from the European Centre was instrumental in…direct investment by Public Health Dorset of £77,900…to increase engagement with natural environments/greenspaces through enhancements to physical infrastructure and social engagement” [5.4].
Cornwall Council, under significant financial pressure due to austerity, identified a need to recognise the health value as well as biodiversity benefits of the almost 2000 parks, amenity and natural open spaces managed by the Council. Collaborative work resulting from the ESRC-funded Beyond Greenspace project [3.5] led to co-produced outputs appended to the Council’s Open Space Strategy and has supported investment in and sustainable management of public open spaces for community health benefit in the future [5.3]. Health evidence input from the Centre contributed to a successful bid led by the Council (with Exeter as a Knowledge Exchange partner) to the European Structural and Investment Fund resulting in a £3.5m green space development project (with an additional £2.9m follow-on project), currently delivering >60 hectares of improved urban green space quality and accessibility in Cornish towns [5.3].
Our evidence has also directly supported improvements in care settings and built confidence in staff to support residents to make use of their outdoor spaces. Our evidence synthesis of the beneficial impacts of gardens in care homes for people with dementia [3.6], together with a co-produced systematic review with the Sensory Trust (a third sector organisation), about older people’s sensory engagement with nature, has informed practice in care homes in the South West. The Sensory Trust is a nationally leading authority on inclusive and sensory design, which works on delivery of large-scale UK government programmes. Our collaboration produced an evidence-based information and activity kit, My Nature. The Sensory Trust’s Director said:
“… we've developed something that's really valuable for [care homes] to have…we were aware that they were continuing to implement activities on the basis of [My Nature] so…that's positive… It's a result of that relationship and seeing the skills that you bring [that] opened up those opportunities for us…we definitely see a real value in having collaborations that bring research and practice together.” [5.10].
In summary, our research outputs have directly informed policy and practice at international, national and local scales, and have led to substantive collaborations embedding Exeter researchers within decision making. This was recognised in November 2019, with the designation of the Centre as a WHO Collaborating Centre on Natural Environments and Health.
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
Testimony from: Defra (Social Research Adviser) 24/3/2020
Public Health England (2017) Spatial Planning for Health: An evidence resource for planning and designing healthier places. London: PHE. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spatial-planning-for-health-evidence-review
Cornwall Council (County Ecologist) – partner benefit report form 9/5/2017
Testimony from: Public Health Dorset (Head of Programmes – Research & Intelligence) 16/9/2020
World Health Organization and Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity, 2015. Connecting Global Priorities: Biodiversity and Human Health. https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/index.php?page=view&type=400&nr=1785&menu=35
Defra, 2018. A Green Future: Our 25 Year Plan to Improve the Environment. HM Government. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/25-year-environment-plan
Testimony from: WHO Europe (Technical Officer, Urban Health Equity) 13/3/2020
WHO Regional Office for Europe (2016). Urban green spaces and health: a review of evidence. Copenhagen: WHO Regional Office for Europe http://www.euro.who.int/en/health-topics/environment-and-health/urban-health/publications/2016/urban-green-spaces-and-health-a-review-of-evidence-2016
Greenkeeper (2020) Greenkeeper supported call to Government for £5.5bn Green Infrastructure Funding. http://www.greenkeeperuk.co.uk/2020/07/06/greenkeeper-supported-call-to-government-for-5-5bn-green-infrastructure-funding/ 6 July 2020.
Testimony from: Sensory Trust (Director) 4/9/2020