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Submitting institution
Royal Holloway and Bedford New College
Unit of assessment
19 - Politics and International Studies
Summary impact type
Societal
Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
No

1. Summary of the impact

Her Majesty’s Government, the British Council, and the Goethe Institute have changed how they approach the projection of soft power as a direct consequence of O’Loughlin’s research. His research has informed how they seek to achieve influence in international affairs conceptually, in policy, and in practice. This is due to (i) O’Loughlin’s role as Specialist Advisor on the House of Lords Select Committee on Soft Power, through which his research informed a report which changed institutions’ thinking, policies and practices; and (ii) O’Loughlin’s research and evaluation projects with the British Council changed how the institution engages with overseas publics. O’Loughlin’s research, conducted jointly with the Goethe Institute, influenced soft power projection in Germany. O’Loughlin’s range of collaborations led to an approach to understanding overseas publics that uses narrative to guide engagement, whether digital or face-to-face, to achieve long-term influence.

2. Underpinning research

Over the last decade O’Loughlin has produced a body of research on how communication influences international relations. This was first advanced in a 2010 working paper, fully articulated in the 2013 book Strategic Narratives [R. 3] and re-visited with an invited series of empirical case studies in the 2017 volume Forging the World: Strategic Narratives in International Relations [R.1]. In the 2000s it was clear from US and UK efforts to win “hearts and minds” in Iraq and Afghanistan that these states, and their public institutions, had difficulties projecting an appealing narrative to overseas societies and listening to the needs and aspirations of those target societies. Additionally, US and UK narratives did not inspire confidence among other allies and soon lost the support of their domestic publics. O’Loughlin’s theory of Strategic Narratives offered a model of narrative formation, projection and reception, and methods for analysts to trace how narratives were understood and responded to by different target audiences – enemies, undecideds, allies, and home publics.

Two critical moves were, first, to focus on narratives rather than the assertion of static values (“we stand for human rights”). O’Loughlin’s previous ESRC-funded research had shown that audiences have a strong sense of where their country and international society are going and that this shapes expectations and preferences. Attention to narrative is more dynamic and allows an understanding of how audiences connect past, present, and possible futures. Second, attention to audience reception had been lost in debates about soft power [R.3]. Foreign policy analysts and International Relations scholars had given priority to analysing soft power projection – the number of museums, sales of British-made movies overseas, and so on. They largely ignored reception. Accordingly, debates about soft power offered very little tangible evidence of persuasion or influence [R.1, R.2, R.3]. The Strategic Narratives model offered a less self-centred approach to international influence and offered concepts and methods to both analyse and create more effective engagement with target audiences.

The findings and recommendations of O’Loughlin’s research were:

  1. Give resources and attention to the audience reception of narratives as much as states’ and organisations’ projection of narratives.

  2. Develop methodologies for identifying audiences’ narratives over time. A snapshot of their values at a given moment tells less about the direction they want their country to travel and thus how the UK can help them. [R.1, R.5]

  3. Accept that persuasion and influence happen incrementally. Moments in which particular narratives alter outcomes in international relations are rare. However, states cannot opt-out of engaging in international influence activities even if the likely outcome is simply to maintain current relations with overseas audiences [R.1, R.2].

  4. Treat communication as happening in an ecology of multiple media so that efforts to create international influence must trace how narratives and attributions of cultural value circulate over time between elites, media and publics in different countries. Single-medium studies (e.g. of Twitter alone) tell us little in isolation [R.4, R.6].

Strategic Narratives became the theoretical framework for O’Loughlin’s subsequent comparative research analysing conflict and perceptions of diplomacy in Ukraine and Israel/Palestine (see grants from the British Council and European Commission in section 3).

O’Loughlin’s work on strategic narratives provided concepts and methods for tracing digital influence in politics more broadly too. Previous work on online radicalisation and assisting the BBC World Service’s social media operations during the London 2012 Olympics [R.5] led him to develop techniques with practitioners and theorise influence through digital media. He had developed internationally award-winning methods for tracing how users’ online behaviours shaped their offline political actions [R.6]. This knowledge of how to research digital communication led him to be elected 2019 Thinker in Residence on ‘Disinformation and Democracy’ by the Royal Academy of Arts and Sciences in Brussels to publish a report distilling his understanding of this field [E.9].

3. References to the research

On soft power and strategic narrative (and note all research is co-authored equally):

  1. Miskimmon, A., O’Loughlin, B. and Roselle, L. (eds.) (2017) Forging the World: Strategic Narratives and International Relations (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press). QI: Google Scholar 177 citations. Available from HEI on Request.

  2. Roselle, L., Miskimmon, A. and O’Loughlin, B. (2014) Strategic Narratives: A New Way to Understand Soft Power. Media, war and Conflict. 7(1), 70-84. Google Scholar 312 citations. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1750635213516696

  3. Miskimmon, A., O’Loughlin, B. and Roselle, L. (2013) Strategic Narratives: Communication Power and the New World Order (New York: Routledge). Winner, International Studies Association (ISA) Best Book Award 2016, International Communication Section. Google scholar 505 citations. Available from HEI on Request.

O’Loughlin’s ESRC-funded research showing how audiences have dynamic understandings of the future and think in terms of narratives:

  1. O’Loughlin, B. (2011). Images as weapons of war: representation, mediation and interpretation. Review of International Studies. 37(1), 71-91. 71 citations. DOI: 10.1017/S0260210510000811.

On specifically digital influence through communication in international relations:

  1. Gillespie, M. and O’Loughlin, B. (2015) Special issue: Tweeting the Olympics: International broadcasting, soft power and social media. Participations: Journal of Audience and Reception Studies, 12(1), 338-676. DOI: https://www.participations.org/Volume%2012/Issue%201/contents.htm.

  2. Vaccari, C., Chadwick, A. and O’Loughlin, B. (2015) Dual Screening the Political: Media Events, Social Media, and Citizen Engagement. Journal of Communication, 65, 1041-1061. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jcom.12187. Winner, American Political Science Association (APSA) 2016 Walter Lippmann Award for Best Article published in Political Communication. Google scholar 203 citations.

Grants underpinning the impactful research:

  • January-March 2020 British Council, Soft Power and English Language. GBP45,000 to Royal Holloway – Unable to accept due to O’Loughlin suffering severe illness in February 2020.

  • January 2017 – June 2018 British Council, Cultural Value in Societies in Transition. GBP150,000 (GBP21,047 to Royal Holloway). Co-PI. Grant Awarded to Marie Gillespie, The Open University. This project evaluated and advised how the British Council and Goethe Institute practice influence in both Egypt and Ukraine.

  • January 2016 – June 2017 The cultural value of #ShakespeareLives. PI Marie Gillespie, The Open University. O’Loughlin worked on this gratis for benefits of impact and publications.

Also underpinning the research on narratives in Ukraine:

  • September 2015 – August 2018 European Commission, Marie Sklodowksa-Curie Individual Fellowship, ‘Russia’s Strategic Narrative of the West: A study of influence in Ukraine’. PI EUR243,934.20 to Royal Holloway.

  • September 2015 – August 2018 Jean Monnet Network Grant, ‘Crisis, Conflict and Critical Diplomacy: EU Perceptions in Ukraine and Israel/Palestine (C3EU)’, Academic Coordinator, EUR222,930 to Natalia Chaban, University of Canterbury. GBP3,000 to Royal Holloway, plus four Royal Holloway staff and one PhD candidate attended workshops around Europe.

4. Details of the impact

Before O’Loughlin’s research, the practice of how soft power was used by governments and other cultural institutions had been overlooked and misunderstood. His research changed this in ways reflected both in policy and in practice.

Strategic Narratives fed into national policy debate through the House of Lords Committee. Its report compelled an Her Majesty’s Government (HMG) response that demonstrated the influence of O’Loughlin’s research, leading directly to policy decisions regarding Chevening Scholarships and diplomatic training. It informed public policy further by transforming how the British Council conceptualised soft power and used that conception to justify its value within government and to create new dialogue with external stakeholders. Between 2016 and 2018 the research led to changes in international policy practice. Co-production of research and evaluation with the British Council and Goethe Institute made it possible to both enact and demonstrate the value of audience research techniques recommended in O’Loughlin’s Strategic Narratives (2013) [R.3] and Forging the World (2017) [R.1] in Ukraine and Egypt as well as through global digital campaigns.

The main findings of Strategic Narratives [R.3] informed the 60,000 word report O’Loughlin wrote for the House of Lords Soft Power Committee. This allowed HMG to first learn about, formally acknowledge, and affirm the appropriateness and use of his theory of how strategic narratives shape soft power. Furthermore, they were willing to act upon his findings and recommendations, introducing a number of changes to policy and practice in 2014 following the report [E.2]. Strategic Narratives’ findings also led the British Council to invite O’Loughlin to work directly with them to enact these findings, notably through a global digital campaign in 2016. His work also informed policies in the Goethe Institute, by exploring new methods to understand target audiences’ understandings of the cultural ‘value’ of engaging with Germany.

Changing HMG’s understanding and practice of narrative influence: In the 2013 book Strategic Narratives [R.3] strategic narrative was defined as ‘a means by which political actors attempt to construct a shared meaning of the past, present, and future of international politics to shape the behaviour of domestic and international actors’ (p2). This conceptualisation was central to the Soft Power report. HMG’s official response [E.2] used this conceptualisation to explain how they practised strategic narrative and why they did not require an additional strategic narrative ‘unit’ in the Cabinet Office because they thought they were already achieving a coherent narrative across government. HMG asserted ‘There is already a mechanism in place’ for this (p11). By 2020 there is documented evidence this has become accepted thinking in UK foreign policy. Parliament’s Foreign Affairs Committee published its ‘five strategic narratives through which the UK can make a global contribution’ [E.8].

HMG’s actions to achieve narrative influence: In line with O’Loughlin’s finding that audience reception must be understood, HMG ‘agrees with the Committee’s recommendation to urge all concerned to gain a much deeper understanding of how others see the UK’ [E.2]. It presented policies that avoided ‘a UK-centric vision’ [E.2]. To his finding that instances of observable immediate influence in international affairs are rare, HMG ‘agrees with the Committee’s recommendation that there should not be an overemphasis on immediate returns on soft power investment, as many of the benefits may be longer term’ [E.2]. On that basis – again reflecting O’Loughlin’s conceptualisation – HMG committed to increase funding for the Chevening Scholarship Programme from 2015 to 2016 [E.2]. Regarding O’Loughlin’s findings on conducting digital engagement and thinking of communication in which media are treated as an ecology, HMG ‘agrees with the Committee’s [and thus O’Loughlin’s] recommendation on the need for diplomats to receive training in … the power of social media and be competent in its use’, and, concretely, ‘skills training will also be included in the material offered by the Diplomatic Academy … which will be open formally in early 2015’ [E.2].

The current [text removed for publication] at the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office has confirmed that further government spending commitments reflected advice in O’Loughlin’s Soft Power report [E.3]. His testimony states, [text removed for publication]. This testimony also signalled the report’s soft power recommendations still inform policy in 2020, stating [text removed for publication] [E.3].

HMG’s 2014 response enabled O’Loughlin to directly guide a UK public sector organisation, the British Council, in enacting these reforms. HMG’s response stated, ‘To further enable UK arts and cultural activity overseas to achieve lasting impact and value, the British Council is developing a forward-looking framework to capture and promote major UK cultural and arts seasons and ‘years of culture’ with key countries all around the world’ (p24) [E.5]. O’Loughlin, with Gillespie (The Open University), developed regular relations with the British Council in 2015 to receive funding from the British Council to evaluate their #ShakespeareLives 2016 global campaign of events, competitions and other activities to celebrate 400 years since Shakespeare’s death.

The British Council’s [text removed for publication] Programme, Policy and External Relations, testified that for her organisation the report was [text removed for publication] [E.6]. Internally, she described how they used the report to help prepare their within-government case for funding for cultural relations and to explain to the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) how the British Council contributes [text removed for publication] in the longer term. The report also helped them [text removed for publication]. The effect of this was to start [text removed for publication], she writes.

The Cultural Value project involved O’Loughlin and Gillespie implementing qualitative alongside the usual quantitative methods used by the British Council and Goethe Institute to understand their audiences-cum-users. They conducted this research in Ukraine and Egypt. The research influenced how the British Council and Goethe Institute construct evaluation of their cultural relations programmes [E.4, E.5, E.6]. The British Council include this framework in their Arts Evaluation Toolkit [E.7]. This evidences how O’Loughlin’s research with Gillespie altered how the British Council and Goethe Institute conceptualise influence and their willingness to use qualitative methods to identify what audiences understand by cultural ‘value’, in line with O’Loughlin’s research findings. The British Council’s [text removed for publication] adds that this improves performance because they are better able to understand how and why the goals of their stakeholders differ and how then to seek alignment and shared understanding [E.7].

These relationships bring sustained engagement that will generate further impact [E.3]. The British Council is committed to these approaches as of late 2020 [E.7]. The 2019 Thinker in Residence position in Brussels [E.9] has brought ongoing dialogue about an impact-focused event. O’Loughlin will attend COP26 in Glasgow in November 2021 to evaluate the UK’s strategic narrative on climate change for the UK government, with the permission of COP26 CEO Peter Hill and working with the Cabinet Office. These relations in the UK and abroad are institutionalised and will continue.

5. Sources to corroborate the impact

  1. (2014) Power and Persuasion in the Modern World. London: HM Stationary. Available at: https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201314/ldselect/ldsoftpower/150/150.pdf. This was the report of the House of Lords Select Committee on Soft Power and UK Influence.

  2. (2014) UK Government public response to Power and Persuasion in the Modern World, available at: https://www.parliament.uk/documents/lords-committees/soft-power-uk-influence/Lords-Soft-Power-Government-Response.pdf. This document responds to the recommendations of the report and addresses which government would implement.

  3. Written testimony of the [text removed for publication], Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office

  4. (2018, February) Cultural Value: Cultural Relations in Societies in Transition: A Literature Review. British Council / Goethe Institute policy paper. I am second named author (p27) and the work cites [3]. Available at: https://www.britishcouncil.org/sites/default/files/lit_review_short_working_paper_final_final.pdf

  5. (2018, October) Culture in an Age of Uncertainty: The Value of Cultural Relations in Societies in Transition. The second and main report of our findings on the Cultural Value project. Available at: https://www.britishcouncil.org/sites/default/files/cultural_relations_in_an_age_of_uncertainty_en.pdf

  6. Written testimony from [text removed for publication], The British Council.

  7. Written testimony of [text removed for publication], The British Council

  8. House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee (2020). A brave new Britain? The future of the UK’s international policy. 13 October. Available at: https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm5801/cmselect/cmfaff/380/38005.htm#_idTextAnchor037

  9. O’Loughlin’s work on strategic narrative led to his appointment as 2019 Thinker in Residence of the Belgian Royal Academy of Sciences and the Arts. He wrote a policy paper on Disinformation and Democracy that investigated the role of foreign narratives influencing domestic politics in the EU. His report was presented to policymakers and social media stakeholders in Brussels in October 2019. The final report was published in February 2020: https://www.kvab.be/sites/default/rest/blobs/2557/Final%20Report%20Dem%20&%20Desinfo.pdf

Submitting institution
Royal Holloway and Bedford New College
Unit of assessment
19 - Politics and International Studies
Summary impact type
Societal
Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
No

1. Summary of the impact

Democracy rests on the ideal of political equality. Yet in British democracy some groups receive more attention than others: research from the Democracy and Elections Centre shows that working class, low income and young people have been marginalized and alienated from the political process in general and electoral politics in particular. Heath and Sloam have collaborated extensively with NGOs (including Joseph Rowntree Foundation, Intergenerational Foundation and BitetheBallot), political parties (Labour and Conservative), and government officials at the National and Regional level to put the concerns of low income voters and young people on the formal political agenda. These efforts transformed public and civil society debate, re-ordered the formal political agenda, and helped change government policy: (i) the Greater London Authority (GLA) introduced new initiatives to enhance youth voice in the Mayor’s Young Londoners Fund [worth GBP45,000,000 per annum]; and (ii) the Conservatives lifted the benefit freeze at the 2019 General Election, directly affecting 500,000 people at risk of poverty.

2. Underpinning research

This impact case study draws on core research centred on inequalities in political participation and representation from the Democracy and Elections Centre at Royal Holloway University of London. Heath and Sloam’s complementary research, published in leading national and international peer-reviewed journals, shows how low participation groups (with particular reference to the working class, those on low incomes, and young people with low educational attainment) are incorporated within the political system; how and why they vote, the level, type, and effectiveness of their political participation, how their interests and needs are represented and responded to by policy-makers, and how these dimensions of political participation and representation have changed over time.

Heath’s research into the political marginalization of the working class [R.1, R.3] established an important milestone: that in 2010 class was more important in determining whether people voted or not than it was in determining which party they supported. While an age-gap in turnout is widely recognised [R.5, R.6]; the class-gap (of similar magnitude) had received far less attention. This challenged the old idea that a decline in class voting signified ‘the successful resolution by political systems of deep-seated conflicts of social interests’, and showed that the working class had not become incorporated within the political system but instead become more marginalised from it. This research also showed that growing working class alienation represented ‘fertile territory for populist parties’ - which if harnessed could see working class turnout increase again. In the wake of Brexit, the political implications of this became more widely apparent as turnout was highest, and support for Brexit greatest, in places were these groups were most numerous [R2]. Building on this research, to investigate how mainstream parties could reconnect with working class voters, Heath with Matthew Goodwin (Kent) authored five reports for the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF; 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020) based on original data analysis of high-quality survey data from the British Election Study. These reports developed ‘key messages’ for JRF to deploy the new empirical data in their campaigns aimed at political parties in Britain.

Sloam’s research focuses on youth political engagement and the relationship between education and political participation [R.4, R.5 and R.6]. Whilst previous research had focussed on inter-generational inequalities in political engagement, Sloam’s research identified sharp intra-generational inequalities in participation. It further highlighted very low levels of engagement amongst young people of low socio-economic status, and a lack of ‘contact’ between young people and politicians and officials in the UK (in contrast to elsewhere in Europe). Subsequent work provides examples of how youth engagement could be fostered through political contact and new forms of political communication [R.4 and R.6] – the mobilisation of younger generations through citizen-to-citizen contact and engagement with issues that hold meaning for their everyday lives (rather than broad policy agendas). Furthermore, this research demonstrated that participatory research, using young people as researchers, can facilitate deeper understandings of youth issues (particularly amongst disadvantaged groups) through providing deliberative spaces for civic learning [R.5 and R.6]. These insights have led to co-produced original research with NGOs, such as the Intergenerational Foundation, BitetheBallot, and with the GLA.

3. References to the research

R1. Heath, O. (2018) ‘Policy alienation, social alienation and working class abstention in Britain, 1964-2010’ British Journal of Political Science 48 (4): 1053-1073. [published online in 2016]. Q1: Google scholar 47 citations. DOI: 10.1017/S0007123416000272.

R2. Goodwin, M., and Heath, O. (2016). ‘The 2016 Referendum, Brexit and the Left Behind: An Aggregate-Level Analysis of the Result’ Political Quarterly 87 (3): 323-332. GS 502 citations. DOI: 10.1017/S0007123413000318.

R3. Heath, O. (2015) ‘Policy representation, social representation and class voting in Britain’ British Journal of Political Science 45 (1): 173-193. [published online in 2013]. Q1: 52 citations. DOI: 10.1017/S0007123413000318.

R4. Sloam, J., & Henn, M. (2018). Youthquake 2017: The Rise of Young Cosmopolitans in Britain. Palgrave. 36 citations. Available from HEI on Request.

R5. Sloam, J. (2014). ‘New voice, less equal: The civic and political engagement of young people in the United States and Europe’. Comparative Political Studies, 47(5), 663-688. Q1: 163 citations. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414012453441.

R6. Sloam, J. (2018). ‘# Votebecause: Youth mobilisation for the referendum on British membership of the European Union’. New Media & Society, 20(11), 4017-4034. Q1: 9 citations. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1461444818766701.

The outputs are published in leading national and international peer-reviewed journals, with very low acceptance rates and have been widely cited. All co-authored work was produced equally.

Funding 2016-2020

  • Joseph Rowntree Foundation. Commissioned research on low income voters. Total value of projects: GBP100,000

  • London Sustainable Development Commission funding to support research on ‘Young Londoners and Sustainability’ project: GBP7,000

  • Research England Funding to support research (with the GLA) on ‘Youth, Sustainability and Democracy’ to follow-up on the previous collaboration: GBP19,200

4. Details of the impact

Research undertaken by Heath and Sloam at Royal Holloway has (i) co-produced new knowledge with NGOs over a sustained period of time and redirected NGO activities that (ii) transformed public and civil society debate and reordered the formal political agenda so that it pays more attention to the concerns of working class people, those on low incomes and young people, (iii) through these new debates and NGO activities, affected political actors so that they pay more attention to the concerns of people on low incomes and young people, and (iv) in two instances influenced significant policy change: the GLA introducing major new initiatives to enhance the youth voice in the Mayor’s Young Londoners Fund [GBP45,000,000 funding 200 projects across London] and the Conservatives lifting the benefit freeze before the 2019 General Election, directly affecting 500,000 people at risk of being driven into poverty.

  1. Co-Production of new applied knowledge - and redirection of NGOs’ activities.

A key impact of this research has been the co-production, with NGOs, of new applied knowledge leading to a re-direction of organisational focus and strategic priorities within social change organisations. As a leading expert on socioeconomic inequalities and political participation, Heath’s sustained relationship with the JRF started with an invitation to join the JRF Advisory board in 2016; and developed over time, culminating with his work underpinning the launch of an influential new JRF campaign in 2019. This campaign increased political interest in people on low incomes and at risk of poverty, and highlighted the issues that they cared about in order to encourage parties to reconnect with them [E.2]. Prior to this campaign, there was no non-partisan movement for people in poverty to articulate their needs and interests on the national stage, resulting in political parties claiming to speak for them. JRF were keen to address this mis-representation [E.2]. Heath produced five original research reports for the JRF which provided a new evidential base for the political attitudes and voting behaviour of people on low incomes [E.1], published after the 2016 EU Referendum, the 2017 GE (including a separate report on Scotland), and before and after the 2019 GE. The JRF Executive Director states: these reports have ‘been completely central to the campaign’ to make a significant public intervention by JRF to persuade the UK political parties to focus on voters on a low income and the policies that would make a difference to their lives [E.2]. And ‘the fact that JRF was able to engage senior politicians and commentators in this as a field…needed really high-quality research to add something new into the debate [E.2].

Similarly, working with NGOs Sloam has directly shaped the practices and priorities of youth-centred organisations to foster youth engagement in politics. He has written reports for the United Nations (World Youth Report 2017) and the Intergenerational Foundation (also serving on the advisory board since 2010) and co-produced research with BitetheBallot (who nominated him as a research fellow for the All-Party Parliamentary Group on Democratic Participation, on which he served (2015 to 2019). Sloam led the BitetheBallot Voter Advice Application (VAA) steering group, and his research played an essential part in the development of a VAA (with the think-tank, Demos) used by over [text removed for publication] of those between the ages of 18 and 25) in the run-up to the 2015 General Election. His research also underpinned the development of a BitetheBallot App to gamify key sustainability-related issues to better develop young Londoners’ understanding of these issues, which attracted approximately [text removed for publication] (young) users in the Greater London area in 2019 [E.8]. Sloam’s work also empowered young people in a new GLA project through the development of ideas for peer networks amongst young Londoners (e.g. through youth mayors) and participatory research (using young people as researchers). Sloam’s sustained interaction with the GLA, keynotes to policy makers and meetings with the Peer Outreach team, led to the development of a youth-led methodology (including in-depth interviews and deliberative focus groups) run by young people with fellow young Londoners from deprived backgrounds, and captured the diversity of youth opinion through a bespoke n=2,002 survey of 16 to 24 year olds (no such large-scale survey of youth opinion had been previously carried out in the capital). The [text removed for publication].”[E.6]

  1. Changing public, civil society, and political debate to give more attention to low participation groups

Heath and Sloam’s research has made a significant contribution to the national conversation, pushing the issues facing people on low incomes and young people further up public and political agendas. Research on youth political engagement [R4] played a central role in the ‘youthquake’ debate after the 2017 UK election. The [text removed for publication] of the Intergenerational Foundation described the research as [text removed for publication] [E.3]. Research into working class representation [R1, R3] and the under-representation of working class MPs was reported in The Guardian [circulation: 127,000], the New Statesmen [c. 37,000] and discussed on BBC Radio 4 – media fora that connected with politicians and provoked political debate. The senior Labour MP Angela Rayner MP responded by saying “people will get more and more angry at the price of democracy that they see doesn’t affect them.” A Parliament full of "solicitors, barristers" will appear "an exclusive club" [E4]. With Jonathan Ashworth MP stating that Labour need to do more to connect with voters: “the Labour party needs to increase its efforts to find candidates who come from the communities we want to represent. That is more working-class, female and more black and ethnic minority candidates [E.4]”. The co-produced reports with the JRF were referenced over 300 times in the media [E.4], including in outlets such as the BBC [online readership 438,000,000 per week] , Sky, The Sun [circulation 1,200,000 million] , The Daily Mail [c. 1,100,000 million] , The Daily Telegraph [c. 360,000] , The Daily Mirror [c. 509,000] and The Daily Express [c. 290,000] [5.2] and informed journalists’ coverage of the 2019 election. The political columnist at The Times [c. 360,000] used the research to make the case that ‘low income voters will decide the next election’ and that the ‘Tory message must move beyond Brexit’ [E.9].

4.3 Changing the political agenda to increase attention to the concerns of people on low incomes and young people

Through these pathways, Heath and Sloam’s research has made a significant contribution to high level policy debate and pushed the political inclusion of people on low incomes and young people up the political agenda. In the run up to the 2019 General Election, JRF used Heath’s findings in a number of activities to campaign for policy change [E.2]. These included fringe events on ‘low income voters’ at party conferences in 2017, 2018 and 2019 (with ConHome and Labour List), along with private briefings for senior Conservative politicians and advisers including those drafting the 2019 manifesto, a briefing for centre-right journalists and thinkers to disseminate the findings, and a briefing for Labour MPs in parliament on the research findings [E.2]. The JRF conclude that this messaging was successful and that there was ‘more attention during the 2019 GE campaign on the topic of low-income voters’ and that without the JRF’s intervention party targeting of voters ‘could have been to the exclusion of people on a low income’ [E.2]. Heath also gave briefings to Scottish Labour MPs in Westminster in 2017, Labour MPs in Westminster in 2019, and Keir Starmer’s leadership team on zoom in 2020. A senior Labour MP said [text removed for publication] [E.5]. Heath’s research was also cited in the Labour Together 2019 Election Review, reflecting on the causes of their defeat.

The group have also influenced youth engagement strategies. Sloam’s research report for the Intergenerational Foundation was presented to a cross-party group of MPs in Westminster. This led Conservative MP Ben Bradley (then, Conservative Party vice-chair with responsibility for youth policy) to declare that the Conservatives had a lot of work to do in their appeal to young people. Sloam’s research was also [text removed for publication] [E.8]. Sloam’s youth-centred research has also transformed policy debate and practitioner behaviour in the GLA. According to the [text removed for publication], the research played a ‘central role’ in putting youth voice on the political agenda and ‘convinced’ the GLA to offer youth-oriented solutions to pressing sustainability policy challenges [E.6]. This directly resulted in the production of a youth engagement Handbook for GLA policy-makers [E.6]. The Handbook provides a detailed training manual on how to integrate young people’s views into the policy-making process so that their participation is not tokenistic. In citing the importance and influence of this work, senior policy makers from the GLA note [text removed for publication] [E.6]. Sloam’s research is also shaping the GLA’s response to the challenges of the Covid-19 pandemic. In June 2020 and October 2020, he delivered keynote addresses to audiences of approximately 100 policy-makers in the GLA. Senior policy makers in the GLA said: [text removed for publication] [E.6].

4.4 Changing government priorities and policies towards people on low incomes and young people

Heath and Sloam’s research changed government policy. Sloam’s research has made a significant difference to policies that affect young Londoners lives; empowering them in the decision making process by enhancing youth voice in the Mayor’s Young Londoners Fund. Sloam’s 2019 research project with the GLA led directly to the invitation of young Londoners to City Hall to shape the priorities for the Young Londoners Fund and discuss what they felt was missing in the youth sector (using the same deliberative methods from Sloam’s project). The Peer Outreach Team, then, invited 15 young Londoners from youth organisations to help evaluate proposals. Based on Sloam’s policy briefings the GLA adopted Sloam’s recommendations for improving youth voice amongst young Londoners more generally. The cornerstone of these changes is the use of young people in the co-production of policy-making in ‘a collaborative work plan’ to ensure that the fund is ‘youth centred’. This involved setting up discussion networks of young Londoners to evaluate proposals and projects co-ordinated by the Peer Outreach Team (supported by the Handbook referred to above) [E.6]. As a result of this work, Sloam is collaborating with the OECD on a new international project to enhance youth voice in government decision making more widely [E.7].

JRF Executive Director says that Heath’s research has ‘been absolutely central’ to one of their most successful ever policy interventions [to lift the freeze on welfare benefits] and that they feel that it is a reasonable claim that the research contributed to party positioning and policy impact [E.2]. The JRF took a leading role in the campaign to lift the benefits freeze and was cited in 49 different debates on the topic in the House of Commons and House of Lords [E.10]. Labour MP Margaret Greenwood MP said “The benefit freeze increases poverty. According to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, the freeze is set to drive almost 500,000 more people into poverty by 2020” [E.10]. The JRF had well-established relationships with senior Conservative politicians; what they lacked was the high-quality research - and a campaigning message - to add something new into the debate [E.2]. The low-income voter briefings based on Heath’s reports that JRF carried out in October 2019 was the critical opportunity to raise the issue with politicians in a position to act. On 3 November the government announced to the Sunday media that it would be lifting the benefit freeze [E.2]. According to the JRF Executive Director, here was ‘a positive indication that we can use curated research and engagement to highlight the action that would make a difference now, and to see action, that makes a difference to people on low incomes’ [E.2]. This line of impact is ongoing and the political value of the research is evident in JRF’s most recent ‘Keep the Lifeline campaign’, which argues for a permanent extension of the increases to Universal Credit brought in as a response to Covid, with early indications being that the Government is now actively considering the move in response to pressure from MPs that JRF cultivated by referring back to Heath’s research [E.9].

5. Sources to corroborate the impact

E1. The five reports are published on the JRF website available at https://www.jrf.org.uk/contact/oliver-heath and formed the cornerstone of the JRF campaign ‘Every vote counts: winning over low income voters’. Available at https://www.jrf.org.uk/report/every-voter-counts-winning-over-low-income-voters

E2. Written testimony from the Joseph Rowntree Foundation Executive Director.

E3. Written testimony from the Intergenerational Foundation [text removed for publication]

E4. Media reports and coverage of Heath’s work

E5. Private correspondence from a senior Labour MP

E6. Written statements from the GLA, including the [text removed for publication] of Health, Education and Youth, and Peer Outreach Workers at the GLA

E7. Written testimony from OECD Public Governance Team.

E8. Written testimony from Bite the Ballot and the APPG on Democratic Participation.

E9. Written testimony from JRF Deputy Director of External Affairs

E10. Written transcripts from Hansard between 2016 and 2020

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