Impact case study database
- Submitting institution
- University of Cambridge
- Unit of assessment
- 30 - Philosophy
- Summary impact type
- Societal
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
Prof Chambers’ research in feminist philosophy has had significant impact on UK national policy, law, medical practice, and public understanding. Chambers contributed ethical analysis to a major Nuffield Council report on Cosmetic Procedures, which has significantly influenced the Council’s lobbying on cosmetic procedure regulation and their engagement with UK government ministers, parliament, and stakeholders. Chambers has also given talks to cosmetic surgeons, leading to many changing their practice to lengthen consultations and explore alternatives to surgery with their patients. This policy and practice impact has been complemented by public engagement on this topic and on the issues raised in her book Against Marriage. One outcome of the latter was Chambers’ significant influence on a case made to the Supreme Court in 2018 that successfully legalised different-sex civil partnerships.
2. Underpinning research
The impact featured in this case study has been achieved thanks to applications of Chambers’ feminist political philosophy, particularly her work on the problematic status of choice in liberalism. Chambers’ research carried out at the University of Cambridge since 2006 on the difficulties of choice addressed a problem for theories of liberalism that afford inviolability to individual autonomy. Autonomous individuals often choose to do things that harm themselves or undermine their own equality. In particular, women often choose to participate in practices of sexual inequality—cosmetic surgery, gendered patterns of work and childcare, makeup, restrictive clothing, or the sexual subordination required by membership in certain religious groups.
In her 2008 book Sex, Culture, and Justice: the Limits of Choice [R1] Chambers argued that a theory of justice cannot ignore the influence of culture and the role it plays in shaping choices. On Chambers’ analysis, culture shapes choices in at least two ways: by influencing a person’s preferences; and by restricting the options that are available. Given that cultures shape choices, Chambers argues that it is problematic to use those choices as the measure of the justice of the culture. Drawing upon feminist critiques of gender inequality and poststructuralist theories of social construction, the book argues that we should accept some of the multicultural claims about the importance of culture in shaping our actions and identities, but that we should reach the opposite normative conclusion to that of multiculturalists and many liberals. Rather than using the idea of social construction to justify cultural respect or protection, we should use it to ground a critical stance toward cultural norms.
Since the publication of her book in 2008, Chambers has developed this critical stance on the absolute value of choice with regard to a number of harmful practices, two of which have been of particular concern to policymakers with whom she has worked: cosmetic surgery and UK marriage law. Chambers’ work on cosmetic surgery spans a number of articles developing critical insights first proposed in [R1]. In work that builds directly on her earlier book, she has challenged the idea that appeal to choice exonerates a number of suspect cosmetic surgical practices. For example, Chambers has argued that appealing to choice will not excuse Female Genital Cosmetic Surgery, on the grounds that the choice to undergo such surgery both disadvantages those who make it, and is made in response to identifiable pressures to choose the surgery [R6]. “Judging Women” [R2] brings together various aspects of the critique of choice, discussing the various uses and abuses of judgment. In related work, she has also argued that prohibition of infant circumcision and female genital cutting is consistent with liberal neutrality since prohibition recognises the reasonable disagreement around the practice [R4] and the principle of bodily integrity [R5].
In a very different area of application of the same underlying philosophical stance, Chambers has attracted a great deal of attention after the publication of her book Against Marriage [R3], in which she argues that state-recognised marriage violates both equality and liberty and proposes a marriage-free, egalitarian state in which religious or secular marriages are permitted but have no legal status. Part of her argument against marriage relies on a theory of social construction that Chambers first developed in her earlier book [R1]: even with the introduction of same-sex marriage, the cultural norms that determine the meaning of marriage, and the racist and sexist history of marriage, mean that marriage remains an institution of inequality. As Chambers had previously suggested and in this later work argues in full, a woman’s choice to participate in such an institution cannot be just if that choice is subject to influence and disadvantages women.
3. References to the research
[R1] Chambers, Clare, Sex, Culture and Justice: The Limits of Choice (Penn State University Press, 2008).
[R2] Chambers, Clare, “Judging Women: Twenty-five Years Further Toward a Feminist Theory of the State” in Feminist Philosophy Quarterly Vol. 3 No. 2 (2017).
[R3] Chambers, Clare, Against Marriage: An Egalitarian Defence of the Marriage-Free State (Oxford University Press, 2017).
[R4] Chambers, Clare, “Reasonable disagreement and the neutralist dilemma: Abortion and circumcision in Matthew Kramer’s Liberalism with Excellence” in The American Journal of Jurisprudence (2018).
[R5] Earp, Brian D., Clare Chambers, et al., “Medically unnecessary genital cutting and the child’s right to bodily integrity: an international expert consensus statement” in American Journal of Bioethics (2019).
[R6] Chambers, Clare, “Medicalised genital cutting and the limits of choice” in Female Genital Cosmetic Surgery: Interdisciplinary Analysis and Solution, edited by Sarah Creighton and Lih-Mei Lao (Cambridge University Press, 2019).
Each of these outputs has either passed peer review and/or been published with a major academic press
4. Details of the impact
Impact on and via the Nuffield Council on Bioethics
Chambers’ research at the University of Cambridge led to an invitation from the Nuffield Council on Bioethics to be a member of its Working Party on Cosmetic Procedures, which produced a report in 2017 titled Cosmetic Procedures: Ethical Issues [E1]. Chambers’ academic work on feminism, gender, appearance, and choice has directly affected both her invitation to join the Working Party and the content of the report itself. Katharine Wright, the Assistant Director at the Nuffield Council confirms the nature and significance of Chambers’ contributions to their report on cosmetic procedures [E2]:
[Chambers] contributed substantially to the ethical analysis that underpins the practical policy recommendations contained within the report, particularly with reference to the importance of avoiding simplistic distinctions between ‘therapeutic’ and ‘cosmetic’ interventions, and the need to look more closely at the way social norms underpin many apparently therapeutic demands for interventions. Clare’s existing work in this area is cited in the report, and she was generous in sharing her thinking with the working group in discussion, and in helping formulate a consensus response.
Clare has also been active in disseminating our work since publication, including through citing the report in her own publications; and presenting the ethics framework of our report at a 2017 Royal Society of Medicine conference on ‘Changing the image of cosmetic surgery’.
The Cosmetic Procedures report included a number of recommendations to the Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) to improve its regulation of advertising that could increase social pressure to conform to an unrealistic body shape. These recommendations, partly based on Chambers’ ethical analysis of the way that social norms influence choice of surgery [E1], have had impact on the ASA, which has responded by publishing online advice to advertisers that they ‘should ensure that they don’t portray particular body types in an irresponsible manner’ [E3]. The British Association of Aesthetic Plastic Surgeons has also publicly supported Nuffield’s recommendation that the ASA play a more proactive role in regulating advertisement of cosmetic procedures [E3].
The report has also had significant influence on the lobbying activity of the Nuffield Council, some of which has been led by Chambers herself. In recognition of her ongoing work with the Nuffield Council, she was appointed a Council member in March 2020. On 23 September 2020, Chambers gave evidence on behalf of the Nuffield Council to the Women and Equalities Select Committee Inquiry into Body Image. Among other things, Chambers drew attention to a number of Nuffield Council recommendations and was asked to provide more details in writing to the Committee [E8]. On 24 November 2020 she also contributed to a meeting of the All-Party Parliamentary Group Inquiry on Beauty, Ethics, and Well-Being.
Nuffield’s one-year update on the impact of their report [E3] also notes a range of other consequent lobbying activity undertaken by Nuffield, including: meetings with government ministers; formal submissions to Government departments, parliamentary committees, and regulatory bodies; meetings with non-governmental policy bodies; and questions raised in the House of Lords and the House of Commons.
Impact on non-academic medical professionals
Chambers has presented her work directly to non-academic audiences including clinicians, regulators, policy makers, activists, and lawyers. She has given three separate lectures, covering questions of freedom and social influence in the choice to undergo cosmetic surgery, to professional associations of cosmetic and plastic surgeons: twice to the British Association of Plastic, Reconstructive, and Aesthetic Surgeons (BAPRAS) in 2019, and once to the Royal Society of Medicine in October 2017. Her talks questioned whether the choice to undergo cosmetic surgery is really a free choice, and highlighted problems with the role that social norms play in the motivations of cosmetic surgery patients. In total these lectures were attended by more than 400 leading surgeons, clinical practitioners, and industry figures (including the CEO of the largest cosmetic surgery company in the UK) [E4].
The President of BAPRAS has spoken highly of Chambers’ work and its impact on the profession. He writes:
‘Without Dr Chambers's work many surgeons would not have thought to question the motivations of their patients, but would have seen their role as fundamentally to deliver the patients' requests for surgery. Many of our members have now modified their practice to include longer consultations, with deeper investigation into the patients' aims and hopes, and a greater willingness to explore alternatives to surgery together with their patients.’ Mark Henley [E4]
Public engagement, leading to impact on UK law
In addition to her work with policymakers and practitioners, Chambers has undertaken extensive public engagement work based both on her research on beauty norms and cosmetic surgery, and on her research on marriage. Her public engagement regarding the former has included a radio essay entitled ‘Rethinking the Body’ for Rethink, a BBC series of radio essays discussing how the world should change after the coronavirus pandemic. Since its first broadcast on 24/5/2020, this essay has been featured and prompted further discussion on Radio 4’s Woman’s Hour (25/6/2020) and Radio 5 Live’s Stephen Nolan Show (29/6/2020). Public engagement undertaken by Chambers around her book Against Marriage has included articles for The New Statesman, Times Literary Supplement, and Aeon (the latter the most read Aeon article in the week of its publication, with 101,414 views and 4,522 Facebook shares [E5]); interviews in El País and on podcasts Talking Politics, Public Intellectual, and Philosophy 24/7, and a wide range of public talks at e.g. the Hay Festival Segovia (Spanish twin of the Hay-on-Wye Festival), the Bigg Books speaker series in Newcastle upon Tyne, and the University of Cambridge Festival of Ideas [E6].
One particularly significant consequence of this consciousness-raising work was that Chambers’ research on marriage shaped Rebecca Steinfeld’s and Charles Keidan’s legal and political campaign to legalise different-sex civil partnerships. In 2018, the Supreme Court ruled unanimously in favour of Steinfeld and Keidan in their case against the terms of the Civil Partnership Act 2004, which created the legal institution of civil partnerships for same-sex couples but not for different-sex couples. As a result, different-sex civil partnerships became legal on 31 December 2019.
The arguments made in Chambers’ book Against Marriage were particularly significant for the campaign, and helped to improve Steinfeld and Keidan’s strategy on their way to success with the Supreme Court:
‘Clare Chambers's work has definitely influenced our thinking and campaigning for Equal Civil Partnerships. […] It also encouraged us to widen the campaign strategy to focus on choice and family stability more generally, something that helped us build the cross-party consensus that was so crucial to the ultimate legislative success of our campaign. And as we drew the campaign to a close, I used the final media opportunities to push for that deeper conversation. For example, I recorded a Woman's Hour interview that was broadcast on New Year’s Eve 2019, as we were forming our civil partnership, with Clare's work in mind.’
Co-founder of the Campaign for Equal Civil Partnerships in the UK [E7]
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
[E1] Nuffield Council on Bioethics working group on cosmetic procedures report – confirms Chambers’ membership of the working group and her influence on the report in multiple citations of her work. For the connection between Chambers’ research and the recommendations to the ASA see especially paragraphs 2.2 and 2.3, and 8.4-8.13.
[E2] Testimonial from Nuffield Council Assistant Director – confirms the nature and significance of Chambers’ contribution to the Cosmetic Procedures report
[E3] Nuffield Council working group one-year later impact report – confirms response of the Advertising Standards Authority to Nuffield’s recommendations and the Nuffield lobbying activity resulting from the report. See pgs. 5-6.
[E4] Email corroborating lecture attendance figures and letter from the BAPRAS President– confirms the nature and significance of Chambers’ impact on cosmetic surgeons
[E5] Email from philosophy editor at Aeon confirming page views and shares, screenshot of tweet from Aeon confirming it was the most read in its week of publication.
[E6] Compendium of screenshots of articles and webpages confirming these public engagement events
[E7] Message from the Co-founder of the Campaign for Equal Civil Partnerships in the UK – confirms Chambers’ impact on Steinfeld and Keidan legal campaign against the terms of the Civil Partnership Act 2004
[E8] We have provided an audio clip from parliamentlive.tv. The clip is from towards the end of the evidence session, when Chambers explains recommendations for legislation and is asked to write to the Committee with details of those recommendations.
- Submitting institution
- University of Cambridge
- Unit of assessment
- 30 - Philosophy
- Summary impact type
- Societal
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
The Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence (LCFI) was founded in 2016 to explore the short-term and long-term opportunities and challenges of artificial intelligence. Thanks to the Centre´s research and lobbying activity, governments, policymakers, and AI businesses around the world have introduced measures to improve AI governance and uphold ethical standards in the development of new AI technologies. LCFI research has led to: the inclusion of AI governance in the remit of the UK government’s new Centre for Data Ethics and Innovation; contributions to national and international AI governance documents, including the report of the UK Parliamentary Select Committee on AI and strategies published by the US Government and the European Union; and changes to a number of AI company and industry policies.
2. Underpinning research
LCFI has built a new interdisciplinary community of researchers, with strong links to technologists and the policy world, and a clear practical goal: to work together to ensure that we make the best of the opportunities of artificial intelligence as it develops over coming decades. LCFI’s research explores the short and long-term opportunities and challenges of a potentially epoch-making technology. The Centre was launched in 2016 with GBP10 million grant from the Leverhulme Trust. LCFI is based at the University of Cambridge, with partners at the University of Oxford, Imperial College London, and the University of California, Berkeley. Though the Centre is interdisciplinary and involves researchers from a range of departments at Cambridge, all underpinning research featured in this case study has either been led by or exclusively undertaken by philosophers at Cambridge. Most of these philosophers are based in either the Faculty of Philosophy or the Department of History and Philosophy of Science, though Sean Ó hÉigeartaigh is employed directly by LCFI and by the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (featured in another of our impact case studies).
LCFI philosophical research in AI addresses both the dangers and the opportunities afforded by AI technology. The dangers studied by the Centre range from concerns around transparency of algorithms to the potential for AI technologies to undermine core principles of democracy. The work most relevant to LCFI’s impact includes:
Assessment of the potential for the rhetoric of AI innovation as a competitive international ‘race’ to lead to less responsible AI technological development. This work suggests alternative, more collaborative approaches with reduced risk. [R1]
Work arguing against the common tendency in AI research to sharply distinguish short-term from long-term risks, on the grounds that neither research planning nor policy development should treat these two perspectives separately. [R3]
Study of the global security risks resulting from AI or robotics-caused harm, and how international law and regulation can respond to these risks. [R2]
A comprehensive, peer-reviewed report, published by the Nuffield Foundation, on the research challenges of ethical AI and related technologies. [R4]
Work arguing that AI ethics in practice must move beyond the enunciation of principles towards developing processes for addressing value conflicts and trade-offs. [R5]
Work arguing that the discourse of AI can perpetuate a range of biases and ideologies, such as racial prejudice. [R6]
This work on the risks and opportunities of AI has been complemented by the Animal AI Olympics project run by a team of LCFI researchers led by philosopher of cognitive science Marta Halina. The competition incentivises AI developers to pit their best approaches against animal intelligence to test whether cutting-edge AI technology can compete with simple animals when adapting to unexpected changes in the environment. This competition, rather than stipulating a specific task, provides a well-defined arena (launched April 2019) and a list of cognitive abilities tested in that arena. [R7]
3. References to the research
[R1] Cave, S., O hÉigeartaigh, S. (2018). An AI race for strategic advantage: Rhetoric and risks. Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI). [Link]
The paper won Best Paper Award at the 2018 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics and Society.
[R2] Kunz, M., Ó hÉigeartaigh, S. (2020). Artificial Intelligence and robotization. In R. Geiß and N. Melzer (Eds.), Oxford handbook on the international law of global security (16 pp.). Oxford University Press. [DOI]
[R3] Cave, S., O hÉigeartaigh, S. (2019). Bridging near- and long-term concerns about AI. Nature Machine Intelligence, 1, 5-6. [DOI]
[R4] Whittlestone, J., Nyrup, R., Alexandrova, A., Dihal, K., Cave, S. (2019). Ethical and societal implications of algorithms, data, and Artificial Intelligence: A roadmap for research. The Nuffield Foundation. ISBN: 9781916021105. [Link]
[R5] Whittlestone, J., Nyrup, R., Alexandrova, A., Cave, S. (2019). The role and limits of principles in AI ethics: Towards a focus on tensions. AIES '19: Proceedings of the 2019 AAAI/ACM Conference on AI, Ethics, and Society , 195-200. [DOI]
[R6] Cave, S., Dihal, K. (2020). The whiteness of AI. Philosophy & Technology, 3, 685-703. [DOI]
[R7] Crosby, M., Beyret, B., Halina, M. (2019). The Animal-AI Olympics. Nature Machine Intelligence, 1:257. [DOI]
The above outputs all meet the 2* requirement. [R1, R3, R4, R5, R6 and R7] have all been peer reviewed. [R2] was based upon research conducted as part of the Leverhulme Grant.
Research funding: LCFI is funded by grants from a variety of funders including the Templeton World Charity Foundation, Nuffield Foundation, and the Wellcome Trust. The majority of its funding comprises a GBP10 million grant awarded in 2015 by the Leverhulme Trust.
4. Details of the impact
UK policy: ethics and governance of AI
From 2017, UK Parliament and Government undertook a programme of activity to scope and implement world-leading AI governance. LCFI played a significant role in this policy process. LCFI’s biggest impact during this time was its influence on the creation and direction of a new governance body created by the UK Government – the Centre for Data Ethics and Innovation (CDEI) – the world’s first national advisory body for AI.
LCFI was partly responsible for the inclusion of AI governance in the remit of the CDEI. In its report on AI, the House of Commons Science and Technology Committee agreed with Price’s suggestion of a governance body [E1, para 65], and recommended to the Government that ‘a standing Commission on Artificial Intelligence be established’ [E1, para 73]. The LCFI team also made the case for a new AI governance body in their Written Evidence to the House of Lords Select Committee on AI [E2], and had several discussions with civil servants. LCFI researchers were consulted several times by the team within DCMS (Department for Digital, Culture, Media, and Sport) who were developing the remit for the new Centre.
Though LCFI was one of many organisations lobbying for this new form of governance, the Centre’s engagement with the government team responsible for developing CDEI had a distinct influence on its existence and its remit:
‘LCFI – and Stephen Cave especially – provided critical help to my team during its early phase of work to establish the need for a new Government body. He helped identify the nature of the ethical challenges associated with AI and heavily shaped CDEI's early programme of work. He and his team participated in a number of roundtables and contributed to a discussion paper on 'targeting' that helped us scope out the key policy questions in this space. Stephen was consistently insightful, constructive and practical – and made a real difference to the set up and design of the Centre for Data Ethics and Innovation.’
Cora Govett, Deputy Director, Digital Regulation and Markets, UK Government’s Department of Digital, Culture, Media, and Sport [E3]
Research Policy in the UK and China: work with the Nuffield Foundation
Over six months between 2017 and 2018, the Nuffield Foundation convened a partnership of leading UK research policy organisations and research funders to address the need for agreed ethical frameworks for the use of new technologies. This consultation resulted in the Ada Lovelace Institute (Ada), an independent research institute with a GBP5 million five-year research fund to be used to examine ethical and social issues arising from the use of data, algorithms, and AI.
LCFI played a significant role in the consultation, deploying the team’s research expertise in the challenges of AI governance to shape the policy and strategy of Ada. LCFI’s contribution to Ada’s policy included new research commissioned by Nuffield to scope the appropriate remit for Ada’s work [R4]. Tim Gardam, Chief Executive of the Nuffield Foundation, writes:
‘The approach Nuffield took to developing Ada’s remit was initially shaped by contributions from the Director of the LCFI at a Royal Society seminar […] Following the seminar, the Nuffield Foundation funded a research project from LCFI […] Its purpose was to inform the thinking of the Ada Lovelace Institute in its first months. LCFI’s conclusions are now reflected in the Institute’s mission statement and strategy.’ [E4]
The LCFI team have also worked with the Nuffield Foundation to develop their partnerships with AI research and development organisations overseas. In November 2019, LCFI launched a new bilateral China-UK Research Centre for AI Ethics and Governance, in collaboration with Prof Yi Zeng of the Institute of Automation at the Chinese Academic of Sciences. The success of this joint venture thus far, and its potential for further research, has had a significant influence at the Nuffield Foundation, and as a result they are now investing resources into developing other similar collaborations in AI research between the UK and China [E4]. Ada’s partnership with LCFI on global comparative research is reflected in Ada’s 2019-20 Strategy [E10, p.11], and the influence of LCFI is also confirmed in Gardam’s testimonial statement [E4].
International policy
Elsewhere, LCFI research has had considerable impact on public policy debates and strategies for AI. Over 30 national and international AI strategies have been announced in the last five years. The Centre has contributed to the drafting process for several of these. Examples include:
In Singapore, the LCFI team has collaborated on a series of events with the Centre for Strategic Futures, based in the office of Singapore’s PM. One workshop in 2018 on Risk and Artificial Intelligence helped a number of Singapore policy stakeholders navigate the new governance system introduced that year by the Singapore government (influence of LCFI in this regard confirmed by a statement from the Singapore PM’s office **[E5]**). This also played a role in the development of Singapore’s Model AI Governance Framework in 2019.
In virtue of LCFI’s research expertise, the UN requested that members of LCFI lead one of the four tracks at the UN’s AI for Good Summit, which brought together over 30 UN agencies to discuss global AI policy. The immediate impact of the LCFI involvement in the AI for Good Summit was that LCFI research set the agenda for discussion among all UN stakeholders in AI policy debate, focussing specifically on issues around trust in AI technology [E6]
LCFI research on AI applications of philosophy of mind and ethics has been cited by the Vatican’s Working Group on Robotics (part of the Pontifical Academy for Life) in a report on the Vatican’s event in 2020 to mark the new Rome Call for AI Ethics, a statement regarding the need for human-centric AI ethics [E7, fn.4 and 21].
Impact on the AI industry
LCFI research has also had an impact on company policy within the AI industry, both within the UK and internationally. In February 2018, LCFI hosted experts in AI and security at a workshop held in Oxford. Participants included Google, Microsoft, Deepmind, and OpenAI, a research laboratory based in San Francisco. One outcome of this workshop, and other interactions with OpenAI, was influence on their April 2018 Charter. The Charter references the importance of avoiding competitive development races, echoing concerns raised by LCFI researchers at the workshop and in published outputs [R1; E11]. The Centre has also contributed to the work of Digital Catapult, a UK government innovation agency for the digital industry, helping computing start-up companies. In September 2018, Digital Catapult launched a new AI Ethics Framework for AI start-ups, partly influenced by contributions from LCFI researchers [E12].
In addition to impact on ethics and governance in company policy, LCFI researchers have worked with AI company GoodAI to run an innovation competition to inspire and influence AI developers and prompt responsible AI research and development. GoodAI has chosen the Animal-AI Olympics [R7] as its General AI Challenge for 2019 [E8]. Olga Afanasjeva, COO at GoodAI, told the team:
‘Before the Animal-AI Olympics we were lacking a comprehensive curriculum for AI which would be based on state-of-the-art techniques in measuring animal intelligence…The project also provides a publicly available benchmark for adaptive behavior in a realistic setting. We expect this new opportunity for comparing results between different scientific teams to be a driver for research in the areas of transfer learning, curriculum learning and self-supervised learning. The Animal-AI Olympics environment is now added to our research roadmap and will play an instrumental role in our work in the future.’ [E8]
Participant developers have also confirmed the significance of the Olympics for their work. Dymtro Bobrenko, Machine Learning Engineer for Samsung Electronics, told the team: ‘Animal-AI Olympics gave us a unique opportunity to benchmark our Motion Planning algorithms by competing with the world's best solutions in current domain. Currently, there is no standardized benchmark for Motion Planning and AI in general, and without Animal-AI competition it would be difficult to evaluate our algorithms objectively.’ [E9]
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
[E1] House of Commons: Science and Technology Select Committee. (2016). Robotics and artificial intelligence. Fifth Report of Session 2016–17. [Link]
[E2] Written evidence to House of Lords and Select Committee on Artificial Intelligence Report “AI In the UK: ready, willing and able?” (2018). pp.173-4.
[E3] Testimonial from Deputy Director, Digital Regulation and Markets, DCMS
[E4] Testimonial from Chief Executive at the Nuffield Foundation
[E5] Testimonial from the Singapore PM’s Office
[E6] Webpage confirming LCFI team members leading one of the four UN AI tracks. See Track 4: Trust in AI (authors from this case study highlighted). [Link]
[E7] Sinibaldi et al. (2020). Contributions from the Catholic Church to ethical reflections in the digital era, Nature Machine Intelligence, 2, 242–244. [DOI]
Comment piece written by researchers at the Vatican’s Working Group on Robotics, part of the Pontifical Academy for Life
[E8] Testimonial from GoodAI
[E9] Testimonial from Samsung Electronics Machine Learning Engineer
[E10] Ada Lovelace Institute. Our Strategy 2019-2020. [Link]
[E11] Webpage: OpenAI charter. [Link]
[E12] Digital Catapult Ethics Framework [Link]
- Submitting institution
- University of Cambridge
- Unit of assessment
- 30 - Philosophy
- Summary impact type
- Societal
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
The Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER) is dedicated to the study and mitigation of risks that could lead to human extinction or civilisational collapse. Thanks to the Centre´s research and lobbying activity, governments, policymakers, and AI businesses around the world have increased their attention to, and introduced measures to reduce, existential risk. CSER researchers have helped to grow and shape the field by advising a range of new non-academic research centres and philanthropic funders on these emerging areas of risk research. The team has had a significant effect on UK and international policy by creating a new All-Party Parliamentary Group on Future Generations; by inspiring a campaign for a new UK Future Generations Bill; and by changing international norms regarding the publication of AI-technology research and the conduct of risk-assessments.
2. Underpinning research
CSER is an interdisciplinary research centre, founded in November 2012 by Huw Price, the Bertrand Russell Professor of Philosophy; Lord Martin Rees, Astronomer Royal; and Jaan Tallinn, co-founder of Skype. CSER research addresses theoretical, methodological and practical questions common to all potentially catastrophic risks [R1]. Its research also addresses specific questions concerning, for example, environmental risks [R2], and risks from AI [R5]. This work draws heavily on philosophical research, particularly in ethics, political philosophy, and the philosophy of science. All impact selected for inclusion in this case study was made possible thanks to the research conducted by CSER philosophers.
CSER’s work in ethics and political philosophy includes research on our obligations to future generations [R3]. A catastrophe on the scale of the Black Death would be a moral disaster for the current generation. However, if civilization were to be drastically derailed, then this would also have a negative effect on future generations. Future generations do not have a voice or a vote in current society. CSER researchers have argued this is an ethical problem that demands attention.
CSER’s research in philosophy of science has generated insights that have been translated into recommendations for the emerging field of existential risk research, influencing new research centres and their approach to new science on risk. Currie, for instance, has argued that while existential risk research should incentivise a specific form of creativity, in fact most traditional sciences have incentive structures that are poorly adapted to this requirement [R4].
CSER has particular expertise in 'structured expert elicitation' methodologies; consulting experts where data and evidence are insufficient to forecast risks, but in a way that controls for the possibility of expert bias. This method has resulted in an influential report on ‘The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence’ [R5]. That report—the result of a workshop co-organised by CSER and the University of Oxford’s Future of Humanity Institute—surveys and proposes ways to mitigate security threats from AI and machine learning. This method has also been deployed by Sir Partha Dasgupta, Chair of CSER, in the organisation of a major workshop on the ethics of climate change and resulting outputs with the Pontifical Academy of Sciences and the Pontifical Academy of Social Sciences at the Vatican [R2, R6].
3. References to the research
[R1] Avin, S, Wintle, B, Weitzdörfer, J., O hÉigeartaigh, S, Sutherland, W. and Rees, M. (2018) ‘Classifying Global Catastrophic Risk.’ Futures 102: 20-26 .
[R2] Dasgupta, P. and Ramanathan, V. (2014). ‘Pursuit of the common good.’ Science 345 (6203), 1457-1458.
[R3]. Beard, B., (2019) ‘What is Unfair about Unequal Brute Luck? An Intergenerational Puzzle.’ Philosophia 47(4).
[R4] Currie, A. (2018). ‘Existential Risk, Creativity and a Well-Adapted Science .’ Studies in History and Philosophy of Science 76: 39-48 .
[R5] Brundage, M., Avin, S et al. (2018). ‘The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Preventing and Mitigation’. arXiv.
[R6] Dasgupta, P., Ramanathan, V. and Sánchez Sorondo, M., eds. (2015) Sustainable Humanity, Sustainable Nature: Our Responsibility. Pontifical Academy of Sciences.
The above outputs have all been peer reviewed and thus meet the 2* requirement.
4. Details of the impact
Building the field of existential risk
CSER has been at the forefront of a developing area of academic and non-academic research into existential risk, influencing several new non-academic research centres, think tanks, and funding initiatives. It has organised two international conferences and over 35 expert workshops bringing together CSER researchers and other academics with representatives from national governments, international governing bodies, third sector organisations, think tanks, and technologists. CSER has also hosted over 60 visitors. Thanks to the profile of CSER’s work among this emerging research and policy community, the team have been consulted by many new non-academic research centres as they found and establish the remit for their own work on existential risk. CSER has influenced:
The Future of Life Institute: a volunteer-run research and outreach organisation based in Boston, USA, working to mitigate existential risk [E1]
The Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI): CSER researchers contributed to a collaboration between the St Catharine’s College Biorisk Initiative (BioRISC) and NTI, which Lord Browne (former UK Defence Secretary and NTI Vice-Chair) says has ‘significantly increased their respective influences on biosecurity policy leadership in the Euro-Atlantic space’ [E2]
The Global Challenges Foundation (GCF): in 2019, CSER was commissioned by GCF to write two reports charting the current international governance of global catastrophic risk and its main drivers, contributing to GCF’s policy research and its recommendations to improve global risk governance [E3]
UK Future Generations APPG and Bill
One of the most tangible consequences of CSER policy engagement has been the creation of a new UK All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) for Future Generations, and the drafting of a new Future Generations Bill. A 2018 paper in a Futures special issue (edited by Currie), co-authored by Natalie Jones (then a Cambridge PhD student and CSER research affiliate), and supervised by CSER researchers, specifically recommended establishing an APPG for Future Generations. On the basis of this recommendation, CSER researchers created that APPG in collaboration with MPs and peers from across the political spectrum. CSER hosted the APPG’s secretariat in its first year. Since 2019 Belfield has acted as the liaison between CSER and the APPG [E4]. In the words of the coordinator and secretariat member of the APPG: ‘Without CSER’s research on representing future generations, the APPG for Future Generations would not exist’ [E4]. The APPG has held five events in Parliament on the theme ‘Managing Technological Risks’, which have featured talks from CSER researchers Shahar Avin, Simon Beard, Catherine Rhodes, and Julius Weitzdörfer. Simon Beard also wrote the APPG report summarising findings from the event series [E4].
The APPG’s activity is already having an effect in UK parliament and policymaking circles. In late 2019, the APPG (in collaboration with CSER) launched an Inquiry into ‘Long-termism in Policy-making’. The APPG has informed key individuals in the UK Government (e.g. advising civil servants at the Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport) and it has been mentioned in Parliamentary debates. CSER and the APPG continue to work collaboratively, with Haydn Belfield as primary liaison [E4]. Together they have advised on the creation and direction of the Today For Tomorrow cross-party campaign. This campaign includes a draft Future Generations Bill, led by Lord John Bird. Lord Bird joined the APPG as co-Chair in Feb 2019, and visited the CSER team in Cambridge on 1 Mar 2019 to discuss the launch of the campaign and the Bill. CSER researchers advised on the drafting on the Bill, and some of the recommendations of the CSER paper in Futures have been included in it. Lord Bird has confirmed that without the Centre’s work his campaign would not have started, and draft bill would not exist [E5].
Putting existential risk on the global policy agenda
The CSER team also regularly organises, and is invited to, conferences, workshops, and ad hoc meetings with UK and international policymakers. CSER researchers have thereby put the topic of existential risk on the agenda of high-level policy meetings, and have made specific recommendations for policy across a range of risks. Examples of this form of policy impact include:
A significant influence on the European Commission’s White Paper on Artificial Intelligence: A European Approach to Excellence and Trust, specifically via two written submissions, alongside extensive discussions with the Commission’s High-Level Expert Group [E6]
Attendance at invitation-only policy stakeholder events: e.g., a policy conference on Modern Deterrence at Ditchley Park in November 2018 attended by Shahar Avin, and a policy meeting in November 2018 on high impact bio-threats held at Wilton Park [E7]
Contributions to UN negotiations on Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems (2018), and to the Biological Weapons Convention annual meeting of states parties (2017 and 2018) [E8]
Inspiring the Finnish government to commission the report Existential Risk: Diplomacy and Governance [E9]
One particularly notable example of CSER’s engagement in policy issues is Sir Partha Dasgupta’s work at the Vatican. In May 2014, Sir Partha co-organised a major workshop with the Pontifical Academy of Sciences . After the workshop, Sir Partha spoke to the Pope directly and encouraged him to include climate change in his speeches and to urge people to be better stewards of the planet. The workshop underpinned a major report [R6] published in April 2015 by the Vatican, which listed Dasgupta as one of its four corresponding authors in recognition of his contributions. The report in turn partly informed the May 2015 Laudato si’ Papal Encyclical, which focussed on the impending threat of climate change [E10]. Sir Partha is now leading the UK Government’s independent ‘Dasgupta Review: The Economics of Biodiversity’.
AI risks: forecasting, prevention, and mitigation
CSER’s research output The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigation [R5], is the first major report to examine emerging risks at the intersection of artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, physical security and information manipulation. It is a collaborative report co-written with the Future of Humanity Institute, Oxford. It has been cited in reports from the UK House of Lords and the US Government Departments, and has received praise from policy-makers, technologists, a UK Minister, the Commander of the Australian Defence College, and the former President of the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI) [E11].
This report has influenced policy discussions around AI and security. One example of this was a workshop series (prompted by the report) on ‘Epistemic Security’, investigating the changing threat landscape of information campaigns and propaganda given current advances in machine learning. These workshops were co-organised by CSER, the Alan Turing Institute, and the Defence Science and Technology Laboratory (Dstl, the UK government’s leading experts in technology and security).
Malicious Use is changing the behaviour of non-academic AI research organisations. It encourages greater care and patience in the publication of results, and suggests that pre-publication risk assessments may be necessary in some circumstances. Since the report’s publication, OpenAI (a major AI research company) has started to implement this new norm. In early 2019, it delayed publication of some of its results in accordance with the CSER recommendation. This decision started a widespread debate – with consequent behaviour change – across the AI community [E12]. Members of the CSER team subsequently worked with Partnership on AI – the leading non-profit coalition of AI technologists – to develop a more detailed report on AI Publication Norms for use by AI research companies [E12].
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
[E1] Testimonial from co-Founder and President of the Future of Life Institute
[E2] Testimonial from Vice-chair, Nuclear Threat Institute.
[E3] The Cartography of Global Catastrophic Risk Governance, Assessing the Drivers of Global Catastrophic Risk.
[E4] Testimonial statement from coordinator and secretariat member for the APPG on Future Generations
[E5] Testimonial from Co-chair, All-party Parliamentary Group for Future Generations
[E6] Copy of the advice submitted to the Commission
[E7] Copies of webpages with details of Ditchley Park and Wilton Park events
[E8] Final report of UN Meeting
[E9] Testimonial from Professor of International Relations, Tampere University
[E10] Laudato si’ On Care For Our Common home
[E11] The Malicious AI Report is cited in: the House of Lords Select Committee on Artificial Intelligence Report of Session 2017-19 (fn.9); ‘AI: Using standards to mitigate risks’, report by Public-Private Analytic Exchange Program, a partnership led by the US Department of Homeland Security and Defense Intelligence Agency (fn.3). PDFs provided.
[E12] Testimonial from Program Lead, Partnership on AI.
- Submitting institution
- University of Cambridge
- Unit of assessment
- 30 - Philosophy
- Summary impact type
- Societal
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
Historians of science and medicine at the University of Cambridge, in collaboration with computer game developers, have demonstrated the value of historical research to the creation of ground-breaking game narratives, and have established new models for how academics can collaborate with the gaming industry. Lauren Kassell's research on the casebooks of sixteenth-century astrologer Simon Forman formed the basis of the genre-pushing Astrologaster, which has been purchased by over 800,000 people. Helen Anne Curry's research on amateur plant breeding provided content for Seed, an award-winning virtual reality experience. In both cases, historical scholarship led to innovative and academically informed game content. In turn, the games have generated sales revenue and prize funding for the partner companies. Astrologaster has been part of a games bundle that has generated over USD8 million for racial justice charities.
2. Underpinning research
Simon Forman’s casebooks document the hopes and worries, many of them health related, of thousands of Elizabethan Londoners. Kassell is the world expert on these documents. Her monograph [R1] demonstrates the extent to which Forman used his astrological expertise to secure his patients’ trust. In a survey of practices of recording and preserving casebooks before 1700 [R2], she historicised medical writing practices, established the extent to which casebooks shaped medical encounters, and demonstrated that while Forman’s casebooks, and those of his protégé Richard Napier, were typical of the time, they are exceptional in the numbers of consultations they record and the fact that they survive. She used casebooks to understand how practitioners and their patients negotiated shared and competing understandings of fertility [R3]. From 2008 to 2019, she headed the Casebooks Project, a team of scholars who transformed Forman’s and Napier’s paper archive into a digital archive. This work produced a digital edition with a critical introduction, an image archive, a dataset, a selection of five hundred fully transcribed cases, and a body of public engagement [R4]. This work inspired and informed the development of Astrologaster.
From her arrival in Cambridge in 2012 until 2016, Curry led a programme of research on the history of plant breeding, giving particular attention to early techniques of genetic manipulation such as radiation and chemicals. Among other findings, this research revealed a heretofore unexamined community of amateur experimentalists who conducted their own investigations in plant breeding with an unusual array of genetic tools, including x-rays, chemicals, and nuclear radiation [R5, R6]. Whereas historians and others have seen genetic technologies as sophisticated tools deployed in laboratories by trained experts, at least until the advent of twenty-first century DIY biology, Curry's publications document a rich tradition of amateur engagement with genetic technologies in homes and gardens. Accounts of rose breeders scraping radium from clock dials to treat developing buds, marigold lovers attempting to hybridise incompatible varieties with the aid of a chemical bath, and gardeners purchasing ‘atomic-irradiated seed’ all testify to the existence and extent of this engagement. These accounts served as inspiration and provided essential historical context for Seed.
3. References to the research
[R1] Kassell, L. (2005). Medicine and magic in Elizabethan London: Simon Forman, astrologer, alchemist, and physician. Clarendon Press. ISBN: 9780199279050.
[R2] Kassell, L. (2014). Casebooks in early modern England: Medicine, astrology and written records. Bulletin of the History of Medicine, 88, 595-625. [DOI]
[R3] Kassell, L. (2018). Fruitful bodies and astrological medicine. In N. Hopwood, R. Flemming, L. Kassell (Eds.), Reproduction: Antiquity to the present day (pp. 225-240). Cambridge University Press. [DOI]
[R4] Kassell, L., Hawkins, M., Ralley, R., Young, J., Edge, J., Martin-Portugues, J. Y. and Kaoukji, N. (Eds.). The casebooks of Simon Forman and Richard Napier, 1596-1634: A digital edition. [Link]
[R5] Curry, H. A. (2016). Evolution made to order: Plant breeding and technological innovation in twentieth-century America. University of Chicago Press. ISBN: 9780226390086
[R6] Curry, H. A. (2014). From garden biotech to garage biotech: Amateur experimental biology in historical perspective. British Journal for the History of Science, 47, 539-565. [DOI]
All pieces of underpinning research have undergone peer review, with the exception of [R4]. [R4] is a ground-breaking digital edition, funded via a series of grants from Wellcome totalling almost GBP2 million. Therefore, all of the pieces of underpinning research meet the 2* threshold.
4. Details of the impact
Overview: Kassell’s collaboration with the developer Nyamyam, and Curry’s collaboration with the developer All Seeing Eye - both facilitated by The Wellcome Trust - have together established an influential template for the role of historical scholarship in developing new game content, and for broader links between academia and the gaming industry. These collaborations derive jointly from the HPS Department’s culture of engagement, from its research priorities focused on medical and environmental topics, and from its policy of encouraging exploratory conversations with individuals and institutions outside of academia.
Astrologaster
Nyamyam (http://nyamyam.com/\) released the game Astrologaster, a comedy written in the stars in May 2019. It takes inspiration from Simon Forman’s casebooks. The Casebooks Project team - led by Professor Lauren Kassell and funded by The Wellcome Trust - acted as historical consultants for the game. Jennifer Schneidereit, developer at Nyamyam, summarises Kassell’s contribution:
‘Astrologaster was inspired by Professor Lauren Kassell's research and would not exist without her. Her work enabled us to understand Elizabethan medical encounters and made it possible for us to design a game that captured historical social dynamics. … Astrologaster is the first game to be developed in dialogue with a historical research project. It establishes a new model for making games. The industry is concerned about a tendency towards homogeneity. Interactions like this one foster the production of innovative work.’ [E8]
Forging new computer game genres. An article in Prospect notes Kassell’s role not merely in developing this specific game, but in laying out a new and more sophisticated genre for computer games in general. It profiled Schneidereit, noting that:
‘[Schneidereit’s] latest game, currently in development, is Astrologaster, a period comedy developed with the writer Katharine Neil that draws on the work of the Cambridge academic Lauren Kassell. … It’s a fascinating mixture of historical enthusiasm and subversive modern comedy, which its creator intends to offer “an interesting and unusual look at history; at the little people, not the kings and queens.” It’s also about as far away in spirit from the Hollywood-Grecian bluster of Assassin’s Creed: Odyssey as you can imagine.’ [E1]
A later article in THE focuses on Astrologaster as an example of a game that is having impact by transforming how academics think about what it means to make their work accessible [E2]. That article quotes Iain Dodgeon, director of OKRE (Opening Knowledge across Research and Entertainment, a new UK-based organisation bringing the research and entertainment sectors closer together) making the case that ‘Games can help you relate to research through direct experience’: Astrologaster is one of Dodgeon’s primary examples.
Grounding game play in history. Since meeting the team from Nyamyam at a Wellcome-organised workshop in September 2014, Kassell’s Casebooks team has provided selections of material from Forman’s casebooks and information about his methods and suggested further readings. They commented on Nyamyam’s drafts of successful funding applications from the European Union’s Creative Europe Media and The Wellcome Trust. They read drafts of the character summaries, storylines and scripts and provided feedback about their historical accuracy, encouraging the uses of humour and deliberate anachronism, rather than romanticised nostalgia, to challenge players to think about meanings of health and illness. From the perspective of Casebooks, working on Astrologaster contributed to their thinking about the performative nature of the casebooks; about how to (re)present the casebooks in the project’s search interface; and about innovative ways to communicate the history of medicine to both academic and non-academic audiences.
Delivering historical research to new audiences. The game was on Shack News’s list of the twenty most anticipated indie games of 2019 [E3]. It received four-star reviews from the LA Times and the Guardian, and has been praised in the gaming press and in playthroughs. It was later one of just five games to feature in the Guardian’s roundup of culture in 2019 that might ‘make you feel less terrible about the UK election’ [E4, E5]. Playthroughs of Astrologaster have been watched by over 1 million people. Games players have made hundreds of positive comments about the game at Nyamyam’s twitter feed: for example one Tweeter writes: ‘How am I only just discovering Astrologaster? It combines my two loves – gaming and medical history! This is perfect!!” or @Blackcom666 who tweeted, ‘I’ve finally played #astrologaster and oh, wow! The audio quality, the art direction, the researches and style behind the writing. It’s an amazing game which manages to surprise me … Great job to the team @nyamyamgame’ [E6].
Generating charitable funding. As of July 2020, [Text Redacted for Publication] people have purchased the game and generated revenue directly for Nyamyam. However, this number is dwarfed by the 800,000 people who have purchased Astrologaster as part of a large bundle of games made available (for a minimum donation of USD5) at itch.io in aid of racial justice and equality. The bundle as a whole has now raised in excess of USD8 million for the chosen charities. [E7]
Seed
Seed took shape with support from the Epic Games and The Wellcome Trust, the two sponsors of the 'Developing Beyond' competition. In February 2017 All-Seeing Eye was chosen as a semi-finalist and awarded USD15,000. In July 2017 they were selected as one of three finalists and awarded a further USD60,000. In February 2018, the game (which remains in prototype as of July 2020) took the top prize and USD150,000 at the final judging [E9].
The Associate Creative Director of All Seeing Eye gives Curry decisive credit for the game’s success:
‘Helen acted as a scientific/historical advisor directly informing several of the key mechanics in the experience. It is no exaggeration to say that our winning of the competition was as a direct result of our collaboration, her work and research input.’ [E10; see also E11]
The impact of Curry's work with All Seeing Eye's Seed, achieved through hands-on collaboration, game play and media coverage, has been to create a research-based game experience, to engage wider audiences in the history and science of plant breeding, to encourage games developers in science-based gaming and novel forms of collaboration, and to demonstrate to scientists the potential of games for communicating ideas.
Bringing reality to virtual reality. All Seeing Eye submitted a proposal for a game involving experimental plant breeding to the first round of the competition in early 2017. At this point Curry, an established expert in the history of plant breeding was engaged as a collaborator in the project at the recommendation of The Wellcome Trust. Curry shared her knowledge of the history of amateur plant breeding with All Seeing Eye, offering a more relevant starting point for developing the background narrative of Seed than that of contemporary laboratory-based genetic engineering, as had initially been planned. Curry also devised basic plant breeding scenarios based on real-life examples that the designers incorporated into the game.
Transforming game development. Curry’s collaboration offered a new model for how a developer could generate revenue in collaboration with academics. As described in a THE article, 'Although Mr Kay had initially envisaged a high-tech virtual reality environment for his game, he soon realised that Dr Curry’s research provided him with a much more unusual aesthetic along with many intriguing details… “We have taken that historic period and such stories to create beautiful visual vignettes,” Mr Kay explained' [E11].
As a result of this, Curry’s work has had impact on further revenue-generating ventures, such as All Seeing Eye’s virtual reality recreation of the ‘Dambusters’ mission (now installed at the RAF museum in Hendon). Olie Kay explains:
‘In working on Seed with Helen it was evident how historical and scientific consultation/collaboration could be enormously beneficial to our working practices and have a real impact on not only how a project developed, but also the end result. As such we were emboldened to collaborate with several researchers for our Dambusters who again were instrumental to the success of the project.’ [E10]
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
[E1] Newspaper article: Martin, T. Serious fun: how video games grew up - and became an art form to rival Hollywood. Prospect, November 12 2018. [Link]
[E2] Newspaper article: Reisz, M. Are video games a neglected resource for popularising research? Times Higher Education, January 17 2020. [Link]
[E3] Review: Most anticipated indie games of 2019. Shack News, January 9 2019. [Link]
[E4] Newspaper review: Astrologaster review - comedy quack stalks the streets of Shakespeare. Guardian, May 9 2019. [Link]
[E5] Newspaper reviews: Hope in the dark: culture to make you feel less terrible about the UK election. Guardian, December 13 2019. [Link]
[E6] Twitter quote: https://twitter.com/chrisoregan/status/1137295110738198528
[E7] Itch. Bundle for Racial Justice and Equality. [Link]
[E8] Testimonial from a developer at Nyamyam
[E9] Newspaper article: Barrett, D. 'Seed' Wins USD500,000 Developing Beyond Video Games Final’ Unreal Engine, February 15 2018. [Link]
[E10] Testimonial from an Associate Creative Director, All Seeing Eye.
[E11] Newspaper article: Reisz, M. Computer games bring research projects to (virtual) life. Times Higher Education, November 5 2017. [Link]
- Submitting institution
- University of Cambridge
- Unit of assessment
- 30 - Philosophy
- Summary impact type
- Societal
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
Alexandrova’s research on the measurement of well-being carried out at the University of Cambridge - via her membership of expert panels and her collaboration with non-governmental bodies - has influenced how international institutions (including NATO), professional bodies, consultancies and charities define and use forms of well-being as outcome measures. In particular, she has promoted the use of multiple indicators as a way of reflecting and respecting well-being’s complex and contextual nature. Alexandrova’s work has changed international policy and practice in Autonomous and Intelligent System development; influenced NATO policy for improving support for military families; and changed the way that charities in the UK and USA measure well-being.
2. Underpinning research
This impact is underpinned by Alexandrova’s writings on measurement of well-being, objectivity and values in science. Although there is plentiful literature on well-being in philosophy, it has come for the most part from ethics and political philosophy. Alexandrova, on the other hand, has formulated these issues using concepts from philosophy of science and in this respect she has pioneered analysis of well-being as an object of scientific study [R1].
Alexandrova published eight journal articles and five chapters in edited volumes while at the Department of History and Philosophy of Science, Cambridge, between 2011 and 2016, culminating in a 2017 monograph A philosophy for the science of well-being [R5] . This book presents a case for retaining a plurality of well-being indicators against the prevalent search for one true measure, and for validating these measures in ways that meet the demands of scientific objectivity as well as justice and respect [R4]. Because scientists’ identities are often bound up with the ideals of value-freedom and neutrality, a responsible and systematic approach to well-being does not come naturally and necessitates a change of culture in these disciplines.
For example, in psychometrics the dominant model of validation of well-being measures – construct validation - outsources important value-laden questions to statistics and other technical tools such as factor analysis. Alexandrova argues that these practices undermine the ability of this research to provide credible justifications of well-being research. Instead she urges an intentional and explicit commitment to theory building, providing an example in the case of child well-being [Chapter 3 of R5]. In joint work between 2012 and 2015 with US public health scientist Ramesh Raghavan [R3] Alexandrova has argued that child well-being deserves its own definition and measures, distinct from the definitions and measures used for adults, and that this definition needs to attend to the importance of play, exploration, and attachment, rather than only those outcomes that predict adult flourishing. Alexandrova’s pluralism regarding well-being indicators, and her application of these arguments to child well-being, have influenced policy and practice of charities and governance bodies that work with vulnerable children (see 4.2).
A related theme in her work is the need to incorporate ethical values in cost-benefit analysis and economic evaluation, arguing for the importance of respecting priorities of individuals and publics in policy and decision-making, and pointing out aspects of current practices that make this difficult [R2]. She has used some of these ideas to defend the status of well-being indicators against sceptics, but more recently she has also assumed critical goals. In particular she has argued that some approaches to evidence-based well-being policy in the UK adopt a technocratic and centralised vision according to which well-being is a monistic quantity that can be manipulated with policy levers, without regard for local context, or for the legitimacy of these policies in the eyes of the people they affect [R6]. Alexandrova’s case for incorporating ethical values in outcome evaluation has helped to change the way that a number of UK charities measure the impact of their work with young people.
3. References to the research
[R1] Alexandrova, A. (2012). Well-being as an object of science. Philosophy of Science, 79, 678-689. [DOI]
[R2] Haybron, D. M., and Alexandrova, A. (2013). Paternalism in economics. In C. Coons and M. Weber (Eds.), Paternalism: Theory and practice (pp. 157-177). Cambridge University Press. ISBN 9781107025462
[R3] Raghavan, R., and Alexandrova, A. (2015). Toward a theory of child well-being. Social Indicators Research, 121(3), 887-902. [DOI]
[R4] Alexandrova, A. (2016). Is well-being measurable after all? Public Health Ethics 10(2), 129-137. [DOI]
[R5] Alexandrova, A. (2017). A philosophy for the science of well-being. Oxford University Press. ISBN 9780199300518
[R6] Alexandrova, A. and Singh, R. (2018). Happiness and the truth: How to think about well-being. Times Literary Supplement, November 23 2018. Review of Origins of happiness: Subjective well-being through life course by Andrew Clark et al, Princeton UP, 2018. [Link]
Outputs R1, R3, and R4 passed peer review in their respective journals. Outputs R2 and R5 were published with major academic presses. R6 was not published with an academic publisher but was developed from research undertaken for other outputs listed e.g. R2 and R5. Therefore, the research that underpins each of these outputs, and that underpins the impact detailed in section 4, meets the 2* threshold.
4. Details of the impact
The high academic profile and the interdisciplinary nature of Alexandrova’s work has created opportunities to apply her research to two practical problems: choice of outcome measures and responsible practices for defining well-being. Alexandrova’s research has helped a number of organisations tackle these two problems, with impact in the international technology industry, local and global charity work, and NATO policy.
4.1 Outcome measures for Autonomous and Intelligent Systems developers
In 2017 Alexandrova advised the Well-being Committee of the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE – the world’s largest professional association for electronic engineers) for their Global Initiative on Ethics of Autonomous and Intelligent Systems (A/IS). The goal of that committee was to introduce well-being metrics to A/IS developers – a community estimated to number almost 500,000 over 160 countries [E2] – and to make a case for using these metrics to evaluate impact of A/IS technologies. Alexandrova argued in favour of retaining a rich set of multiple conceptions of well-being and drafted the relevant sections of the Ethically Aligned Design, First Edition (EAD1e) report, drawing explicitly on her own earlier research.
The significance of Alexandrova’s influence on the document has been confirmed by the Executive Director of this initiative. He refers to Alexandrova’s book [R5] as the justification for recommending to A/IS developers a library of well-being indicators to be used with judiciousness and respect for context:
‘I note in particular that the views you defended in your book A philosophy for the science of well-being influenced the direction we took in our document, that is emphasizing that there is no single best measure and concept of well-being, but different ones (often in unison) are appropriate depending on context. This is a valuable and distinctive aspect of our report that would not have been there without your input.’ [E1]
This document has now been published and is gaining influence elsewhere in the technology community. The Executive Director’s letter confirms that at the date of his writing (Dec 2018) EAD1e had been mentioned in dozens of academic documents, in AI-oriented policy from the UK and EU, and publications from corporations such as IBM. It had also influenced the creation of 14 Standards Working Groups, including a new IEEE working group focussing explicitly on well-being issues directly related to EAD1e. [E1]
The importance of the document is affirmed by users from IBM, OECD, the VETRI foundation, and NGO People Centred Internet [E2]. A member of staff from AI Design Practices, IBM, has commented that ‘As an AI designer and AI ethics advocate at IBM, I'll be using EAD1e in scaling best practices for thousands of designers and developers. The guidance materials coming out of this will help our teams re-evaluate their current design and development processes. It's vital to bring in different perspectives whenever we make decisions on what is or isn't ethical – IEEE's focus on interdisciplinary collaboration makes this work accessible to anyone working with AI.’ [E2]
4.2 Child well-being and NATO
The prominence of Alexandrova’s research on child well-being [e.g. R3] has resulted in multiple positive citations of this work in the NATO Science and Technology Organisation report Impact of military life on children from military families, a blueprint for improving programs and support for military parents and their children [E3]. The report asserts that its results will, ‘assist the military organizations and services providers in identifying the most effective ways of providing support to children to adapt and cope with the demands of a military lifestyle’. The framework that NATO has developed for this draws explicitly on Alexandrova’s research with Raghavan.
Alexandrova’s research on child well-being has also influenced definitions of well-being used by child-protection professionals. Her research set the framework for a stakeholder symposium held at Washington University in St Louis, including among other organisations Vision for Children at Risk, a local community organisation. One of the consequences of the symposium was a new definition of child well-being adopted by Vision for Children at Risk, which incorporated Alexandrova and Raghavan’s suggestion that child well-being includes the ability to relate to the world as children [E4]
4.3 Measuring outcomes with young people
In 2019 Alexandrova was contacted by Centre 33 to collaborate on a project to improve the organisation’s outcome measurement. Centre 33 is a young people’s charity that works with over 2000 young people annually across Cambridgeshire and Peterborough offering free support regarding mental health, homelessness, and young carers [E5]. As a result of Alexandrova’s work, Centre 33 have paid closer attention to non-qualitative outcomes that can be used to capture the effects of their work that would not otherwise be measured. As stated in a testimonial letter from Centre 33: ‘Anna’s research provided an important and incredibly helpful tool for us to critically evaluate our own outcomes, as well as explore new ones’ [E6]. Further collaborative work between Alexandrova and Centre 33, which aims to build a bespoke outcome measurement tool for the organisation’s youth work, will be undertaken later in 2021.
4.4 Responsible practices for defining well-being
Alexandrova is regularly asked to speak to non-academic audiences about the importance of a pluralistic approach to well-being. For example, in May 2020 she spoke to 953 attendees at a WHO Health and Culture Webinar on the role of culture in defining well-being [E7]. She has also acted as a consultant on well-being measurement for non-academic organisations. In 2018 Alexandrova contributed to the work of US health and well-being consultancy the Metropolitan Group (MG). One of MG’s regular clients is the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF) – the US’s largest philanthropic organisation dedicated solely to health – which contracted MG to develop a global well-being research and action strategy. The Vice President at MG, commented: ‘Anna’s views on the necessity of maintaining multiple indicators of well-being informed our thinking about the agenda for and participants in a convening we were planning [for RWJF]. We especially appreciated her perspective on the need to root decisions in local context and to supplement cost-benefit analysis with well-being data.’ [E8]
Metropolitan Group have since implemented these insights in their work with RWJF to convene ‘global leaders to explore how to make well-being the driver for policies’ [E9]. The RWJF conference included government advisors, NGO and think tank directors, and researchers from the OECD and the WHO [E7], and the resulting report reflected Alexandrova’s advice that local cultural context is essential to the design of valuable well-being measures (one of four main considerations highlighted in the report [E10]).
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
[E1] Testimonial from the Executive Director of the IEEE Global Initiative on Ethics of Autonomous and Intelligent Systems (19 Dec 2018)
[E2] Testimonials from Milena Pribic, IBM, Doug Frantz, OECD, Monique Marrow, VETRI Foundation, and Mei Lin Fung, People Centred Internet. All in screenshots taken from the IEEE website (dated 14 October 2019)
[E3] NATO/Science and Technology Organization. (2019). Impact of military life on children from military families. R3 is cited on p.24 (1-8), p.25 (2-1), p. 48 (2-24), and p. 192 (7-22), [Link]
[E4] Statement developed by the St. Louis Child Well-Being Symposium steering committee, organised by Vision for Children, 2014.
[E5] Webpage: Centre 33 homepage at Virgin Money Giving. [Link]
[E6] Testimonial from Centre 33 confirming the contribution of Alexandrova’s research to their work to improve their outcome measurement.
[E7] Webpage: WHO Culture and Health webinar series 2020 – Thriving: the role of culture in defining and advancing well-being. Alexandrova listed as speaker. [Link]
[E8] Testimonial from an Executive Vice President of Health, Metropolitan Group
[E9] Metropolitan Group. (2019). 30 years of impact: 2019 annual letter to stakeholders. p.3
[E10] Robert Wood Johnson Foundation conference summary: Advancing well-being in an inequitable world: Moving from measurement to action.p.5 [Link]
- Submitting institution
- University of Cambridge
- Unit of assessment
- 30 - Philosophy
- Summary impact type
- Political
- Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
- No
1. Summary of the impact
Tim Lewens and Jesse Olszynko-Gryn’s work on medical risk and its proper governance has had impact over three areas:
Their work on the Hormonal Pregnancy Test (HPT) Primodos was partly responsible for the launch, and subsequent conduct, of an official inquiry into the regulatory handling of these tests.
Lewens’s work on the ethics of medical risk led to his being invited to join AstraZeneca’s new AWERB (Animal Welfare Ethical Review Body). He has given training courses for AZ researchers, and has influenced the company’s overall culture of care.
Lewens’s work with the Nuffield Council on Bioethics gave rise to decisive contributions to parliamentary debates on the legalisation of mitochondrial ‘donation’ technologies.
2. Underpinning research
The underpinning research on medical risk and its proper governance typifies the History and Philosophy of Science Department’s priorities in the areas of history and philosophy of medicine, and its efforts to encourage interdisciplinarity for impact. The impact in question combines Olszynko-Gryn’s archival historical research with Lewens’s philosophical approach to risk, and draws on networks of scientists, sociologists and patient groups.
Olszynko-Gryn’s research has focused on the history of pregnancy testing in Britain. This began with his (2014) PhD thesis, Pregnancy Testing in Britain, and has also included a series of essays focused on key episodes relating to the introduction and regulation of hormone pregnancy tests [R1]. His academic work on Primodos and other hormone pregnancy tests culminated in an article for which he was first author, which gives a detailed historical analysis of the development, adoption and withdrawal of these tests. These tests have been highly controversial because of strongly held views among patient groups that they caused significant harm to their unborn children [R2].
Lewens has had a longstanding interest in the ethics of risk, especially as it plays out in biomedical ethics [R3]. His work has addressed the proper understanding of the precautionary principle [R4], and the manner in which policy debates around risk need to be handled by both technical experts and those well-versed in ethical analysis [R5]. He has also studied the ways in which different framings of risk-related information can reflect ethical judgements on the part of speakers [R5].His work has often focused on the case study of ‘mitochondrial donation’ technologies, and on other technologies that aim to influence germline inheritance [R5], [R6].He has argued for the need to take ethical values into account when deliberating over what appear to be purely technical questions about the regulation of scientific work. He has also used these insights as a basis for opposing strong divisions of advisory labour—for example between panels assigned to evaluate scientific questions on the one hand, and ethical questions on the other—when regulators consider how to manage the introduction of new technologies [R5].
3. References to the research
[R1] Olszynko-Gryn, J. (2013) ’When pregnancy tests were toads: The Xenopus test in the early NHS’ Wellcome History, 51 pp. 1-3.
[R2] Olszynko-Gryn, J., E. Bjørvik, M. Weßel, S. Jülich and C. Jean (2018) ‘A Historical Argument for Regulatory Failure in the Case of Primodos and other Hormone Pregnancy Tests’ Reproductive Biomedicine and Society Online https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rbms.2018.09.003 34-44.
[R3] Lewens, T. (2007) ‘Risk and Philosophy’ in Lewens T. (ed.) Risk: Philosophical Perspectives. London: Routledge.
[R4] Lewens, T. (2010) ‘The Risks of Progress: Precaution and the Case of Human Enhancement’ Journal of Risk Research 13: 207-216.
[R5] Lewens, T. (2019) ‘The Division of Advisory Labour: the Case of Mitochondrial “Donation”’, European Journal for Philosophy of Science 9: 10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13194-018-0235-3 .
[R6] Lewens, T. (2019) ‘Blurring the Germline’ Bioethics https://doi.org/10.1111/bioe.12606.
All outputs listed above have passed peer review within their respective journals, with the exception of [R3]. [R3] is a substantial discursive introduction to an edited collection from a major academic press. It was signed off by all contributors to the collection prior to publication, and has been cited over 10 times. The edited collection itself has been cited over 60 times (figures from Google Scholar). Therefore all underpinning work meets the 2* threshold.
4. Details of the impact
- Primodos
Overview: Lewens’s and Olszynko-Gryn’s work on the Hormonal Pregnancy Test (HPT) Primodos contributed to the launch of an official review of the regulatory handling of these tests, and their work informed the deliberations of the official review panel. Key beneficiaries here include the review panel itself, members of the All Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) dedicated to HPTs, and members of the Association for Children Damaged by Hormone Pregnancy Tests.
The Primodos pregnancy test has been the subject of ongoing controversy on the grounds that it is regarded by some as the ‘forgotten thalidomide’. For these reasons it has been the subject of repeated calls for official government inquiries. A report was finally completed on Hormone Pregnancy Tests in 2017 by the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency’s (MHRA’s) Expert Working Group (EWG), partly on the basis of evidence submitted by Olszynko-Gryn [E1] [E2]. However the EWG’s report was widely criticised for a range of inadequacies, including those highlighted by Olszynko-Gryn and Lewens.
Olszynko-Gryn organised an international conference in Cambridge (where Lewens spoke on Primodos and the precautionary principle) that brought together academic experts, practising lawyers, and patient groups, many of whom were critical of the EWG’s approach [E3]. Lewens and Olszynko-Gryn also collaborated with the Sky News documentary film-maker Jason Farrell in the production of a film highlighting various shortcomings in the initial EWG report. The film was then screened in parliament—including a Q & A session for parliamentarians where Olszynko-Gryn was a participant—prior to the parliamentary debates discussing the need for further review. Olszynko-Gryn and Lewens contributed to meetings of the APPG on Hormone Pregnancy Tests, and they liaised closely with the campaigning group ACDHPT (Association for Children Damaged by Hormone Pregnancy Tests), to highlight a series of issues around the historical presentation of Primodos’s use, and the framework for risk governance and risk communication. In these ways, their interventions were instrumental in building parliamentary support in favour of further inquiry into Primodos.
Partly thanks to these interventions, a new official review was launched in February 2018. This was the Independent Medicines and Medical Devices Safety Review (IMMDSR), led by Baroness Cumberlege, which reported on 8th July 2020. Yasmin Qureshi MP, Chair of the All-Party Parliamentary Group on Hormone Pregnancy Tests, confirms the role of Lewens and Olszynko-Gryn in the APPG, and in securing the new IMMDSR:
‘The advice they gave … was instrumental in informing our MPs’ successful calls in parliament for the launch of a new inquiry. [It] is not an exaggeration to say that Jesse and Tim’s research played a key role in the launch of the…Cumberlege Inquiry…’ [E4]
Both Olszynko-Gryn and Lewens went on to play roles in the new review. Olszynko-Gryn gave evidence at an oral hearing of the IMMDSR on 26th November 2018, and Lewens submitted written evidence to the inquiry [E5, E6]. He argued that, ‘even when causal links [between Primodos and birth defects] are not established in a clear way—indeed, even when they are highly questionable—it can still be reasonable to take regulatory action in a precautionary manner. This is especially true when the value of a technology is in question, and when safe alternatives are available’ [E6]. Lewens’s basic argument was endorsed in the key finding of the Cumberlege report regarding Primodos: ‘Given the concerns raised, the non-essential nature of HPTs and the provision of risk-free alternative tests, we consider that the CSD [Committee on Safety of Drugs] focus should not have been whether or not to issue a warning. They should have recommended the withdrawal of the indication for use as a pregnancy test in 1967’ ([E7]; emphasis in original) .
Olszynko-Gryn and Lewens have also benefited the activities of the ACDHPT. Marie Lyon, the group’s Chair, has written that ‘The impact of the evidence provided by both Tim and Jesse undoubtedly played a huge part in the incredible and unexpected conclusions of the IMMDS report. This is the first time in more than 40 years that the failures of the Government Regulators in the 1960's &70s, have been identified and acknowledged in an Independent Government Review…ACDHPT owe a huge debt of gratitude for their continuing support.’ [E8]
- Astra Zeneca
Overview: Lewens’s work on medical risk led to an invitation to join AstraZeneca’s new AWERB (Animal Welfare Ethical Review Body). He has given training courses for AZ researchers, and has influenced the overall culture of care throughout the company. Key beneficiaries here include members of the AZ research community.
In 2017 Lewens was invited to join AZ’s new Animal Welfare Ethical Review Board (AWERB) based on his track record of work on medical ethics and medical risk. Lewens has had a significant impact on the constitution and operation of the AWERB. In particular, Lewens’s longstanding research on the interpenetration of science and values has informed the committee’s own approach to the tight links it draws between ethical approval and scientific validity. He has also given two bespoke training courses on medical ethics and medical risk for AWERB members. The acting Chair of the AZ AWERB comments thus:
‘His impact on the AWERB group, has been considerable and has reached through into the AZ organisation in Cambridge. … His regular contributions to committee meetings have also resulted in an enlarged remit for the AWERB group. In particular, … he has helped us to articulate the importance of attending to the wellbeing of those who conduct research, in addition to the more usual focus on the animals. This has had concrete impact in terms of our renewed attention across the company to the ‘culture of care’ in place for our research staff.’ [E9]
- Inherited Genetic Disorders
Overview: Lewens’s research on regulatory governance for risk has led to a role in the work of the International Commission on the Clinical Use of Human Germline Genome Editing; his earlier work with the Nuffield Council on Bioethics gave rise to decisive contributions to parliamentary debates on the legalisation of mitochondrial ‘donation’ technologies.
In February 2020, Lewens accepted an invitation from the International Commission on the Clinical Use of Human Germline Genome Editing to comment in detail on an early draft of their report on Heritable Human Germline Engineering [E10]. This joint report of the US National Academies and the UK Royal Society aims to provide a global translational framework for the potential use of germline genetic interventions. The report is expected to have considerable international regulatory influence, in part because its publication will be timed to feed into the WHO Expert Advisory Committee on Developing Global Standards for Governance and Oversight of Human Genome Editing.
Lewens’s reputation in these matters derived from his earlier work with the Nuffield Council on Bioethics. The Nuffield Council Report on Mitochondrial DNA Disorders, co-authored by Lewens in 2012, expressed approval of two new experimental IVF techniques. Lewens was a member of the working party that authored this report, and he played a leading role in drafting the ethical framework within it. This involvement was confirmed by Council Director Hugh Whittall:
‘…[T]he role that Tim Lewens played in the preparation and drafting of this important report was particularly notable. His work in developing the ethical considerations, and especially in addressing issues around identity in relation to genetic therapies, formed a very substantial part of the arguments that sit at the heart of the report. His further contribution in applying these ethical discussions to the novel case of potential treatments for mitochondrial disorders was also critical to the success of this report.’ [E11]
Lewens’s work in authoring the Nuffield Council report pre-dates the REF review period; however, the impact of that work continued into the current period via the report’s influence on parliamentary debate and subsequent new legislation (Human Fertilisation and Embryology (Mitochondrial Donation) Regulations 2015). Following Parliamentary debates in both chambers, where parliamentarians repeatedly drew attention to the Council’s positive ethical verdict with respect to mitochondrial donation [E12], both of the technologies endorsed by the report were approved in legislation passed in February 2015.
5. Sources to corroborate the impact
[E1] MHRA EWG Report cites Olszynko-Gryn’s PhD thesis, pgs 6, 11, 105.
[E2] MHRA EWG Minutes – CONFIDENTIAL, pgs. 75, 78-9.
[E3] Cambridge conference on the Contested History of Hormone Pregnancy Tests, including presentations by Lewens and Olszynko-Gryn.
[E4] Testimonial from Chair of APPG on Hormone Pregnancy Tests.
[E5] Olszynko-Gryn’s oral evidence to the IMMDSR.
[E6] Olszynko-Gryn and Lewens’ written evidence to the IMMDSR, quotation on pg. 37.
[E7] Report of the Independent Medicines and Medical Devices Safety Review (‘The Cumberlege Review’), quotation on pg. 73.
[E8] Testimonial from Chair of the ACDHPT.
[E9] Testimonial from Acting Chair of AZ AWERB.
[E10] Email of invitation from Associate Executive Director for Reports and Communication, US National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine.
[E11] Testimonial from Director of Nuffield Council on Bioethics.
[E12] Hansard references to citations of Nuffield Council Report in parliamentary debate, pgs. 2, 13, 19, 26, 60, 82, 88, 100, 118, 119, 131.