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Submitting institution
The University of Leicester
Unit of assessment
5 - Biological Sciences
Summary impact type
Health
Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
No

1. Summary of the impact

Asthma is a chronic inflammatory airway disease, affecting all ages. Asthma causes considerable morbidity and significant avoidable mortality. In the UK, 60,000 asthmatics are admitted to hospital annually, with over 1,000 dying. Globally, ~20% of children and ~5% of adults are affected, with 5% of cases having severe disease. Collaboration between the University of Leicester (UoL) and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) resulted in the development, licensing, and widespread use of a first-in-kind monoclonal antibody, mepolizumab (Nucala™), which prevents severe exacerbations. Since its release in 2015, Nucala™ has been prescribed ~150,000 times globally, generating revenue of over GBP1,700,000,000, and transforming the lives of those asthmatics at risk of serious harm.

2. Underpinning research

Asthma is a chronic condition of the airways, which causes considerable morbidity and significant avoidable mortality globally. In the UK, 5,400,000 people receive treatment for asthma with 6,400,000 GP and nurse consultations annually. 60,000 asthmatics are hospitalised each year with >1,000 dying. Globally, the latter figure rises to >250,000 [E13]. Asthma costs the NHS >GBP1,000,000,000 per year. [E12].

Generally, asthma is characterised by two patterns of disease presentation: episodic breathlessness primarily due to airway smooth muscle (ASM) contraction and exacerbations primarily due to airway inflammation. Standard treatment for ASM utilises beta2 agonists while inhaled corticosteroids are effective in preventing exacerbations, though oral administration is required in severe eosinophilic exacerbations. These exacerbations cause asthma deaths. The frequent need for continuous corticosteroid treatment is a risk factor for several conditions including diabetes, hypertension, obesity, and bone thinning. Asthmatics with inadequately controlled disease—estimated to be ~250,000 in the UK—suffer significant impairments in their quality of life, mental health, and employment.

Prior to UoL research, there was a major unmet need for new therapies to help this group. Though the importance of eosinophils in asthma was known for several decades, by 2000 the widely accepted paradigm was that asthma resulted from eosinophilic inflammation, caused by allergen-activated T-cells synthesising the specific eosinophil growth factor interleukin 5 (IL-5).

The anti-IL-5 monoclonal antibody mepolizumab was developed by GSK to improve symptoms and lung function (FEV1) by preventing IL-5 binding to the IL-5 receptor, thus neutralising it. However, allergen challenge models of asthma and clinical trials concluded that mepolizumab had no effect on either airway hyperresponsiveness (AHR) or FEV1, despite marked reductions in blood eosinophils. These results had convinced GSK to halt mepolizumab development until intervention by the Leicester Institute for Lung Health (LILH), spearheaded by Wardlaw, Pavord, Brightling, and Bradding.

Based on their clinical and laboratory observations using innovative methods for investigating patient’s sputum samples, LILH proposed a new model of asthma, deconstructing it to its component pathophysiological abnormalities [R1]. Examining airway tissue from their patients they found that eosinophils were only responsible for the exacerbation component of asthma, and not the ASM abnormalities which were responsible for day-to-day symptoms [R2]. LILH further demonstrated that active eosinophilic inflammation was not present in all asthmatics [R3] and proposed that only those with an increased sputum eosinophil count would respond to anti-eosinophil therapies [R4]. LILH proved this paradigm shift in a landmark paper that showed that if airway eosinophilia was effectively blocked by corticosteroids then exacerbations were almost completely prevented without major effects on day-to-day symptoms or lung function. The paper also demonstrated that only patients with active eosinophilic inflammation responded to corticosteroids [R5].

This ground-breaking research convinced GSK to commission and support LILH to undertake an investigator-designed and led, Phase-2, single-centre, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial, of twelve months treatment with mepolizumab in patients with active eosinophilic airway inflammation (measured in sputum), using severe exacerbations as the primary outcome measure. This study demonstrated that mepolizumab prevented ~50% of exacerbations, without any discernible effect on day-to-day symptoms, AHR or FEV1 [R6], showing that eosinophils were causal in exacerbations and suggesting that mepolizumab would be effective in severe asthma if targeted at those with eosinophilic, exacerbation-prone disease. GSK followed this trial with a multi-dose, multi-centre Phase-2 trial (DREAM) in collaboration with LILH, using the same design. This confirmed the original findings, additionally discovering that blood and sputum eosinophil counts were equally as effective in identifying treatment-responsive eosinophilic asthmatics [R7]. Subsequent Phase-3 studies (MENSA and SIRIUS) further verified LILH results.

This research collaboration with LILH led to GSK obtaining a global license in 2015 for the use of mepolizumab in adults and children, marketed as Nucala™. GSK continues to adapt Nucala for the treatment of rare conditions related to severe asthma including eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangitis (EGPA; formerly Churg-Strauss) and hypereosinophilic syndrome with Wardlaw a co-author .

The study designs established by LILH for mepolizumab, stemming from their concepts of asthma based on their laboratory and clinical studies, have been used successfully to develop several other anti-T2 biologicals including reslizumab (also anti-IL-5), benralizumab (anti-IL-5 receptor), and dupilumab (anti-IL-4/13).

3. References to the research

R1. Wardlaw AJ, Brightling CE, Green R, Woltmann.G, Bradding P, Pavord ID. New insights into the relationship between airway inflammation and asthma. Clinical Science. 2002.103: 201-211.

R2. Brightling CE, Bradding P, Symon FA, Holgate ST, Wardlaw AJ, Pavord ID. Mast-cell infiltration of airway smooth muscle in asthma. N Engl J Med. 2002. 346: 1699-705.

R3. Green RH, Brightling CE, Woltmann G, Parker D, Wardlaw AJ, Pavord ID. Analysis of induced sputum in adults with asthma: identification of subgroup with isolated sputum neutrophilia and poor response to inhaled corticosteroids. Thorax. 2002. 57: 875-9.

R4. Haldar P, Pavord ID, Shaw DE, Berry MA, Thomas M, Brightling CE, Wardlaw AJ, Green RH. Cluster analysis and clinical asthma phenotypes. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2008. 178:218-224.

R5. Green RH, Brightling CE, McKenna S, Hargadon B, Parker D, Bradding P, Wardlaw AJ, Pavord ID. Asthma exacerbations and sputum eosinophil counts: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2002. 360:1715-21.

R6. Haldar P, Brightling CE, Hargadon B, Gupta S, Monteiro W, Sousa A, Marshall RP, Bradding P, Green RH, Wardlaw AJ, Pavord ID. Mepolizumab and exacerbations of refractory eosinophilic asthma. N Engl J Med. 2009. 360:973-84.

R7. Pavord ID, Korn S, Howarth P, Bleecker ER, Buhl R, Keene ON, Ortega H, Chanez

P. Mepolizumab for severe eosinophilic asthma (DREAM): a multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Lancet. 2012. 380:651-9.

Supporting Grants

G1. Immunohistochemistry of Bronchial Biopsies, Wardlaw (PI), Pavord (COI), Brightling (COI), 2005 – 2011, GlaxoSmithKline, GBP1,220,000.

G2. Mepolizumab at time of admission to hospital for severe exacerbation of COPD, Brightling (PI), 2019-2022, GlaxoSmithKline, GBP2,461,119.

4. Details of the impact

Through highly original reverse translational research and innovative laboratory methodologies, LILH were integral to the development of mepolizumab – a new class of highly effective treatment therapies for severe asthma. First licensed in 2015, the drug is prescribed worldwide, providing substantial economic benefits and significant patient outcome improvements.

Using novel targeting of distinct pathophysiological traits identified through innovative laboratory approaches by the team, with a classical precision medicine approach, LILH have trail-blazed therapy development for asthma and related diseases, achieving global impact in three main areas.

Economic Impact

Prior to LILH intervention, GSK intended to cease mepolizumab development. Leicester research prevented this and opened new markets enabling global release of mepolizumab (Nucala™), now a key pillar of GSK’s continued success. Nucala™ was first licensed in 2015 [E1] and has grown exponentially, with sales revenue rising from GBP1,000,000 in 2015 to GBP768,000,000 in 2019. To date, Nucala™ has generated GSK revenue of ~GBP1,800,000,000 [E2].

Significantly, Nucala™ is the fastest growing respiratory product within the GSK portfolio and, despite its relatively recent market introduction, has compensated for the general decline of sales within the GSK pharmaceuticals area. The 2019 Annual Report states that “respiratory sales were up 18% AER, 15% CER to [GBP]3,081 million, on growth of Trelegy, Elipta and Nucala”. Of the drugs listed as continuing successes, Nucala™ is the highest selling drug class [E2].

Beyond GSK, mepolizumab’s benefits are widespread within the healthcare sector. Of the GBP1,100,000,000 annual NHS cost of asthma treatment, GBP137,000,000 results from patient hospitalisation [E11]. Studies into mepolizumab’s efficacy demonstrate that its use provides a 73% reduction in hospitalisation, thereby saving the NHS an estimated ~GBP19,000,000 annually [E8].

Changing Clinical Practice

In 2016, a joint committee of the British Thoracic Society and the Scottish Intercollegiate Guideline Network, on which Brightling provided expert advice, produced their ‘British Guideline on the Management of Asthma’. This guideline, for the first time, recommended the use of mepolizumab as a treatment option for severe asthma based on LILH research. The guideline also extensively utilised LILH research to inform and underpin best-practice recommendations for eosinophilic disease detection. These recommendations were adopted and included in guidelines issued the same year by the British Society for Haematology, European Academy of Allergy and Clinical Immunology, and American Academy of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology [E4].

National clinical standards in the UK are defined by NICE whose recommendations are implemented as standard procedure within all NHS hospitals and represent the gold standard globally. Following the BTS-SIGN guideline, NICE began consultation on the use of mepolizumab as a treatment for severe asthma, resulting in the 2017 guideline ‘Mepolizumab for treating severe refractory eosinophilic asthma’. This codified the drug as a treatment option in the NHS for the first time, noting that prior to its creation “there was a need for alternative treatments for people with severe refractory eosinophilic asthma” [E3].

Since 2016, as a result of ground-breaking LILH research, mepolizumab is recommended for use in treatment of severe eosinophilic asthma in clinical practice guidelines worldwide including Japan, the EU, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Saudi Arabia [E4].

The Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) is the leading international medical guidelines organisation covering asthma prevalence, morbidity, and mortality. Each year, GINA publish evidence-based guidelines titled ‘Global Strategy for Asthma Management and Prevention’, used by clinicians worldwide. In each iteration since 2017, mepolizumab is a recommended treatment option. This demonstrates the paradigm shift driven and enabled by LILH [E5].

Improving Patient Health Outcomes

Following NICE approval, a statement was released by the Director of the NICE Centre for Health Technology Evaluation, Professor Carole Longson, in which the novelty and efficacy of Mepolizumab was foregrounded. Longson stated that the 100,000 adults in England and Wales with severe, uncontrolled asthma previously “had limited treatment options” with many using inhaled corticosteroids for prolonged periods causing further complications such as diabetes and high blood pressure; “as the first biologic treatment to target immune cells called eosinophils. These cells are responsible for symptoms in thousands of asthma patients”. Mepolizumab would enable significant treatment and quality of life improvements for sufferers [E6].

By 2019, there were an estimated 17,507 UK patients eligible for mepolizumab, with 3,258 receiving the treatment [E11]. Global adoption of mepolizumab immediately provided significant patient health improvements. The French mepolizumab early-access programme demonstrated 86% reduction in severe exacerbations with 65% of patients stopping continuous corticosteroid treatment [E7], while the Australian Mepolizumab Registry showed 60% reduction in severe exacerbations. Follow-up studies demonstrated a 73% reduction in hospitalisations in patients receiving the drug between 2015 and 2017 [E8].

The real-world benefits of mepolizumab were confirmed by the US Institute for Clinical and Economic Review which concluded that use of the drug was associated with a 53% reduction in asthma exacerbations with similar reductions demonstrated in the annual per-patient rates of emergency department visits (61% reduction) and hospitalisations generally (69% reduction) [E9]. To date, an estimated 150,000 people worldwide have been treated with mepolizumab since 2015 [E10].

Without the expert intervention of LILH, mepolizumab would have been abandoned, falsely regarded as ineffective based on an incorrect understanding of asthma pathophysiology. Instead, thousands of patients globally now benefit from new treatment options and drastically improved life quality. Drug discovery methods have been revolutionised and avenues for novel, effective treatments have been opened, ensuring continued progress in the global battle against asthma.

5. Sources to corroborate the impact

E1. GSK Press Release 2015. http://globalpharmaupdate.com/fda-approves-glaxosmithklines-nucala-drug-for-severe-asthma/

E2. GSK Annual Reports 2015-2019.

E3. NICE ‘Mepolizumab for treating severe refractory eosinophilic asthma’ 2017.

E4. National and International Clinical Practice Guidelines

- ‘British guideline on the management of asthma’ 2016.

- Japanese Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare panel deliberation report.

- British Society for Haematology ‘Guideline for the investigation and management of eosinophilia’ 2016.

- Joint consensus statement of the European Academy of Allergy and Clinical Immunology and the American Academy of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology (PRACTALL).

-Canadian Thoracic Society position statement.

- Polish Agency for Assessment of Medical Technologies.

- National Asthma Council Australia ‘National asthma strategy 2018’.

- The Saudi Initiative for Asthma ‘Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of asthma in adults and children: Update’ 2019.

- European Respiratory Society/American Thoracic Society guideline ‘Management of severe asthma’ 2020.

- National Asthma Council Australia ‘Australian Asthma Handbook’ 2020.

E5. Global Initiative for Asthma ‘Global Strategy for Asthma Management and Prevention’ 2017-2019.

E6. NICE Press Release, 2016. https://www.nice.org.uk/news/article/nice-recommends-first-of-its-kind-asthma-treatment-mepolizumab

E7. Gruber A et al. Real-life experience with mepolizumab in the French early access program for severe eosinophilic asthma. European Respiratory Journal 2019 54 (suppl 63); PA1654.

E8. Harvey E et al. Clinical response to mepolizumab in patients with severe eosinophilic asthma. European Respiratory Journal 2019. 54 (suppl 63); PA 541.

E9. US Institute for Clinical and Economic Review ‘Mepolizumab (Nucala), GlaxoSmithKline plc.) for the treatment of Severe Asthma with Eosinophilia’ 2016.

E10. Testimonial: PBR Report GSK.

E11. Asthma UK report ‘Living in Limbo: The Scale of Unmet Need in Difficult and Severe Asthma’ 2019.

E12. Asthma UK article 2019. https://www.asthma.org.uk/about/media/news/asthma-uk-study-1.1bn/

E13. European Medicines Agency ‘Summary of the Risk Management Plan for Nucala (Mepolizumab) 2015. https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/documents/rmp-summary/nucala-epar-risk-management-plan-summary_en.pdf

Submitting institution
The University of Leicester
Unit of assessment
5 - Biological Sciences
Summary impact type
Technological
Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
No

1. Summary of the impact

University of Leicester research into novel tools for forensic DNA analysis has developed and characterized male-specific Y-chromosome DNA markers for the investigation of crime. This has contributed to national and international guidelines for their use, facilitating their application in sexual assault cases where male and female DNAs are mixed, thus enabling prosecutions and exonerations globally, and benefiting companies that manufacture testing kits. Additionally, University of Leicester researchers have resurrected and applied ‘analogue’ DNA fingerprinting technology, supporting the conviction of a violent rapist in a forensic ‘cold case’ 30 years after the offence.

2. Underpinning research

Since the revolutionary 1984 invention of genetic fingerprinting by Alec Jeffreys at the University of Leicester (UoL), DNA analysis has been central to forensic science and criminal justice worldwide. Standard DNA profiling targets variable short-tandem repeats (STRs) on the autosomes (chromosomes shared by males and females). Because these STRs have many different versions (alleles) and are inherited independently, as few as ten give a uniquely identifying DNA profile. However, standard profiles cannot resolve all criminal cases.For over 25 years, Jobling has studied the genetic diversity of the human Y chromosome[G1–G3]. This is male specific, so targeted profiling of Y-DNA provides valuable information on the male component in a mixed DNA sample, often encountered in sexual assault cases. Jobling’s research [R1] described the fundamental properties of Y-DNA profiles that support their forensic application: (i) low diversity compared to autosomal profiles because Y-STRs are not independently inherited; (ii) sharing among male-line relatives, so not individually identifying, but powerful for exclusions; and (iii) high geographical differentiation. Many highly variable Y-STRs are therefore needed to maximize discriminatory power and extensive population surveys are required to interpret the significance of matching profiles, and to predict where in the world a man is likely to originate from ( biogeographic ancestry). Profiling based on nine Y-STRs began in the 1990s, and in 2001 formed the basis for the first open online Y Haplotype Reference Database (yhrd.org; led by Lutz Roewer [Charité, Berlin]), in which Jobling’s team was a partner [R2]. YHRD is now at release 63 and contains 321,472 reference profiles from >1000 worldwide populations, including profiles from 21 diverse populations from Leicester’s research projects **[**e.g. R3].The Y chromosome sequence was published in 2003, allowing systematic searches for novel Y-STRs. UoL was a key partner [R4] in a collaboration (with Manfred Kayser [Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology], and Chris Tyler-Smith [Wellcome Sanger Institute]) that discovered 166 new STRs (a 313% increase on what was previously known). This innovation catalyzed development of new highly discriminating commercial Y-STR kits by several manufacturers, allowing simultaneous typing of up to 37 STRs. One kit, PowerPlex Y23 (PPY23, Promega Corp.) was used in a multi-centre research collaboration, including Leicester, to analyse 19,630 Y-chromosomes from 129 different populations [R5]. Jobling’s team worked with Prof Lisa Smith (UoL Criminology) to demonstrate that a novel intimate self-examination swab could collect DNA evidence for Y-STR profiling following sexual assault, opening the technology to low-resource environments [R6, G4]. Massively parallel sequencing (MPS) has revolutionized DNA analysis by increasing throughput and reducing cost. In forensics, it offers higher resolution via STR sequences, rather than lengths, and increases the number analysable in a single test. Jobling and Wetton’s team analysed Y-STRs via MPS in a global sample [G5; R7] using Promega’s pre-released PowerSeq Auto/Mito/Y kit. Forensic ‘cold cases’ often remain unsolved until new technology arrives. When archived DNA fingerprints are key evidence in a case, it is necessary to re-establish old technologies to provide a critical link to support current prosecutions. Supported by funding from the East Midlands Special Operations Unit [G6], May and Wetton carried out research to re-establish and validate Alec Jeffreys’ original DNA fingerprinting methods, allowing them to be applied to cold cases.

3. References to the research

R1. Jobling, M.A. (2001). Y-chromosomal SNP haplotype diversity in forensic analysis. Forensic Sci. Int. 118, 162-172.

R2. Roewer L, 42 others inc. Bosch E, Jobling MA, Kayser M (2001). Online reference database of European Y-chromosomal STR haplotypes. Forensic Sci Int 118, 103-111.

R3. Khubrani YM, Wetton JH, Jobling MA (2017). Extensive geographical and social structure in the paternal lineages of Saudi Arabia revealed by analysis of 27 Y-STRs. Forensic Sci Int Genet 33, 98–105.

R4. Kayser M, Kittler R, Erler A, Hedman M, Lee AC, Mohyuddin A, Mehdi SQ, Rosser Z, Stoneking M, Jobling MA, Sajantila A, Tyler-Smith C (2004). A comprehensive survey of human Y-chromosomal microsatellites. Am J Hum Genet 74, 1183-1197 .

R5. Purps J, 161 others, inc. Wetton JH, Gwynne GM, Jobling MA, Roewer L (2014). A global analysis of Y-chromosomal haplotype diversity for 23 STR loci. Forensic Sci Int Genet 12, 12-23.

R6. Smith L, Wetton JH, Lall GKM, Flowe HD, Jobling MA (2017). Testing the efficacy of self-examination intimate DNA swabs to enhance victim-centred responses to sexual violence in low-resource environments. Sci Justice; 57, 331-335.

R7. Huszar TI, Jobling MA, Wetton JH (2018). A phylogenetic framework facilitates Y-STR variant discovery and classification via massively parallel sequencing. Forensic Sci Int Genet 35, 97-106.

Research Grants

G1. Jobling: The Y chromosome as a marker for the history and structure of human populations, GBP819,610; 1999–2004 ; Wellcome Trust Senior Research Fellowship.

G2. Jobling: Pattern and process in human genetic diversity: from genomes to populations, GBP1,173,604; 2004–2009: WT Senior Research Fellowship.

G3. Jobling: Sex, genomes, history: molecular, evolutionary and cultural effects on human genetic diversity, GBP1,700,211; 2009–2015; WT Senior Research Fellowship.

G4. Lisa Smith (Criminology), Jobling & Wetton: Self-examination intimate DNA swabs to enhance victim-centred responses to sexual violence in humanitarian contexts, GBP49,784; 2018: Humanitarian Innovation Fund.

G5. Jobling: Next-generation sequencing approaches to short-tandem repeat sequence variation, GBP95,042; 2015–2019: BBSRC-iCASE studentship, with Key Forensic Services.

G6. May & Wetton: Reactivating DNA Fingerprinting as a Casework Tool GBP13,000; 2017–2018; East Midlands Special Operations Unit - Forensic Service.

4. Details of the impact

University of Leicester (UoL) research has underpinned developments benefiting victims of violent crime and their families, wrongfully convicted individuals, police, forensic practitioners and forensic service providers, legal teams, government and policy makers, and companies manufacturing and selling DNA testing kits. Increasing the power of Y-STR typing: The UoL team’s research contributed to the 2001 origin and subsequent growth of YHRD [R2, R5], the only global and open database of Y-DNA reference profiles. Originally the USA maintained its own database ( www.usystrdatabase.org), but in 2018 this was decommissioned, and its 35,295 profiles were transferred into YHRD, recognising its primacy and the need for a single global standard. YHRD now allows forensic scientists, police, prosecutors, and defence teams anywhere in the world to search >320,000 profiles and determine the significance of a crime-scene match: without it, Y-STR profiling simply could not be applied in forensic casework. For example, YHRD underpins the use of Y-STR profiling in the UK as set out in the Forensic Science Regulator’s Guidelines [E1]. Because it is classified into populations, the database also provides information about the likely biogeographic ancestry of a profile. YHRD users typically made around 4,000 visits/month up to 2018, and, following the transfer of US profiles into YHRD, 8,600 visits/month. Guidelines and evidence interpretation: UoL contributed to internationally agreed principles for the application of Y-STR profiling, vital given the differences among criminal justice systems worldwide. The International Society for Forensic Genetics (including Jobling) published its first recommendations for the use and interpretation of Y-STR profiling in 2001 [E2], and these form the basis of current recommendations that reflect new technologies. In the UK, Jobling and Wetton were invited to join the Y-STR Working Group of the Government’s Forensic Science Regulator, and the Association of Forensic Science Providers DNA Working Group, to develop the UK’s guidelines [E3]. In interpreting evidence, naming STRs and (since the implementation of MPS) STR sequences in a consistent way is essential. Work carried out in Leicester [R7] proposed allele nomenclatures for Y-STRs, leading to an invitation to a 2019 STRAND Working Group meeting, contributing to key decisions on nomenclature [E3] and feeding into forensic and manufacturer practice. New Y-STRs developed in UoL research [R4] drove a step-change in the discriminatory power of commercial profiling kits. As well as publications, Jobling gave invited keynote talks on these new developments at international conferences that included company representatives (e.g. International Society for Human Identification meeting, National Harbor, MD, USA, 2011; 27th Congress of the International Society for Forensic Genetics, Seoul, 2017). The current generation of kits produced by the US-based global companies Promega and Thermo Fisher Scientific are respectively PPY23 ( [E4]; 23 STRs, including seven from [R4], developed 2012) and YFiler Plus ( [E5]; 27 STRs, including nine from [R4], 2014). Three Chinese companies, PeopleSpot, AGCU ScienTech, and Microread Genetics also developed kits using STRs from [R4], which are used mostly in China. The UK’s forensic service providers (LGC, Cellmark, Key Forensic Services, Scottish Police Authority and Forensic Science Ireland) chose PPY23 as their Y-profiling tool in 2014 [E1]. Supporting convictions & exonerations is the goal of Y-STR profiling and is enabled by UoL’s contribution to the development and application of this technology. In the UK ONS Crime Survey (2018) ~700,000 people reported sexual assault (10,127 prosecutions in 2018-19). Since 99% of cases involve male assailants, Y-STR testing is invaluable: without this technology, 10% of cases could not be prosecuted, and detecting multiple male assailants is three times more likely when using Y- compared to autosomal STR profiling [E6]. In the UK, Y profiling is increasing (80,550 PPY23 tests since 2014). Biogeographic ancestry prediction from Y-STR profiles is valuable: for example, in Operation Pettyridge (2015), a Leeds rapist thought to be Middle Eastern from witness testimony was identified via the demonstration that his Y-STR profile was SE European: this led to the identification and extradition of a Slovakian man now serving a 20-year sentence [E7]. Y-STR profiling is used in the exonerations of prisoners via testing of archived case materials. Although Y-STR profiles cannot individually identify, a single Y-STR mismatch is sufficient for an exoneration. In the US-based Innocence Project, Y-STR profiling was the key evidence in 16% of 194 exonerations [E8]. More discriminating profiling kits have helped: for example, a man convicted of rape in Taiwan based on a 17 Y-STR test was exonerated in 2014 when the PPY23 kit was applied [E9]. Sale of kits for forensic DNA analysis has been enabled by the research. Generating reference data for YHRD brought sales to Thermo Fisher and Promega of GBP10,800,000 and GBP9,800,000 respectively. In the UK alone, the 80,550 PPY23 (Promega) tests done by forensic service providers in sexual assault and other criminal casework to date represent GBP1,980,000 sales, with an upward trend [E10]. Solving cold cases: 2018 work by Wetton and May brought UoL’s involvement with forensic DNA analysis full circle by recreating and validating legacy techniques in DNA fingerprinting. This was key evidence in securing the conviction of a suspect linked to violent rape and burglary committed in 1988, for which a contemporaneous DNA fingerprint was the key evidence [E11]. Other cold cases can now be investigated in the same way.

5. Sources to corroborate the impact

E1. Forensic Science Regulator Guidance on Y-STR Profiling (FSR-G-227) www.gov.uk/government/organisations/forensic-science-regulator (February 2021).

E2. Gill P, 16 others inc. Jobling MA (2001). DNA Commission of the International Society of Forensic Genetics: recommendations on forensic analysis using Y-chromosome STRs. Forensic Sci Int 124, 5-10. Also published in Int J Legal Med 114, 305-309.

E3. Gettings KB, Ballard D, Bodner M, Borsuk LA, King JL, Parson W, Phillips C (2019) Report from the STRAND Working Group on the 2019 STR sequence nomenclature meeting. Forensic Sci Int Genet 43, 102165.

E4. PPY23 Y-STR kit: www.promega.co.uk/products/genetic-identity/genetic-identity-workflow/str-amplification/powerplex-y23-system/?catNum=DC2305

E5. YFiler Plus Y-STR kit: www.thermofisher.com/order/catalog/product/4484678

E6. Purps J, Geppert M, Nagy M, Roewer L (2015). Validation of a combined autosomal/Y-chromosomal STR approach for analyzing typical biological stains in sexual-assault cases. Forensic Sci Int Genet 19, 238-242.

E7. Evidence on request from Cellmark Forensic Services, Abingdon, UK.

E8. Hampikian G, West A, Akselrod O (2011). The genetics of innocence: analysis of 194 U.S. DNA exonerations. Annu Rev Genomics Hum Genet 12: 97–120.

E9. Hampikian G, Peri G, Lo SS, Chin MH, Liu KL (2017). Case report: coincidental inclusion in a 17-locus Y-STR mixture, wrongful conviction and exoneration. Forensic Sci Int Genet 31, 1-4.

E10. Testimonial, Promega UK.

E11. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-nottinghamshire-46361749

Submitting institution
The University of Leicester
Unit of assessment
5 - Biological Sciences
Summary impact type
Cultural
Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
No

1. Summary of the impact

Professor King led genetic and statistical analysis that identified skeletal remains discovered by a University of Leicester research team as those of King Richard III. By 2015, this research had boosted Leicester’s economy by GBP79 million, including the construction of the Richard III Visitor Centre, and created 1,012 new jobs. The discovery and identification reached ~one billion people globally by 2017. In 2018 alone, 11.5 million people visited Leicester with an economic impact of GBP650million. The research inspired a wide range of cultural responses, and the team’s educational materials have reached ~100,000 worldwide. The research continues to anchor Leicestershire’s tourism plans 2019-2025, and Leicester Cathedral’s 2020-2023 GBP11.3million restoration project, including the construction of a new Heritage Learning Centre. Furthermore, King’s 2009 Y-chromosome findings have provided the sole research for Ancestry.com’s exclusive DNA-testing patent (2017), with 21 million tests sold by 2019.

2. Underpinning research

King combines genetics and archaeological research and has a long-standing interest in the use of sex-specific DNA markers for identification purposes. King undertook the first large-scale study of Y chromosomes and hereditary surnames in Britain, developing the first reliable indicator of the false paternity rate in British populations over the past 700 years [R2]. King demonstrated that rarer surnames were often dominated by a single Y chromosome haplotype, which was likely that of a single male ancestor who bore that name several hundred years ago [R2]. King applied her methodology focused on surnames as a sampling strategy to investigate the genetic legacy of the Vikings [R1]. King also established sampling strategies that, combining forensic DNA typing of living individuals, with historical and archaeological data, led to an understanding of aspects of past population structure and population change in ways that simple analysis of modern and ancient DNA does not [R1, R2, R4].

King established that heritable surnames are highly diverse cultural markers of co-ancestry in human populations. A patrilineal surname is inherited in the same way as the non-recombining region of the Y chromosome. Studies of Y haplotypes within surnames, mostly of the British Isles, reveal high levels of co-ancestry among surname cohorts. Combining molecular genetics and surname analysis illuminates population structure and history, with potential 'genetic genealogy’ applications – an area of rapidly growing public interest [R7].

In 2012, the University of Leicester multidisciplinary research team undertook excavations to locate the remains of King Richard III (RIII), d.1485, believed to be interred in the lost church of the Greyfriars in Leicester. Prof Turi King’s forensic, population-genetics and genetic-genealogy research [R1-R6] methodologies underpinned both the excavation practices and the identification of his remains primarily by comparing the ancient DNA evidence of the remains against the modern DNA of living relatives, incorporating population-based frequencies of genetic data and conducting a Bayesian statistical analysis of the evidence.

Given the constraints of the exhumation licence granted by the Ministry of Justice, only skeletons exhibiting characteristics consistent with what was known about Richard III (location in friary, age at death, possible spinal abnormality, battle injuries) would be exhumed during the excavation for subsequent genetic analysis. One such skeleton was uncovered which matched contemporary accounts of RIII’s spinal deformity, burial location and death in battle [R3, R6] marking this skeleton as suitable for exhumation and King’s genetic investigation. King’s DNA analyses of the skeleton and RIII’s living relatives identified a perfect mitochondrial DNA match between the sequence from the remains and one living relative, and a single-base substitution when compared with a second relative. The latter is not unexpected due to chromosomal mutations occurring in the generations separating RIII and the relative. The mitochondrial genome was found not to have any matches in any forensic mitochondrial DNA databases in Europe or in the UK, and therefore has been shown to be a very rare type [R3, R5, R6].

Y-chromosome haplotypes from male-line relatives do not match the remains. This could be attributed to a false-paternity event occurring in any of the intervening generations. DNA-predicted hair and eye colour are consistent with Richard's appearance in an early portrait. King calculated the likelihood ratios for the non-genetic and genetic data separately and combined, concluding that the evidence for the remains being those of Richard III is 99.99999% [R4, R6]. King also carried out sequencing analysis of genes known to determine hair and eye colour to establish probable hair and eye colourings and thereby identify the most closely matching of the early portraits of King Richard III [R4, R5].

3. References to the research

R1. Bowden, G. R., Balaresque, P., King, T. E., Lee, A. C., Pergl-Wilson, G., Hurley, E., ... & Jobling, M. A. (2008). Excavating past population structures by surname-based sampling: the genetic legacy of the Vikings in northwest England. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 25(2), 301-309

R2. King, T. E., & Jobling, M. A. (2009). Founders, drift, and infidelity: the relationship between Y chromosome diversity and patrilineal surnames. Molecular Biology and Evolution, 26(5), 1093-1102.

R3. Buckley, R., Morris, M., Appleby, J., King, T., O'Sullivan, D., & Foxhall, L. (2013). ‘The king in the car park’: new light on the death and burial of Richard III in the Grey Friars church, Leicester, in 1485. Antiquity, 87(336), 519-538.

R4. Fortes, G. G., Speller, C. F., Hofreiter, M., & King, T. E. (2013). Phenotypes from ancient DNA: approaches, insights and prospects. Bioessays, 35(8), 690-695.

R5. King, T. E., Fortes, G. G., Balaresque, P., Thomas, M. G., Balding, D., Delser, P. M., ... & Schürer, K. (2014). Identification of the remains of King Richard III. Nature communications, 5(1), 1-8.

R6. Appleby, J., Rutty, G., Hainsworth, S., Woosnam-Savage, R.C., Morgan, B., Brough, A., Earp, R., Robinson, C., King, T.E., Morris, M. and Buckley, R., 2015. Perimortem trauma in King Richard III: a skeletal analysis. The Lancet, 385(9964), pp.253-259.

R7. King, T. E., & Jobling, M. A. (2009). What's in a name? Y chromosomes, surnames and the genetic genealogy revolution. Trends in genetics, 25(8), 351-360.

4. Details of the impact

Triangulation of multidisciplinary applications, underpinned by University of Leicester research, has contributed to the expansion of interest in genealogical heritage. The research has enabled the identification of ancient remains via the historical lineage of their descendants, most famously, those of King Richard III (RIII) and opened access to ancestral data for members of the public to explore their own ancestry.

Heritage, tourism and economic impact

Discovery of RIII’s skeleton beneath a Leicester carpark and the identification of his remains significantly contributed to Leicestershire’s transformation into a national and global tourism destination. The Tourism Growth Plan (2019) stated : “The economic potential of Leicester and Leicestershire was significantly enhanced by the discovery of the remains of King Richard III… and his reinterment in Leicester Cathedral in 2015. The value of this remarkable story to the area… provided a spotlight that enabled both the City and the County to showcase the area’s rich heritage and tourism potential” [E1Eii].

A 2015 Leicester City Council (LCiC) report showed that the discovery and identification of RIII drove significant economic impacts. In the period between the discovery and March 2015, 622,562 additional visitors to RIII-related events in Leicester spent GBP54,625,048; an additional 1,012 FTE jobs were created; an estimated GBP79,082,740 gross value added to Leicester’s economy; and volunteering valued at GBP118,566 [E1A]. Although impacts and data relating to the discovery began in the REF2014 census period, the Leicester research has delivered significantly greater impacts since August 2013. 2020 LCiC [E1Eii] and 2019 Leicestershire County Council (LCoC) [E1Eiii] reports showed that the RIII discovery and identification, along with other regional attractions, contributed to the region’s overall tourism growth. Since 2013, there has been “an increase of 26.9% in value from the tourism sector, an 18.6% increase in visitors and a 12.6% increase in employment”. [E1Eii]. In 2018 alone, 34.9 million people visited Leicestershire [E1Eii] and 11.5 million people visited the city of Leicester, valued at GBP651 million—significantly driven by the discovery of RIII [E1Eiii].LCiC invested GBP4 million in the new King Richard III Visitor Centre (RIIIVC) at the Greyfriars site which showcases the team’s research, including King’s genetic genealogy work [E1A]. The RIIIVC’s permanent exhibition is explicitly designed around the team’s research on RIII’s burial [R1]; his Bosworth battle wounds [R2]; a 3D model of CT scans of his bones to reconstruct his scoliosis [R3]; and the team’s identification procedures, including King’s DNA testing [R4] [E1B]. Between its opening on 26 July 2014 and 31 December 2020, the RIIIVC had 347,155 visitors from the UK and beyond. Overseas visitors came from as far away as the USA, Australia, and China [E1C]. In 2018, the RIIIVC won the Group Leisure and Travel Awards’ ‘Best Museum or Gallery’ by reader vote, beating the British Museum and Tate Britain [E1C]. Lonely Planet added the RIIIVC to their ‘Ultimate United Kingdom Travelist’ in 2019, stating it “reveals… one of the world’s greatest archaeological detective stories” [E1Eiii]. The discoveries published in [R1] prompted Historic England to designate the Greyfriars site as a Scheduled Ancient Monument in 2017 [E1D]. In 2014 alone, Leicester Cathedral drew 398,500 more visitors than in 2012 (an increase from 29,500 to 428,000 total, a 14-fold increase), and between 2013 and 2018 it attracted 1,223,560 total visitors [E1B]. In March 2015, approximately 43,000 people attended reinterment events at the Cathedral, and the burial service was viewed by more than 600 million worldwide. In the year following the identification, Bosworth Battlefield Heritage Centre (BBHC) ticket sales increased by 62% (2013: GBP95,375; 2014: GBP154,425) and retail sales increased by 74% (2013: GBP74,215; 2014: GBP129,440), with smaller rises in visitor numbers in subsequent years [E1F]. .The “remarkable King Richard III discovery and [his] connection with Leicester and Leicestershire” [E1F] continues to drive regional economic and tourism investment and planning. The Leicester and Leicestershire Tourism Growth Plan 2019 has designed “a critical mass” of RIII experiences through 2024 [E1Eii]. The Leicester Tourism Action Plan 2020-2025 is “anchored by the King Richard III story”. This includes relocating the city’s tourist information centre to the RIIIVC “for the 130,000-plus visitors now coming each year, many drawn to see the tomb of RIII[E1Eiii]. LCoC created a Conservation Plan for BBHC to foster “a local economy that supports . . . protection of the archaeological resources” stating that the Battle of Bosworth “has accrued even greater significance following the discovery of the remains of Richard III” (August 2013) [E1Ev]. Leicester Cathedral’s 2020-2023 Strategic Plan confirmed that RIII is a core driver for its GBP11.3 million project, funded by the National Lottery Heritage Fund (2016), to restore the Cathedral and build a Heritage Learning Centre, stating: “The Cathedral changed enormously leading up to, during and in the aftermath of March 2015 when King Richard III was reinterred …. This new situation has become increasingly embedded and we are now into the next major redevelopment phase entitled ‘Leicester Cathedral Revealed’” [E1Ei, iv].

Outreach and education impactA- and AS-level Wars of the Roses History curricula incorporated the team’s research (September 2015). The RIIIVC also incorporated the research into educational and outreach programmes, which, since opening in July 2014, have reached approximately 12,000 learners. In the 2018/2019 academic year alone, they reached 3,324 (62% KS 1&2; 23% KS 3&4; 15% FE/HE, July 2019) [E2A]. The underpinning research was a key feature of the seven-day RIII exhibit at the Royal Society’s ‘Festival of Science’ (June 2015), with 13,000 visitors, where of those responding to the visitor survey 85% strongly agreed or agreed that the exhibition had increased their interest in ‘science’. The replica skeleton and research displays travelled to Birmingham’s ‘Big Bang Fair’ (2014, c.70,000); Galway Science and Technology Festival (2017, c. 20,000); and Bulgaria’s Sofia Science Festival (2017, c.17,000) [ E2B]. The University of Leicester RIII website and educational materials have had 1,782,871 unique page views from the UK (39.5%), the USA (33.1%), Australia (7.1%), and worldwide (August 2013 – December 2020) [E2C]. By December 2020, more than 83,000 people had enrolled in the research team’s six-week MOOC, England in the Time of King Richard III. Participants’ satisfaction scores averaged a high 4.7 out of 5, with 278 reviews stating, for example: “[T]his course has reignited my passion for history and archaeology and led me to apply to do a Masters Degree in an archaeology discipline” [E2D]. In 2015, the Scout and Guiding associations produced a RIII challenge badge drawing on the RIII research and story, with approximately 2,000 challenges completed in Leicestershire alone by May 2020 [E3]. Cultural impact

Press and media coverage in March 2015 relating to the reinterment alone totalled 2,071 stories and reached 358 million people. By 2017, press and media coverage of the discovery and reinterment reached an estimated one billion people around the globe [E4]. In November 2013, the University of Leicester Archaeology Service (ULAS) won the Queen’s Anniversary Prize: “The University of Leicester is recognised for its long record of exceptional research, commercial archaeology and public engagement in history and heritage, highlighted by the work of the team that discovered the remains of King Richard III beneath a car park” [E5A]. BBC’s History Extra website visitors voted RIII as their number one historical figure of interest in the ‘Top 100’ poll 2015 – 2017, and in July 2020, they voted ‘Did RIII order the murder of the Princes in the Tower?’ as “history’s greatest mystery” with 35% of the votes, “almost three times as many as the building of Stonehenge[E5B].

The RIII story and the research underpinning it [R1 – R5] stimulated significant cultural responses. It generated new publications and music, largely aimed at general audiences. Books include Mike Pitts’ Digging for Richard III: How Archaeology Found the King and David Horspool’s Richard III: A Ruler and his Reputation, as well as literature aimed specifically at children, such as former Children’s Laureate Michael Morpurgo’s The Fox and the Ghost King (fiction) and Rosalind Adams’s Children’s Book of Richard III [E7]. It inspired three creative responses for RIII’s 2015 reburial service at Leicester Cathedral: Ghostly Grace, a choral piece by Judith Bingham; an anthem by Judith Weir; and Richard, a eulogy by Poet Laureate Carol Ann Duffy, read by Benedict Cumberbatch, with more than 265,000 views (December 2020). Nico Muhly composed the song, ‘Old Bones’, using the words of ULAS lead Richard Buckley and RIII Society’s Philippa Langley, for countertenor Lestyn Davies [E8].

The project also inspired major dramatic productions and television documentaries [E4 – E8]. The Hollow Crown (BBC2, 2016), starring Benedict Cumberbatch, used the team’s analysis of RIII’s skeleton [R2], and opened with a shot of his spinal curvature. The production reached 0.84 million viewers in one week, and 0.94 million in 28 days [E6A]. The Leicester research also inspired Ralph Fiennes’ 2016 portrayal of Shakespeare’s Richard III at the Almeida Theatre. Fiennes stated: “They found the spine and it is very curved, so we tried to base his physicality as close as possible to the evidence that came out of the excavation in Leicester” [E6B]. The performance, which featured a reconstruction of the excavation site on stage, sold 21,850 tickets and its live broadcast reached 50,000 additional viewers worldwide [E6B].

Channel 4’s Richard III: The New Evidence (August 2014), featured University of Leicester research [R1, R3–R5], reaching 1,760,000 viewers in seven days [E6C], while PBS (USA) ran the director’s cut, Secrets of the Dead: Resurrecting Richard III (September 2014). Both starred actor Dominic Smee as RIII. Smee, who shares the king’s condition, stated that the analysis of the king’s condition profoundly impacted his confidence and his acceptance of his own body. Removing his shirt during filming “was a defining point in my life. This was the first time that I had been truly honest and open about a part of me that I had kept hidden for so many years[E6C] . Smee stated the experience made him feel like he was reliving RIII’s last moments, and he is now “confident enough to give lectures about his experiences and the research” [E4]. Patented Ancestry.com DNA test reaches millions worldwideKing established that combining molecular genetics and surname analysis can help identify population structure and history [R7], which can be applied to 'genetic genealogy' procedures. Because of the growing popularity of individual DNA testing, this research has indirectly reached 14 million people by 2019. The US-based Ancestry.com, the world’s largest for-profit genealogical company, used King’s [R7] findings as the sole underpinning research for their exclusive DNA-testing patent (2017). The patent applies to the company’s AncestryDNA tests, which are sold to the public for GBP79 each. AncestryDNA sold 14 million DNA test kits worldwide in 2019, doubling their 2018 sales of 7 million [E9].

5. Sources to corroborate the impact

E1. A. Leicester City Council Economic Impact of RIII Report 2015. B. Leicester Cathedral Report 2015. C. Collated RIII Visitor Centre materials: RIIIVC Report 2015; BBC News Story about the investment 22 July 2014; Group Leisure and Travel Award 2018. D. Historic England Scheduled Ancient Monument 1442955, 13 December 2017. E. Tourism plans: Leicester Cathedral Strategic Plan 2018 – 2020; Leicester and Leicestershire Tourism Growth Plan 2019–2023; Leicester Tourism Action Plan 2020–2025; Bosworth Battlefield/LCC/Heritage Country Park strategy August 2013. F. LCC Heritage Support Officer emails: Bosworth Battlefield Heritage Park data, April and August 2020; Hinckley and Bosworth Community and Wellbeing Strategy 2016-20.

E2. A. Compiled RIIIVC Management Reports, March 2016 – September 2019. B. Royal Society’s Trustees’ report and financial statements, 31 March 2016. C. UoL RIII website data, 1 August 2013 – 31 December 2020. D. FutureLearn enrolment data and feedback. E3. Scout and Guiding challenge badge news and email from County Office Manager.

E4. Representative news features. Collated media data reports: University of Leicester/Precise Media RIII Reinterment report, March 2015; Efficiency Exchange Report by Ather Mirza, 8 June 2017. E5. A. November 2013 Queen’s Anniversary Prize. B. Collated public interest votes from BBC History Extra 2015 – 2020 and expert nominations June 2020. E6. A. The Hollow Crown, BBC2, 21 May 2016. Collated interviews, features, and BARB viewing figures. B. Richard III, Almeida theatre, 2016. Collated features, reviews, live broadcast, images, and email from Almeida Theatre Marketing Manager, 11 May 2020. C. Richard III: The New Evidence, Channel 4, 17 August 2014 and Resurrecting Richard III, PBS (USA), September 2014. Collated features and interviews.

E7. Materials evidencing popular books.

E8. Materials evidencing poetry and music: Judith Bingham’s Ghostly Grace collated feature stories March and August 2015; Kings Place seating plan; Poet Laureate Carol Ann Duffy’s eulogy, Richard. https://tinyurl.com/ydenhupu; Recording of Benedict Cumberbatch reading

at reinterment; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=38nodTfpro4

E9. US Patent 20170011042 15/203776, Genetic And Genealogical Analysis For Identification Of Birth Location And Surname Information, filed 12 January 2017; Ancestry.com website with product and data; MIT Technology Review articles 2018, 2019

Submitting institution
The University of Leicester
Unit of assessment
5 - Biological Sciences
Summary impact type
Technological
Is this case study continued from a case study submitted in 2014?
No

1. Summary of the impact

Your DNA sequence is unique. It is over 3 billion letters long and found in almost every cell in your body. Each individual’s DNA sequence has millions of differences (variants); most are harmless but some cause disease. For healthcare professionals worldwide it is critical that variants be reported accurately to ensure correct decision-making; something that was problematic with existing software. VariantValidator software developed at the University of Leicester (UoL) has solved this issue and is established by key partners as the gold-standard tool for variant description validation. It is used routinely by thousands of professionals globally, including; NHS training programmes, leading biomedical journals and databases and healthcare and research organisations.

2. Underpinning research

Based on a long-standing track record of research, UoL has been developing accessible and freely available software solutions to allow healthcare professionals to obtain accurate information on genetic variants in individual’s genome.

The 100,000 Genomes Project and the current NHS Genomic Medicine Service place the UK at the forefront of the global genomic-medicine revolution. Genomics England Ltd (GEL), who run these projects, are developing computational models to represent DNA sequence variations in genes that cause a range of health conditions, from cancers to rare developmental disorders. GEL’s data-analysis models aim to simplify the process that allows healthcare professionals to determine whether a particular sequence variation is responsible for a human disease, and thereby to establish accurate diagnoses and appropriate treatment options. However, progress has been hampered by inconsistent application of genetic data guidelines and lack of data sharing, combined with ‘black-boxed’ analytical software resulting in variable interpretation between laboratories, which can significantly affect patient outcomes [R2].

Sequence variants presented in scientific papers, clinical reports and databases must be reported using the HGVS Nomenclature, co-authored by Professor Dalgleish [R3]. However, evidence shows that adherence to the nomenclature standard is variable, with examples of incorrect and sometimes misleading descriptions being presented [R1]. At best, such errors cause confusion, at worst they may lead to patients receiving inappropriate medical treatments or advice, or even missing out on potentially lifesaving treatments.

Errors arise because some aspects of the HGVS nomenclature are complex, making it difficult to comprehend and use for both experts and no-experts resulting in inaccuracies in communication of variant data. Consequently, high-quality software tools are required to ensure that variant descriptions are valid, complete, and consistent with the nomenclature guidelines. In 2015, there was only one purpose-built tool for validating HGVS descriptions, this tool was limited in three key areas:

  1. It was not fully standards-compliant

  2. It was unable to validate variation between corresponding reference genomic and mRNA sequences if slight sequence mismatches existed between the two

  3. It was unable to detect, and automatically correct, many common nomenclature errors [R1]

VariantValidator is the result of extensive research and long-standing expertise by Dalgleish’s team at Leicester [R4, R5, R6] and was developed to address the recognised deficiencies of existing tools [R1]. VariantValidator provides rigorous checking of sequence variant descriptions with respect to syntax and data inconsistencies. This was achieved through a methodical development process tailored to user requirements whilst ensuring strict adherence to standards [R2]. VariantValidator is widely regarded as the most functional and accurate sequence variant description tool in the world and remains the only platform capable of accurately validating sequence variants in a fully standards-compliant fashion [R2].

Since release in 2016, VariantValidator has been adopted widely and, at the request of field-leading partners, is undergoing continuous development including:

  • Creation of VariantFormatter to enable Genomics England Ltd to validate their databases against HGVS nomenclature for the first time

  • Development of a new reference sequence transcript archive allowing the 100,000 Genomes Project and COSMIC to validate and warrant their data

  • Full integration with flagship software packages from SOPHiA Genetics, GA4GH and The Jackson Laboratory

  • Developments enabling integration into diagnostic pipelines in NHS genomic Laboratory Hubs ( https://www.england.nhs.uk/genomics/genomic-laboratory-hubs/) and diagnostic hospitals in Europe and the USA

  • Collaborative development to integrate VariantValidator into the Leiden Open Variant Database (LOVD), the largest federated network of Open Source and Open Access variant databases globally

3. References to the research

R1. Freeman PJ, Hart RK, Gretton LJ, Brookes AJ, Dalgleish R (2018). VariantValidator: Accurate validation, mapping, and formatting of variation descriptions. Human Mutation 39:61-68. doi: 10.1002/humu.23348

R2. Wang M, Callenberg KM, Dalgleish R, Fedtsov A, Fox NK, Freeman PJ, Jacobs KB, Kaleta P, McMurry AJ, Prlić A, Rajaraman V, Hart RK (2018). hgvs: A Python package for manipulating sequence variants using HGVS nomenclature: 2018 Update. Human Mutation 39:1803-1813. doi: 10.1002/humu.23615

R3. den Dunnen JT, **Dalgleish, R , Maglott DR, Hart RK, Greenblatt MS, McGowan‐Jordan J, Roux A, Smith T, Antonarakis SE and Taschner PEM (2016) HGVS recommendations for the description of sequence variants: 2016 update. Human Mutation, 37: 564-569. doi: 10.1002/humu.22981

R4. Lancaster O, Beck T, Atlan D, Swertz M, Thangavelu D, Veal C, Dalgleish R, Brookes AJ. (2015) Cafe Variome: general-purpose software designed to make genotype-phenotype data easily and appropriately discoverable in restricted or open access contexts. Human Mutation, 36: 957-964. doi: 10.1002/humu.22841

R5. Gaspar P, Lopes P, Oliveira J, Santos R, Dalgleish R and Oliveira J L (2014) Variobox: Automatic detection and annotation of human genetic variants. Human Mutation, 35: 202-207. doi:10.1002/humu.22474

R6. Vihinen M, den Dunnen JT, Dalgleish R, Cotton RGH (2012) Guidelines for establishing locus specific databases. Human Mutation, 33: 298-305. doi: 10.1002/humu.21646

4. Details of the impact

VariantValidator is the cumulative result of decades of research, expertise, and development of human genome sequence variation data, by Dalgleish and his team, providing solutions to major obstacles in treatment-programme development using genetic information. The beneficiaries range from individual parties (patients and healthcare professionals) to multinational organisations and research programmes. VariantValidator has defined the future direction for interpretation of genetic sequencing by simultaneously ensuring future NHS Clinical Scientists are trained to far higher standards, and by significantly reducing potentially catastrophic errors in scientific research outputs being made, disseminated or repeated. VariantValidator is the global gold-standard HGVS variant nomenclature validation software.

Freely available, the open access VariantValidator software supports data handling and validation in field-leading organisations worldwide. Between launch in 2016 and 2020, VariantValidator had been used ~55,000 times by 40,451 unique users from 118 countries, with total user numbers increasing rapidly each year [E1].

Example organisations who have embraced VariantValidator include:

  • GEL: Responsible for delivering 100,000 Genomes Project [E2a]

  • ClinVar: US National Institutes for Health database used globally for sequence variation interpretation [E3]

  • Catalogue Of Somatic Mutations In Cancer (COSMIC): The world’s largest and most comprehensive resource for exploring the impact of somatic mutations in cancer [E2b]

  • Laboratoire de Génétique Moléculaire, CHU de Montpellier, France: have developed a variant annotation and interpretation software platform (MobiDetails) for which the variant validation engine of VariantValidator is a central embedded component [E4]

  • European Bioinformatics Institute: International Non-Governmental Organisation providing bioinformatics services, training, and resources to the science community globally [E5]

In each case, and countless others, VariantValidator has consistently demonstrated its superiority over competitors, “ similar systems known to us do not provide the modularity, code libraries or lack some key functionality” GEL [E2a], and is now built into workflows facilitating high-impact biomedical research [E6] through substantially improved accuracy, efficiency, and usability. VariantValidator reduces genome coordinate mapping time from ~60 minutes per case to ~3 minutes [E2c]. In many leading organisations VariantValidator has replaced existing tools or is the preferred sequence variation curation tool including:

  • Global Alliance for Genomics and Health (GA4GH)

  • Centre for Medical Genetics, Brussels, Belgium [E2d]

  • Leiden Open Variation Database (LOVD) [E2e]

  • London South Genomics Laboratory Hub, North West Genomic Laboratory Hub, and other NHS laboratories

  • The Manchester Academy for Healthcare Scientist Education (MAHSE) training programmes in medical genomics and genomics bioinformatics

  • Global PGCert, and MSc courses delivered by the University of Manchester [E8]

  • Center for Genomics Interpretation, Utah, USA [E2f]

The widespread response to the software has been immensely positive with many echoing Professor Robinson of the Jackson Laboratory, “We have also used what is probably VariantValidator’s main competitor, Mutalyzer, but have chosen to use VariantValidator for our work because of the substantially greater amount of information presented to the user, the ease of use and the flexibility of the API and paramaterized URLs and the much better graphical user interface, all of which improves the efficiency of our work”’ [E2c]. At the Centre for Medical Genetics, Brussels, “ VariantValidator has been indispensable” and they “ are now validating thousands of variants every week with VariantValidator[E2d].

New HGVS Variant Nomenclature recommendations have recently been developed by PF and RD to accommodate the use of Ensembl transcript reference sequences for variant reporting [E9]. This enables NHS laboratories, for the first time, to utilise genome sequencing variant data, generated by GEL. This novel development is being incorporated into a new reference sequence transcript archive that is, in direct collaboration with GEL and LOVD, being integrated into VariantValidator. The purpose of this development is to produce a tool enabling GEL processing to provide NHS laboratories with correctly formatted variant descriptions in the context of Ensembl reference sequences and enabling LOVD to accommodate Ensembl transcript data alongside existing RefSeq data. “At present, we are unable to do this for the RefSeq datasets which is an unmet requirement for reporting in the clinical setting. This is a common requirement among clinicians to facilitate interpretation of genomic variation.” GEL [E2a]. Immediate beneficiaries of this development include the GEL 100,000 Genomes Project [E2a], COSMIC [E3] and a wider set of NHS Genomics Laboratory Hubs who will soon be able to validate and safely share their variant data outputs.

Collaboration between the University of Leicester and GEL has also resulted in the development of VariantFormatter software libraries enabling GEL to correctly present data using HGVS nomenclature. This system rapidly validates HGVS descriptions in the context of genomic reference sequences projecting them rapidly onto all relevant transcripts. In addition, the VariantValidator tool enables improved accuracy in variant descriptions for use in clinical reports and databases, lift-overs between Ensembl and pre-existing reference sequences, and interconversions between transcript and genomic-coordinate-based descriptions [E2a]. In addition, a novel version of the VariantFormatter tool has been created to produce accurately formatted data for the LOVD databases, and alongside VariantValidator, is being embedded directly into the LOVD analysis pipelines. This will have a huge impact on genomic medicine in Europe where LOVD is rapidly becoming a staple platform, replacing commercial solutions in diagnostic settings [E10].

The proven superiority of VariantValidator has changed industry direction. Since 2017, Alamut Visual, the flagship software product from SOPHiA Genetics, has incorporated links to VariantValidator to allow users of their software to ensure accurate validation of sequence variant descriptions and have recently installed the VariantValidator code on their servers for internal use [E8]. VariantValidator has also been adopted as the variant description validation program and interconversion tool of choice for the Global Alliance for Genomics and Health (GA4GH) ‘PhenoPackets’ and ‘Solving the Unsolved Rare Diseases’ (SOLVE-RD) projects [E6], is a key component of the Jackson Laboratory’s new HPO-based phenotype annotation software; HPOCaseAnnotator [E11], and is used as standard practice by the Center for Genomic Interpretation in Utah to improve their clinical reporting [E2f].

VariantValidator is having a profound impact on education in genomic bioinformatics, primarily in the UK, but also to a global audience. VariantValidator’s demonstrable success convinced the Manchester Academy for Healthcare Scientist Training (MAHSE) to incorporate the software into NHS Scientist Training Programmes (STP) that contain genomics-focused modules, in 2019. VariantValidator is now taught to NHS STP MSc Students in Clinical Genetics, Clinical Bioinformatics, Health Informatics, Cancer Genomics, Medical Physics, and Genomic Counselling. Over 150 students are trained annually using the software leading to a wider deployment in NHS Clinical Genomics Centres and Genetics Diagnostics Laboratories. As well as learning to use VariantValidator, the course also enables students to produce additional resources for the system thereby enabling continuous resource growth and improvement alongside the internationally praised training scheme [E8]. This training not only provides VariantValidator with a direct pathway into clinical practice, and establishes a community of practice who not only use the software, but also steer future iterations of the software to meet the evolving needs of the genomic medicine community.

VariantValidator is embedded into healthcare professional CPD courses ‘Fundamentals in Human Genetics and Genomics’ funded by Health Education England and taught at the University of Manchester [E12]. VariantValidator is also embedded into the ‘first of its kind’ distance-learning Postgraduate Certificate in Clinical Bioinformatics [E13]. The current run of the course includes 37 students from around the world from a broad range of professions, including clinicians in non-UK diagnostics laboratories and the Qatari genome project. The success of the 2019 PGCert was disseminated to audiences in international educational symposia as evidenced in a University of Manchester blog article [E8]. VariantValidator is also embedded into the MSc in Genomic Medicine at the University of Manchester.

In 2020, following a successful pilot published by Human Mutation (Wiley) and Genetics in Medicine (Nature), several leading biomedical journals formally adopted VariantValidator as one of two approved validation tools to ensure correctness of variant descriptions in published manuscripts and to minimise errors long-term [E14]. This critical change in professional practice has already yielded benefits to patients, including successfully identifying and correcting multiple invalid and incorrect sequence descriptions previously used to define treatment for cystic fibrosis patients: “ These efforts will undoubtedly lead to tangible improvements in patient care[E2g].

5. Sources to corroborate the impact

E1: Variant Validator usage statistics

E2: Supporting Testimonials

  1. Genomics England Limited (GEL), UK

  2. COSMIC, Sanger Institute, Hinxton, UK

  3. Jackson Laboratory, Farmington, CT, USA

  4. Centre for Medical Genetics, Brussels, Belgium

  5. LOVD, LUMC, Leiden, Netherlands

  6. Center for Genomic Interpretation, Sandy, UT, USA

  7. Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA

E3: ‘Instructions for ClinVar Submission Spreadsheets’, November 2020

E4: Credits on the MobiDetails web page

E5: Locus Reference Genomic (LRG) information page, EMBL-EBI, Hinxton, UK

E6: Selection of articles in high-impact biomedical journals confirming use of VariantValidator in underpinning sequence variation analyses

E7: ‘International Recognition for New Digital Teaching Methods’ University of Manchester, July 2020

E8: Release Notes for Alamut Visual Version 2.8.0 confirming VariantValidator integration

E9: HGVS Sequence Variant Nomenclature web page describing valid reference sequences: https://varnomen.hgvs.org/bg-material/refseq/

E10: Fokkema, IFAC, et al. "Dutch genome diagnostic laboratories accelerated and improved variant interpretation and increased accuracy by sharing data." Human Mutation 40(12), 2230-2238 (2019). DOI: 10.1002/humu.23896

E11: Carmody, LC, et al. "Significantly different clinical phenotypes associated with mutations in synthesis and transamidase+remodeling glycosylphosphatidylinositol (GPI)-anchor biosynthesis genes." Orphanet Journal of Rare Diseases 15(1), 40 (2020).DOI: 10.1186/s13023-020-1313-0

E12: NHS Health Education England Genomics Education Programme web page describing the taught course “Fundamentals in Human Genetics and Genomics”: https://www.genomicseducation.hee.nhs.uk/education/taught-courses/fundamentals-in-human-genetics-and-genomics/

E13: University of Manchester web page describing the online course PGCert Clinical Bioinformatics: https://www.manchester.ac.uk/study/masters/courses/list/12099/pgcert-clinical-bioinformatics/course-details/

E14: Higgins, J et al. "Verifying nomenclature of DNA variants in submitted manuscripts: Guidance for journals." Human Mutation 42(1), 3-7 (2021). DOI: 10.1002/humu.24144

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